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An efficient simulation-based methodology is proposed for the rolling window estimation of state space models, called particle rolling Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) with double block sampling. In our method, which is based on Sequential…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-09-17 Naoki Awaya , Yasuhiro Omori

It is commonly admitted that non-reversible Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms usually yield more accurate MCMC estimators than their reversible counterparts. In this note, we show that in addition to their variance reduction…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-27 Marie Vialaret , Florian Maire

Detecting and resolving violations of temporal constraints in real-time systems is both, time-consuming and resource-intensive, particularly in complex software environments. Measurement-based approaches are widely used during development,…

操作系统 · 计算机科学 2025-07-31 Benno Bielmeier , Ralf Ramsauer , Takahiro Yoshida , Wolfgang Mauerer

We study the performance of an automated hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) approach for conditional simulation of a recently proposed, single-parameter Gibbs Markov random field (Gibbs MRF). The MRF is based on a modified version of the planar…

计算物理 · 物理学 2020-07-08 Milan Žukovič , Dionissios T. Hristopulos

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach that exhibits favourable exploration properties in high-dimensional models such as neural networks. Unfortunately, HMC has limited use in large-data regimes and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-15 Adam D. Cobb , Brian Jalaian

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a powerful methodology for the approximation of posterior distributions. However, the iterative nature of MCMC does not naturally facilitate its use with modern highly parallel computation on HPC and cloud…

The problem of sampling constrained continuous distributions has frequently appeared in many machine/statistical learning models. Many Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) sampling methods have been adapted to handle different types of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-02-21 Shiwei Lan , Lulu Kang

Monte Carlo methods, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), remain the most regularly-used approach for implementing Bayesian inference. However, the computational cost of these approaches usually scales worse than linearly with the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-11-12 Leonardo Ripoli , Richard G. Everitt

In the following article we provide an exposition of exact computational methods to perform parameter inference from partially observed network models. In particular, we consider the duplication attachment (DA) model which has a likelihood…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-06-20 Junshan Wang , Ajay Jasra , Maria De Iorio

This paper considers how to obtain MCMC quantitative convergence bounds which can be translated into tight complexity bounds in high-dimensional {settings}. We propose a modified drift-and-minorization approach, which establishes…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-05-12 Jun Yang , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

State space models (SSMs) provide a flexible framework for modeling complex time series via a latent stochastic process. Inference for nonlinear, non-Gaussian SSMs is often tackled with particle methods that do not scale well to long time…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-07-18 Christopher Aicher , Srshti Putcha , Christopher Nemeth , Paul Fearnhead , Emily B. Fox

We propose a novel Markov chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) method for reverse engineering the topological structure of stochastic reaction networks, a notoriously challenging problem that is relevant in many modern areas of research, like…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-08 Daniel F. Linder , Grzegorz A. Rempala

In this paper, we propose an efficient pseudo-marginal Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling approach to draw samples from posterior shape distributions for image segmentation. The computation time of the proposed approach is independent…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-09-05 Ertunc Erdil , Sinan Yildirim , Tolga Tasdizen , Mujdat Cetin

Split-Merge MCMC (Monte Carlo Markov Chain) is one of the essential and popular variants of MCMC for problems when an MCMC state consists of an unknown number of components. It is well known that state-of-the-art methods for split-merge…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-10-15 Chen Luo , Anshumali Shrivastava

A family of semi-intrusive uncertainty propagation (UP) methods for multiscale models is introduced. The methods are semi-intrusive in the sense that inspection of the model is limited up to the level of the single scale systems, and…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-02-03 Anna Nikishova , Alfons G. Hoekstra

We propose sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods for sampling the posterior distribution of state-space models under highly informative observation regimes, a situation in which standard SMC methods can perform poorly. A special case is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-07-10 Pierre Del Moral , Lawrence M. Murray

In this paper we propose a constrained guaranteed cost robust model predictive controller (GCMPC) for uncertain discrete time systems. This controller was developed based on a quadratic cost functional and guarantee robustness with respect…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-09-21 Carlos M. Massera , Marco H. Terra , Denis F. Wolf

We propose a generic Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to speed up computations for datasets with many observations. A key feature of our approach is the use of the highly efficient difference estimator from the survey sampling…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-03 Matias Quiroz , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn

We propose a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm based on Gibbs sampling with parallel tempering to solve nonlinear optimal control problems. The algorithm is applicable to nonlinear systems with dynamics that can be approximately…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-07-10 João Hespanha , Kerem Camsari

Bayesian methods for learning Gaussian graphical models offer a principled framework for quantifying model uncertainty and incorporating prior knowledge. However, their scalability is constrained by the computational cost of jointly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-28 Reza Mohammadi , Marit Schoonhoven , Lucas Vogels , S. Ilker Birbil