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The Efficient Market Hypothesis has been a staple of economics research for decades. In particular, weak-form market efficiency -- the notion that past prices cannot predict future performance -- is strongly supported by econometric…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2019-09-12 Samuel Showalter , Jeffrey Gropp

The increasing availability of "big" (large volume) social media data has motivated a great deal of research in applying sentiment analysis to predict the movement of prices within financial markets. Previous work in this field investigates…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2018-11-08 Ellie Birbeck , Dave Cliff

Time series models, typically trained on numerical data, are designed to forecast future values. These models often rely on weighted averaging techniques over time intervals. However, real-world time series data is seldom isolated and is…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-07-08 Litton Jose Kurisinkel , Pruthwik Mishra , Yue Zhang

With the advent of fast-paced information dissemination and retrieval, it has become inherently important to resort to automated means of predicting stock market prices. In this paper, we propose Taureau, a framework that leverages Twitter…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-04-03 Nicholas Milikich , Joshua Johnson

The patterns of different financial data sources vary substantially, and accordingly, investors exhibit heterogeneous cognition behavior in information processing. To capture different patterns, we propose a novel approach called the…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2025-12-17 Ruize Gao , Mei Yang , Yu Wang , Shaoze Cui

In this paper, we introduce an event-driven trading strategy that predicts stock movements by detecting corporate events from news articles. Unlike existing models that utilize textual features (e.g., bag-of-words) and sentiments to…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2021-05-31 Zhihan Zhou , Liqian Ma , Han Liu

Financial analyses of stock markets rely heavily on quantitative approaches in an attempt to predict subsequent or market movements based on historical prices and other measurable metrics. These quantitative analyses might have missed out…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-08-04 Shaan Aryaman , Nguwi Yok Yen

In order to make good investment decisions, it is vitally important for an investor to know how to make good analysis of financial time series. Within this context, studies on the forecast of the values and trends of stock prices have…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-08-24 Gabriel de Oliveira Guedes Nogueira , Marcel Otoboni de Lima

In the pursuit of accurate and scalable quantitative methods for financial market analysis, the focus has shifted from individual stock models to those capturing interrelations between companies and their stocks. However, current relational…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-07-18 Lili Wang , Chenghan Huang , Chongyang Gao , Weicheng Ma , Soroush Vosoughi

The paper proposes a method of financial time series forecasting taking into account the semantics of news. For the semantic analysis of financial news the sampling of negative and positive words in economic sense was formed based on…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2017-05-25 Kateryna Kononova , Anton Dek

Stock price prediction is challenging due to market volatility and its sensitivity to real-time events. While large language models (LLMs) offer new avenues for text-based forecasting, their application in finance is hindered by noisy news…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-12-03 He Wang , Wenyilin Xiao , Songqiao Han , Hailiang Huang

Multivariate Distributions are needed to capture the correlation structure of complex systems. In previous works, we developed a Random Matrix Model for such correlated multivariate joint probability density functions that accounts for the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-12-02 Anton J. Heckens , Efstratios Manolakis , Cedric Schuhmann , Thomas Guhr

The use of intelligent systems for stock market predictions has been widely established. In this paper, we investigate how the seemingly chaotic behavior of stock markets could be well represented using several connectionist paradigms and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Ajith Abraham , Ninan Sajith Philip , P. Saratchandran

We attempt to explain stock market dynamics in terms of the interaction among three variables: market price, investor opinion and information flow. We propose a framework for such interaction and apply it to build a model of stock market…

As the number of publicly traded companies as well as the amount of their financial data grows rapidly, it is highly desired to have tracking, analysis, and eventually stock selections automated. There have been few works focusing on…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2014-06-04 Sercan Arik , Sukru Burc Eryilmaz , Adam Goldberg

Stock price prediction is a rich research topic that has attracted interest from various areas of science. The recent success of machine learning in speech and image recognition has prompted researchers to apply these methods to asset price…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2020-09-22 Firuz Kamalov

To answer this question, we fine-tune transformer-based language models, including BERT, on different sources of company-related text data for a classification task to predict the one-year stock price performance. We use three different…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2022-02-07 Stefan Pasch , Daniel Ehnes

We propose and experimentally demonstrate an innovative stock index prediction method using a weighted optical reservoir computing system. We construct fundamental market data combined with macroeconomic data and technical indicators to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-02 Fang Wang , Ting Bu , Yuping Huang

In recent years, there have been quite a few attempts to apply intelligent techniques to financial trading, i.e., constructing automatic and intelligent trading framework based on historical stock price. Due to the unpredictable,…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-03-17 Keer Yang , Guanqun Zhang , Chuan Bi , Qiang Guan , Hailu Xu , Shuai Xu

Starting from the Pearson Correlation Matrix of stock returns and from the desire to obtain a reduced number of parameters relevant for the dynamics of a financial market, we propose to take the idea of a sectorial matrix, which would have…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-11-10 Manan Vyas , M. Mijaíl Martínez-Ramos , Parisa Majari , Thomas H. Seligman