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Generative modeling of spatio-temporal fields is crucial for a variety of applications, including stochastic weather generators and climate-model surrogates. However, many such fields exhibit complex dependence structures that vary across…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-06 Carrie J. Lei-Cramer , Jian Cao , Matthias Katzfuss

Large-scale and multidimensional spatiotemporal data sets are becoming ubiquitous in many real-world applications such as monitoring urban traffic and air quality. Making predictions on these time series has become a critical challenge due…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-21 Xinyu Chen , Lijun Sun

The modelling of Earth observation data is a challenging problem, typically approached by either purely mechanistic or purely data-driven methods. Mechanistic models encode the domain knowledge and physical rules governing the system. Such…

Learning mappings between functional spaces, also known as function-on-function regression, is a fundamental problem in functional data analysis with broad applications, including spatiotemporal forecasting, curve prediction, and climate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-07 Matthew Lowery , Zhitong Xu , Da Long , Keyan Chen , Daniel S. Johnson , Yang Bai , Varun Shankar , Shandian Zhe

Deep learning approaches for spatio-temporal prediction problems such as crowd-flow prediction assumes data to be of fixed and regular shaped tensor and face challenges of handling irregular, sparse data tensor. This poses limitations in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-11-29 Syed Mohammed Arshad Zaidi , Varun Chandola , EunHye Yoo

Recent advancements in deep learning have led to the development of various models for long-term multivariate time-series forecasting (LMTF), many of which have shown promising results. Generally, the focus has been on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-02-28 Shiyi Qi , Zenglin Xu , Yiduo Li , Liangjian Wen , Qingsong Wen , Qifan Wang , Yuan Qi

High dimensional time series are endemic in applications of machine learning such as robotics (sensor data), computational biology (gene expression data), vision (video sequences) and graphics (motion capture data). Practical nonlinear…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-07-26 Andreas C. Damianou , Michalis K. Titsias , Neil D. Lawrence

Most real world phenomena such as sunlight distribution under a forest canopy, minerals concentration, stock valuation, exhibit nonstationary dynamics i.e. phenomenon variation changes depending on the locality. Nonstationary dynamics pose…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-05 Sahil Garg

Quantitative modeling of post-transcriptional regulation process is a challenging problem in systems biology. A mechanical model of the regulatory process needs to be able to describe the available spatio-temporal protein concentration and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-10-18 Mu Niu , Zhenwen Dai , Neil Lawrence , Kolja Becker

We introduce state-space models where the functionals of the observational and the evolutionary equations are unknown, and treated as random functions evolving with time. Thus, our model is nonparametric and generalizes the traditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-02-24 Anurag Ghosh , Soumalya Mukhopadhyay , Sandipan Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya

The purpose of this paper is to provide a discussion, with illustrating examples, on Bayesian forecasting for dynamic generalized linear models (DGLMs). Adopting approximate Bayesian analysis, based on conjugate forms and on Bayes linear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-02-05 K. Triantafyllopoulos

Generative dynamic texture models (GDTMs) are widely used for dynamic texture (DT) segmentation in the video sequences. GDTMs represent DTs as a set of linear dynamical systems (LDSs). A major limitation of these models concerns the…

图形学 · 计算机科学 2019-01-15 Sahar Yousefi , M. T. Manzuri Shalmani , Antoni B. Chan

Motivated by the need for analysing large spatio-temporal panel data, we introduce a novel dimensionality reduction methodology for $n$-dimensional random fields observed across a number $S$ spatial locations and $T$ time periods. We call…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-06 Matteo Barigozzi , Davide La Vecchia , Hang Liu

Modelling the behaviour of highly nonlinear dynamical systems with robust uncertainty quantification is a challenging task which typically requires approaches specifically designed to address the problem at hand. We introduce a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-25 Thomas Baldwin-McDonald , Mauricio A. Álvarez

State space models are well-known for their versatility in modeling dynamic systems that arise in various scientific disciplines. Although parametric state space models are well studied, nonparametric approaches are much less explored in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-07-23 Satyaki Mazumder , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Inspired by spatiotemporal observations from satellites of the trajectories of objects drifting near the surface of the ocean in the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's `Global Drifter Program', this paper develops data-driven…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2018-10-19 François Gay-Balmaz , Darryl D. Holm

A new dynamic latent space eigenmodel (LSM) is proposed for weighted temporal networks. The model accommodates integer-valued weights, excess of zeros, time-varying node positions (features), and time-varying network sparsity. The latent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Roberto Casarin , Matteo Iacopini , Antonio Peruzzi

The application of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) to the analysis of temporal data has attracted increasing attention, due to their ability to describe complex dynamics with physically interpretable equations. In this paper, we…

Gaussian processes (GPs) are instrumental in modeling spatial processes, offering precise interpolation and prediction capabilities across fields such as environmental science and biology. Recently, there has been growing interest in…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-04 Jiawen Chen , Aritra Halder , Yun Li , Sudipto Banerjee , Didong Li

Spatio-temporal data are ubiquitous in the agricultural, ecological, and environmental sciences, and their study is important for understanding and predicting a wide variety of processes. One of the difficulties with modeling spatial…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-25 Christopher K. Wikle