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Stress testing, and in particular, reverse stress testing, is a prominent exercise in risk management practice. Reverse stress testing, in contrast to (forward) stress testing, aims to find an alternative but plausible model such that under…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2023-10-03 Emma Kroell , Silvana M. Pesenti , Sebastian Jaimungal

The peculiar properties of the Inverse Weibull (IW) distribution are shown. It is proven that the IW distribution is one of the few models having upside- down bathtub (UBT) shaped hazard function. Three real and typical de generative…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-05-30 Pasquale Erto

In this paper we propose a new lifetime model, called the odd generalized exponential linear failure rate distribution. Some statistical properties of the proposed distribution such as the moments, the quantiles, the median, and the mode…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-28 M. A. El-Damcese , Abdelfattah Mustafa , B. S. El-Desouky , M. E. Mustafa

A reasonable segment of reliability theory is perpetrated to the study of failure rates, their properties, connections and applications. The present study focused on failure rate distributions and their shape properties. Failure rates of…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-22 Anakha K K , V M Chacko

Formalising the confrontation of opinions (models) to observations (data) is the task of Inferential Statistics. Information Theory provides us with a basic functional, the relative entropy (or Kullback-Leibler divergence), an asymmetrical…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-03-13 François Bavaud

The Lindley distribution was first introduced by Lindley in 1958 for Bayesian computations. Over the past years, various generalizations of this distribution have been proposed by different authors. The generalized Lindley distributions…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-30 Afshin Yaghoubi , Esmaile Khorram , Omid Naghshineh Arjmand

In this paper we introduce five different algorithms based on method of moments, maximum likelihood and full Bayesian estimation for learning the parameters of the Inverse Gamma distribution. We also provide an expression for the KL…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-11 A. Llera , C. F. Beckmann

The class of $\alpha$-stable distributions with a wide range of applications in economics, telecommunications, biology, applied, and theoretical physics. This is due to the fact that it possesses both the skewness and heavy tails. Since…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-11-13 Mahdi Teimouri

We present a novel Bayesian framework for inverse problems in which the pos terior distribution is interpreted as the intensity measure of a Poisson point process (PPP). The posterior density is approximated using kernel density estimation,…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-10-08 Zhiliang Deng , Zhiyuan Wang , Xiaomei Yang , Xiaofei Guan

We study with some details a lifetime model of the class of beta generalized models, called the beta inverse Rayleigh distribution, which is a special case of the Beta Fr\'echet distribution. We provide a better foundation for some…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-06-06 J. Leão , H. Saulo , M. Bourguignon , R. J. Cintra , L. C. Rêgo , G. M. Cordeiro

Different questions related with analysis of extreme values and outliers arise frequently in practice. To exclude extremal observations and outliers is not a good decision because they contain important information about the observed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-01-17 Pavlina K. Jordanova , Monika P. Petkova

This paper studies distributed estimation and support recovery for high-dimensional linear regression model with heavy-tailed noise. To deal with heavy-tailed noise whose variance can be infinite, we adopt the quantile regression loss…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-21 Xi Chen , Weidong Liu , Xiaojun Mao , Zhuoyi Yang

Modeling uncertainty in heavy-tailed time series remains a critical challenge for deep probabilistic forecasting models, which often struggle to capture abrupt, extreme events. While L\'evy stable distributions offer a natural framework for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-15 Yang Yang , Du Yin , Hao Xue , Flora Salim

A decision must often be made between heavy-tailed and Gaussian errors for a regression or a time series model, and the t-distribution is frequently used when it is assumed that the errors are heavy-tailed distributed. The performance of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-05-11 J. Martin van Zyl

We introduce a novel approach called the Bayesian Jackknife empirical likelihood method for analyzing survey data obtained from various unequal probability sampling designs. This method is particularly applicable to parameters described by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-14 Mengdong Shang , Xia Chen

We benchmark the robustness of maximum likelihood based uncertainty estimation methods to outliers in training data for regression tasks. Outliers or noisy labels in training data results in degraded performances as well as incorrect…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-09 Deebul S. Nair , Nico Hochgeschwender , Miguel A. Olivares-Mendez

We consider the problem where a modeller conducts sensitivity analysis of a model consisting of random input factors, a corresponding random output of interest, and a baseline probability measure. The modeller seeks to understand how the…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-06-01 Silvana M. Pesenti

In this paper we define the class of matrix Mittag-Leffler distributions and study some of its properties. We show that it can be interpreted as a particular case of an inhomogeneous phase-type distribution with random scaling factor, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-28 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt

This paper proposes new estimators for the propensity score that aim to maximize the covariate distribution balance among different treatment groups. Heuristically, our proposed procedure attempts to estimate a propensity score model by…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-04-07 Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna , Xiaojun Song , Qi Xu

The Weak form Estimation of Nonlinear Dynamics (WENDy) method is a recently proposed class of parameter estimation algorithms that exhibits notable noise robustness and computational efficiency. This work examines the coverage and bias…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-07 Abhi Chawla , David M. Bortz , Vanja Dukic