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We study tails of the supremum of a perturbed random walk under regime which was not yet considered in the literature. Our approach is based on a new renewal theorem, which is of independent interest. We obtain first and second order…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-12 Ewa Damek , Bartosz Kołodziejek

We consider a two dimensional reflecting random walk on the nonnegative integer quadrant. This random walk is assumed to be skip free in the direction to the boundary of the quadrant, but may have unbounded jumps in the opposite direction,…

概率论 · 数学 2014-06-24 Masahiro Kobayashi , Masakiyo Miyazawa

In this paper, we consider the $(1,R)$ state-dependent reflecting random walk (RW) on the half line, allowing the size of jumps to the right at maximal $R$ and to the left only 1. We provide an explicit criterion for positive recurrence and…

概率论 · 数学 2013-02-27 Wenming Hong , Ke Zhou

The sums and maxima of non-stationary random length sequences of regularly varying random variables may have the same tail and extremal indices, Markovich and Rodionov (2020). The main constraint is that there exists a unique series in a…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-11 Natalia Markovich

We study tail behaviour of the distribution of the area under the positive excursion of a random walk which has negative drift and heavy-tailed increments. We determine the asymptotics for tail probabilities for the area.

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-03 Denis Denisov , Elena Perfilev , Vitali Wachtel

We consider a one dimensional ballistic random walk evolving in a parametric independent and identically distributed random environment. We study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator of the parameter based on a…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-04-29 Mikael Falconnet , Dasha Loukianova , Catherine Matias

The problem of sums of independent, identically distributed random variables with stretched-exponential tails exhibits a dynamical phase transition and has recently reemerged in the context of active transport and condensation phenomena. We…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-05-11 Alberto Bassanoni , Omer Hamdi

The big jump principle is a well established mathematical result for sums of independent and identically distributed random variables extracted from a fat tailed distribution. It states that the tail of the distribution of the sum is the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-07-10 Alessandro Vezzani , Eli Barkai , Raffaella Burioni

In this paper we derive the tail asymptotics of the product of two dependent Weibull-type risks, which is of interest in various statistical and applied probability problems. Our results extend some recent findings of Schlueter and Fischer…

概率论 · 数学 2014-12-12 E. Hashorva , Z. Weng

In survival or reliability studies, the mean residual life or life expectancy is an important characteristic of the model. Here, we study the limiting behaviour of the mean residual life, and derive an asymptotic expansion which can be used…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 David M. Bradley , Ramesh C. Gupta

This paper addresses heavy-tailed large deviation estimates for the distribution tail of functionals of a class of spectrally one-sided L\'evy process. Our contribution is to show that these estimates remain valid in a near-critical regime.…

概率论 · 数学 2017-02-03 Bart Kamphorst , Bert Zwart

We obtain decay rates of probabilities of tails of polynomials in several independent random variables with heavy tails and derive stable limit theorems for nonconventional sums of such polynomials

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-26 Yuri Kifer , S. R. S. Varadhan

We derive tail asymptotics for the running maximum of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. The main result is proved by the saddle point method, where the tail estimate uses a new monotonicity property of the Kummer function. This auxiliary…

概率论 · 数学 2020-04-23 Stefan Gerhold , Friedrich Hubalek , Richard B. Paris

We consider a class of stationary processes exhibiting both long-range dependence and heavy tails. Separate limit theorems for sums and for extremes have been established recently in literature with novel objects appearing in the limits. In…

概率论 · 数学 2023-09-12 Shuyang Bai , He Tang

For a set of dependent random variables, without stationary or the strong mixing assumptions, we derive the asymptotic independence between their sums and maxima. Then we apply this result to high-dimensional testing problems, where we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-12 Long Feng , Tiefeng Jiang , Xiaoyun Li , Binghui Liu

We compute the tail asymptotics of the product of a beta random variable and a generalized gamma random variable which are independent and have general parameters. A special case of these asymptotics were proved and used in a recent work of…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-10 Jim Pitman , Miklos Z. Racz

We derive subexponential tail asymptotics for the distribution of the maximum of a compound renewal process with linear component and of a L\'evy process, both with negative drift, over random time horizon $\tau$ that does not depend on the…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-07 Sergey Foss , Dmitry Korshunov , Zbigniew Palmowski

This note studies the asymptotic properties of the variable $$Z_d:=\frac{X_1}{d}|\{X_1+X_2=d\},$$ as $d\to \infty$. Here $X_1$ and $X_2$ are non-negative i.i.d. variables with a common twice differentiable density function $f$. General…

概率论 · 数学 2015-05-01 Jaakko Lehtomaa

We study tail behaviour of the distribution of the area under the positive excursion of a random walk which has negative drift and light-tailed increments. We determine the asymptotics for local probabilities for the area and prove a local…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-22 Elena Perfilev , Vitali Wachtel

We consider a Markov chain on $R^+$ with asymptotically zero drift and finite second moments of jumps which is positive recurrent. A power-like asymptotic behaviour of the invariant tail distribution is proven; such a heavy-tailed invariant…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-16 Denis Denisov , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel