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We investigate the evolution of epidemics over dynamical networks when nodes choose to interact with others in a selfish and decentralized manner. Specifically, we analyze the susceptible-asymptomatic-infected-recovered (SAIR) epidemic in…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-09-28 Ashish R. Hota , Tanya Sneh , Kavish Gupta

Understanding infectious disease spread remains a critical public health challenge, particularly given the interplay between household dynamics and community transmission patterns. Traditional epidemiological models often oversimplify these…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-01-21 Houda Yaqine , Christiane Fuchs

The SIR model is a three-compartment model of the time development of an epidemic. After normalizing the dependent variables, the model is a system of two non-linear differential equations for the susceptible proportion $S$ and the infected…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-04-27 William G. Faris

Sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) are a group of pathogens infecting new hosts through sexual interactions. Due to its social and economic burden, multiple models have been proposed to study the spreading of pathogens. In parallel, in…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-12-10 Teddy Lazebnik

For preventing the spread of epidemics such as the coronavirus disease COVID-19, social distancing and the isolation of infected persons are crucial. However, existing reaction-diffusion equations for epidemic spreading are incapable of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2020-11-18 Michael te Vrugt , Jens Bickmann , Raphael Wittkowski

Since 1927, until recently, models describing the spread of disease have mostly been of the SIR-compartmental type, based on the assumption that populations are homogeneous and well-mixed. The focus of these models have typically been on…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-07-23 Lara Goscé , David A W Barton , Anders Johansson

In this manuscript, we develop a mobility-based Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model to elucidate the dynamics of pandemic propagation. While traditional SIR models within the field of epidemiology aptly characterize transitions…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-01-16 Ciana Applegate , Jiaxu Li , Dan Han

The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak was declared a pandemic in March 2020 and since then it has had a significant effect on all aspects of life. Although we live in an information era, we do not have accurate information about this…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-04-20 Amin Mahmoudi , Victoria Wai-lan Yeung , Eric W. K. See-To

Recently the A/H1N1-2009 virus pandemic appeared in Mexico and in other nations. We present a study of this pandemic in the Mexican case using the SIR model to describe epidemics. This model is one of the simplest models but it has been a…

生物物理 · 物理学 2012-10-26 Mario A. Rodriguez-Meza

We consider the edge-based compartmental models for infectious disease spread introduced in Part I. These models allow us to consider standard SIR diseases spreading in random populations. In this paper we show how to handle deviations of…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-09-03 Joel C. Miller , Erik M. Volz

The ways of communication and social interactions are changing. Web users are becoming increasingly engaged with Online Social Networks (OSN), which has a significant impact on the relationship mechanisms between individuals and…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-09-11 Lucas V. A. Caldas , Antonio F. L. Jacob , Simone S. C. Silva , Fernando A. R. Pontes , Fábio M. F. Lobato

We consider an SEIR epidemic model on a network also allowing random contacts, where recovered individuals could either recover naturally or be diagnosed. Upon diagnosis, manual contact tracing is triggered such that each infected network…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-06-06 Dongni Zhang , Tom Britton

Epidemic modelling on complex networks has been studied intensively all the time. The majority of relative research assumes that the time scale of the underlying network evolution is much larger compared to the propagation dynamics on it,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-04-14 Minyu Feng , Yuhan Li , Jürgen Kurths

The ability to actually implement epidemic models is a crucial stake for public institutions, as they may be overtaken by the increasing complexity of current models and sometimes tend to revert to less elaborate models such as the SIR. In…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-12-19 Louis Bremaud , Olivier Giraud , Denis Ullmo

This paper proposes a novel discrete-time multi-virus susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model that captures the spread of competing epidemics over a population network. First, we provide sufficient conditions for the infection level of…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-05-17 Ciyuan Zhang , Sebin Gracy , Tamer Basar , Philip E. Pare

Models of disease spreading are critical for predicting infection growth in a population and evaluating public health policies. However, standard models typically represent the dynamics of disease transmission between individuals using…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-06-07 Christopher A. Browne , Daniel B. Amchin , Joanna Schneider , Sujit S. Datta

Compartmental models of epidemics are widely used to forecast the effects of communicable diseases such as COVID-19 and to guide policy. Although it has long been known that such processes take place on social networks, the assumption of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-03-14 Samuel Johnson

In the last few decades sociologists were trying to explain human behaviour by analysing social networks, which requires access to data about interpersonal relationships. This represented a big obstacle in this research field until the…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2018-07-03 Luka Humski , Damir Pintar , Mihaela Vranić

In this article, we model and study the spread of COVID-19 in Germany, Japan, India and highly impacted states in India, i.e., in Delhi, Maharashtra, West Bengal, Kerala and Karnataka. We consider recorded data published in Worldometers and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-03-15 Ian Cooper , Argha Mondal , Chris G. Antonopoulos , Arindam Mishra

The global pandemic of the 2019-nCov requires the evaluation of policy interventions to mitigate future social and economic costs of quarantine measures worldwide. We propose an epidemiological model for forecasting and policy evaluation…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-10-30 Philip Nadler , Shuo Wang , Rossella Arcucci , Xian Yang , Yike Guo