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This paper proposed a model to predict the stock price based on combining Self-Organizing Map (SOM) and fuzzy-Support Vector Machines (f-SVM). Extraction of fuzzy rules from raw data based on the combining of statistical machine learning…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-08-25 Duc-Hien Nguyen , Manh-Thanh Le

In this bachelor thesis, we show how four different machine learning methods (Long Short-Term Memory, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine Regression, and k-Nearest Neighbor) perform compared to already successfully applied trading…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2022-08-16 Danijel Jevtic , Romain Deleze , Joerg Osterrieder

Building predictive models for robust and accurate prediction of stock prices and stock price movement is a challenging research problem to solve. The well-known efficient market hypothesis believes in the impossibility of accurate…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-10-12 Jaydip Sen , Sidra Mehtab

Stock price forecasting is an important issue for investors since extreme accuracy in forecasting can bring about high profits. Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) and Longest Common/Repeated Sub-sequence (LCS/LRS) are two important issues for…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2015-06-23 He-Wen Chen , Zih-Ci Wang , Shu-Yu Kuo , Yao-Hsin Chou

With the widespread engineering applications ranging from artificial intelligence and big data decision-making, originally a lot of tedious financial data processing, processing and analysis have become more and more convenient and…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-02-26 Quanxi Wang

Forecasting stock prices can be interpreted as a time series prediction problem, for which Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks are often used due to their architecture specifically built to solve such problems. In this paper, we…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-14 Akash Doshi , Alexander Issa , Puneet Sachdeva , Sina Rafati , Somnath Rakshit

Navigating the intricate landscape of financial markets requires adept forecasting of stock price movements. This paper delves into the potential of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks for predicting stock dynamics, with a focus on…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2024-03-29 Nisarg Patel , Harmit Shah , Kishan Mewada

Stock price prediction is a rich research topic that has attracted interest from various areas of science. The recent success of machine learning in speech and image recognition has prompted researchers to apply these methods to asset price…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2020-09-22 Firuz Kamalov

In this paper, we introduce Masked Multi-Step Multivariate Forecasting (MMMF), a novel and general self-supervised learning framework for time series forecasting with known future information. In many real-world forecasting scenarios, some…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-09-30 Yiwei Fu , Honggang Wang , Nurali Virani

Stock price prediction is of significant importance in quantitative investment. Existing approaches encounter two primary issues: First, they often overlook the crucial role of capturing short-term stock fluctuations for predicting…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-11-12 Chengqi Dong , Zhiyuan Cao , S Kevin Zhou , Jia Liu

This paper describes an approach to simultaneously identify clusters and estimate cluster-specific regression parameters from the given data. Such an approach can be useful in learning the relationship between input and output when the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-01-02 Udai Nagpal , Krishan Nagpal

Financial time series prediction, a growing research topic, has attracted considerable interest from scholars, and several approaches have been developed. Among them, decomposition-based methods have achieved promising results. Most…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2023-01-02 Hamid Nasiri , Mohammad Mehdi Ebadzadeh

Long-term investors, different from short-term traders, focus on examining the underlying forces that affect the well-being of a company. They rely on fundamental analysis which attempts to measure the intrinsic value an equity.…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2019-05-14 Jessie Sun

In an era where financial markets are heavily influenced by many static and dynamic factors, it has become increasingly critical to carefully integrate diverse data sources with machine learning for accurate stock price prediction. This…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-03-10 Furkan Karadaş , Bahaeddin Eravcı , Ahmet Murat Özbayoğlu

We propose and experimentally demonstrate an innovative stock index prediction method using a weighted optical reservoir computing system. We construct fundamental market data combined with macroeconomic data and technical indicators to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-02 Fang Wang , Ting Bu , Yuping Huang

The purpose of this paper is to propose a time-varying vector autoregressive model (TV-VAR) for forecasting multivariate time series. The model is casted into a state-space form that allows flexible description and analysis. The volatility…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 K. Triantafyllopoulos

Describing the world behavior through mathematical functions help scientists to achieve a better understanding of the inner mechanisms of different phenomena. Traditionally, this is done by deriving new equations from first principles and…

This paper proposes a class of parametric multiple-index time series models that involve linear combinations of time trends, stationary variables and unit root processes as regressors. The inclusion of the three different types of time…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-11-04 Chaohua Dong , Jiti Gao , Bin Peng , Yundong Tu

I develop Macroeconomic Random Forest (MRF), an algorithm adapting the canonical Machine Learning (ML) tool to flexibly model evolving parameters in a linear macro equation. Its main output, Generalized Time-Varying Parameters (GTVPs), is a…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-03-08 Philippe Goulet Coulombe

In this paper we formulate a regression problem to predict realized volatility by using option price data and enhance VIX-styled volatility indices' predictability and liquidity. We test algorithms including regularized regression and…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2019-09-24 Peter Carr , Liuren Wu , Zhibai Zhang