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Functional mixed models are widely useful for regression analysis with dependent functional data, including longitudinal functional data with scalar predictors. However, existing algorithms for Bayesian inference with these models only…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-14 Thomas Y. Sun , Daniel R. Kowal

We propose a very fast approximate Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling framework that is applicable to a large class of sparse Bayesian inference problems, where the computational cost per iteration in several models is of order…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-08-17 Yves Atchadé , Liwei Wang

Performing Bayesian inference via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) can be exceedingly expensive when posterior evaluations invoke the evaluation of a computationally expensive model, such as a system of partial differential equations. In…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-12-27 Patrick Conrad , Andrew Davis , Youssef Marzouk , Natesh Pillai , Aaron Smith

Probabilistic models are conceptually powerful tools for finding structure in data, but their practical effectiveness is often limited by our ability to perform inference in them. Exact inference is frequently intractable, so approximate…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-07-25 Robert Nishihara , Iain Murray , Ryan P. Adams

Integration over non-negative integrands is a central problem in machine learning (e.g. for model averaging, (hyper-)parameter marginalisation, and computing posterior predictive distributions). Bayesian Quadrature is a probabilistic…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-12-05 Ed Wagstaff , Saad Hamid , Michael Osborne

Despite the enormous success of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and related Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, sampling often still represents the computational bottleneck in scientific applications. Availability of parallel resources can…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-26 Jakob Robnik , Uroš Seljak

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are foundational algorithms for Bayesian inference and probabilistic modeling. However, most MCMC algorithms are inherently sequential and their time complexity scales linearly with the sequence…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-12-03 David M. Zoltowski , Skyler Wu , Xavier Gonzalez , Leo Kozachkov , Scott W. Linderman

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have become powerful tools for Bayesian inference. However, they do not scale well to large-data problems. Divide-and-conquer strategies, which split the data into batches and, for each batch, run…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-07-18 Christopher Nemeth , Chris Sherlock

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a powerful methodology for the approximation of posterior distributions. However, the iterative nature of MCMC does not naturally facilitate its use with modern highly parallel computation on HPC and cloud…

In Bayesian inverse problems, one aims at characterizing the posterior distribution of a set of unknowns, given indirect measurements. For non-linear/non-Gaussian problems, analytic solutions are seldom available: Sequential Monte Carlo…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-26 Alessandro Viani , Adam M Johansen , Alberto Sorrentino

In the era of Big Data, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, which are currently essential for Bayesian estimation, face significant computational challenges owing to their sequential nature. To achieve a faster and more effective…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-11-08 Tomoki Matsumoto

Efficient sampling of many-dimensional and multimodal density functions is a task of great interest in many research fields. We describe an algorithm that allows parallelizing inherently serial Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling by…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-08-10 Vasyl Hafych , Philipp Eller , Oliver Schulz , Allen Caldwell

Divide-and-conquer based methods for Bayesian inference provide a general approach for tractable posterior inference when the sample size is large. These methods divide the data into smaller subsets, sample from the posterior distribution…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-21 Sanvesh Srivastava , Cheng Li , David B. Dunson

Standard MCMC methods can scale poorly to big data settings due to the need to evaluate the likelihood at each iteration. There have been a number of approximate MCMC algorithms that use sub-sampling ideas to reduce this computational…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Joris Bierkens , Paul Fearnhead , Gareth Roberts

Embarrassingly parallel Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) exploits parallel computing to scale Bayesian inference to large datasets by using a two-step approach. First, MCMC is run in parallel on (sub)posteriors defined on data partitions.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-31 Daniel Augusto de Souza , Diego Mesquita , Samuel Kaski , Luigi Acerbi

Developing efficient MCMC algorithms is indispensable in Bayesian inference. In parallel tempering, multiple interacting MCMC chains run to more efficiently explore the state space and improve performance. The multiple chains advance…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-09-15 A. Marie d'Avigneau , S. S. Singh , L. M. Murray

Using Markov chain Monte Carlo to sample from posterior distributions was the key innovation which made Bayesian data analysis practical. Notoriously, however, MCMC is hard to tune, hard to diagnose, and hard to parallelize. This…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-03-18 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

The posterior probability distribution for a set of model parameters encodes all that the data have to tell us in the context of a given model; it is the fundamental quantity for Bayesian parameter estimation. In order to infer the…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2015-06-16 Rupert Allison , Joanna Dunkley

Conventional frequentist learning, as assumed by existing federated learning protocols, is limited in its ability to quantify uncertainty, incorporate prior knowledge, guide active learning, and enable continual learning. Bayesian learning…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-08-31 Dongzhu Liu , Osvaldo Simeone

Bayesian methods are commonly applied to solve image analysis problems such as noise-reduction, feature enhancement and object detection. A primary limitation of these approaches is the computational complexity due to the interdependence of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-01 Konstantinos Bakas , John Kornak , Hernando Ombao