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Bayesian nonparametric inferential procedures based on Markov chain Monte Carlo marginal methods typically yield point estimates in the form of posterior expectations. Though very useful and easy to implement in a variety of statistical…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-05-04 Julyan Arbel , Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti

In this paper we study the asymptotic normality in high-dimensional linear regression. We focus on the case where the covariance matrix of the regression variables has a KMS structure, in asymptotic settings where the number of predictors,…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-17 Saulius Jokubaitis , Remigijus Leipus

This paper aims to develop new mathematical and computational tools for modeling the distribution of portfolio returns across portfolios. We establish relevant mathematical formulas and propose efficient algorithms, drawing upon powerful…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2021-05-17 Ludovic Calès , Apostolos Chalkis , Ioannis Z. Emiris

In this study we suggest a portfolio selection framework based on option-implied information and multivariate non-Gaussian models. The proposed models incorporate skewness, kurtosis and more complex dependence structures among stocks…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2018-05-28 Michele Leonardo Bianchi , Gian Luca Tassinari

We develop a recursion for hidden Markov model of any order h, which allows us to obtain the posterior distribution of the latent state at every occasion, given the previous h states and the observed data. With respect to the well-known…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-01-04 Francesco Bartolucci

This paper proposes a new method for financial portfolio optimization based on reducing simultaneous asset shocks across a collection of assets. This may be understood as an alternative approach to risk reduction in a portfolio based on a…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2023-03-10 Nick James , Max Menzies , Jennifer Chan

In this paper, we tackle the dynamic mean-variance portfolio selection problem in a {\it model-free} manner, based on (generative) diffusion models. We propose using data sampled from the real model $\mathbb P$ (which is unknown) with…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-09-03 Ahmad Aghapour , Erhan Bayraktar , Fengyi Yuan

We consider Markov decision processes (MDPs) in which the transition probabilities and rewards belong to an uncertainty set parametrized by a collection of random variables. The probability distributions for these random parameters are…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2020-02-26 Murat Cubuktepe , Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Ufuk Topcu

We consider the problem of mean-variance portfolio optimization for a generic covariance matrix subject to the budget constraint and the constraint for the expected return, with the application of the replica method borrowed from the…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2017-01-04 Istvan Varga-Haszonits , Fabio Caccioli , Imre Kondor

In this paper, we study large losses arising from defaults of a credit portfolio. We assume that the portfolio dependence structure is modelled by the Archimedean copula family as opposed to the widely used Gaussian copula. The resulting…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-11-12 Hengxin Cui , Ken Seng Tan , Fan Yang

A new notion of stochastic ordering is introduced to compare multivariate stochastic risk models with respect to extreme portfolio losses. In the framework of multivariate regular variation comparison criteria are derived in terms of…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2010-10-26 Georg Mainik , Ludger Rüschendorf

Consider the ensemble of Real Symmetric Toeplitz Matrices, each entry iidrv from a fixed probability distribution p of mean 0, variance 1, and finite higher moments. The limiting spectral measure (the density of normalized eigenvalues)…

概率论 · 数学 2010-11-16 Christopher Hammond , Steven J. Miller

With the good development in the financial industry, the market starts to catch people's eyes, not only by the diversified investing choices ranging from bonds and stocks to futures and options but also by the general "high-risk,…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2020-07-03 Qingyin Ge , Yunuo Ma , Yuezhi Liao , Rongyu Li , Tianle Zhu

This paper derives the asymptotic distribution of variance weighted Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics for conditional moment inequality models for the case of a one dimensional covariate. The asymptotic distribution depends on the data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-02-02 Timothy B. Armstrong

We consider the problem of sampling from a target distribution, which is \emph {not necessarily logconcave}, in the context of empirical risk minimization and stochastic optimization as presented in Raginsky et al. (2017). Non-asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-03 Ngoc Huy Chau , Éric Moulines , Miklos Rásonyi , Sotirios Sabanis , Ying Zhang

This paper explores the practical approach to portfolio selection methods for investments. The study delves into portfolio theory, discussing concepts such as expected return, variance, asset correlation, and opportunity sets. It also…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2024-10-16 Carlos Minutti-Martinez

In this paper, we investigate a continuous time version of the Stochastic Langevin Monte Carlo method, introduced in [WT11], that incorporates a stochastic sampling step inside the traditional over-damped Langevin diffusion. This method is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-01-10 Marelys Crespo Navas , Sébastien Gadat , Xavier Gendre

The Hawkes process is a widely used model in many areas, such as finance, seismology, neuroscience, epidemiology, and social sciences. Estimation of the Hawkes process from continuous observations of a sample path is relatively…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-23 Feng Chen , Jeffrey Kwan , Tom Stindl

This paper discusses asymptotic distributions of various estimators of the underlying parameters in some regression models with long memory (LM) Gaussian design and nonparametric heteroscedastic LM moving average errors. In the simple…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-12-18 Hongwen Guo , Hira L. Koul

An autoregressive process with Markov regime is an autoregressive process for which the regression function at each time point is given by a nonobservable Markov chain. In this paper we consider the asymptotic properties of the maximum…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Tobias Ryden