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How could LLMs influence our democracy? We investigate LLMs' political leanings and the potential influence of LLMs on voters by conducting multiple experiments in a U.S. presidential election context. Through a voting simulation, we first…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-11-12 Yujin Potter , Shiyang Lai , Junsol Kim , James Evans , Dawn Song

A multi-level model of opinion formation is presented which takes into account that attitudes on different issues are usually not independent. In the model, agents exchange beliefs regarding a series of facts. A cognitive structure of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-10-11 Sven Banisch , Eckehard Olbrich

The emergence of Large Language Models (LLMs), has opened exciting possibilities for constructing computational simulations designed to replicate human behavior accurately. Current research suggests that LLM-based agents become increasingly…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-12-18 Amir Taubenfeld , Yaniv Dover , Roi Reichart , Ariel Goldstein

We propose models for lobbying in a probabilistic environment, in which an actor (called "The Lobby") seeks to influence voters' preferences of voting for or against multiple issues when the voters' preferences are represented in terms of…

计算复杂性 · 计算机科学 2011-03-01 Daniel Binkele-Raible , Gábor Erdélyi , Henning Fernau , Judy Goldsmith , Nicholas Mattei , Jörg Rothe

AI agents are increasingly transacting on behalf of users -- delegating tasks, spending budgets, and negotiating with unfamiliar counterparties. Unlike human marketplaces, which operate under institutional designs refined over centuries,…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2026-05-29 Xuan Liu , Haoyang Shang , Haojian Jin

We develop a simple theoretic game a model to analyze the relationship between electoral sys tems and governments' choice in trade policies. We show that existence of international pressure or foreign lobby changes a government's final…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-03-13 Serkan Kucuksenel , Osman Gulseven

As AI usage becomes more prevalent in social contexts, understanding agent-user interaction is critical to designing systems that improve both individual and group outcomes. We present an online behavioral experiment (N = 243) in which…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-02-16 Kehang Zhu , Nithum Thain , Vivian Tsai , James Wexler , Crystal Qian

The diffusion of opinions in Social Networks is a relevant process for adopting positions and attracting potential voters in political campaigns. Opinion polarization, bias, targeted diffusion, and the radicalization of postures are key…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-01-10 Didier A. Vega-Oliveros , Helder L. C. Grande , Flavio Iannelli , Federico Vazquez

We introduce and study a simple model for the dynamics of voting intention in a population of agents that have to choose between two candidates. The level of indecision of a given agent is modeled by its propensity to vote for one of the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-01-08 Federico Vazquez , Nicolas Saintier , Juan Pablo Pinasco

In repeated games, such as auctions, players rely on autonomous learning agents to choose their actions. We study settings in which players have their agents make monetary transfers to other agents during play at their own expense, in order…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2026-02-12 Yoav Kolumbus , Joe Halpern , Éva Tardos

We analyze the evolution of political organizations using a model in which agents change their opinions via two competing mechanisms. Two agents may interact and reach consensus, and additionally, individual agents may spontaneously change…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim

The voter model consists of a set of agents whose opinion is a binary variable. At each time step, an agent along with a social neighbor is selected and the agent imitates the social neighbor at the next time step. In this paper, we study a…

概率论 · 数学 2023-07-06 Hsin-Lun Li

Online social networks have transformed the ways in which political mobilization messages are disseminated, raising new questions about how peer influence operates at scale. Building on the landmark 61-million-person Facebook experiment…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-10-31 Sadegh Shirani , Mohsen Bayati

Coalition negotiations are a cornerstone of parliamentary democracies, characterised by complex interactions and strategic communications among political parties. Despite its significance, the modelling of these negotiations has remained…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-02-20 Farhad Moghimifar , Yuan-Fang Li , Robert Thomson , Gholamreza Haffari

Issue salience is a major determinant in voters' decisions. Candidates and political parties campaign to shift salience to their advantage - a process termed priming. We study the dynamics, strategies and equilibria of campaign spending for…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2024-12-30 Jonathan Shaki , Yonatan Aumann , Sarit Kraus

We develop a theory of distributive competition under redistricting that explains both electoral outcomes and the equilibrium allocation of policy benefits by endogenizing voter pivotality. In a multi-district model with primaries, general…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-03 Thomas Groll , Sharyn O'Halloran

Inspired by the spread of discontent as in the 2016 presidential election, we consider a voter model in which 0's are ordinary voters and 1's are zealots. Thinking of a social network, but desiring the simplicity of an infinite object that…

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-23 Ran Huo , Rick Durrett

This paper presents a simple agent-based model of an economic system, populated by agents playing different games according to their different view about social cohesion and tax payment. After a first set of simulations, correctly…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2018-09-24 L. S. Di Mauro , A. Pluchino , A. E. Biondo

In this paper we study the impact of news media and public surveys on the electoral campaigns for political competitions. We present an agent-based model that addresses the effective influence of surveys in orienting the opinions of voters…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-03-28 A. E. Biondo , A. Pluchino , A. Rapisarda

How does targeted advertising influence electoral outcomes? This paper presents a one-dimensional spatial model of voting in which a privately informed challenger persuades voters to support him over the status quo. I show that targeted…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-01-01 Maria Titova