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Throughout the course of an epidemic, the rate at which disease spreads varies with behavioral changes, the emergence of new disease variants, and the introduction of mitigation policies. Estimating such changes in transmission rates can…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-29 Jenny Huang , Raphaël Morsomme , David Dunson , Jason Xu

Random sampling is an essential tool in the processing and transmission of data. It is used to summarize data too large to store or manipulate and meet resource constraints on bandwidth or battery power. Estimators that are applied to the…

数据库 · 计算机科学 2015-03-19 Edith Cohen , Haim Kaplan

Many real-world applications based on spreading processes in complex networks aim to deliver information to specific target nodes. However, it remains challenging to optimally select a set of spreaders to initiate the spreading process. In…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2023-08-15 Renquan Zhang , Xiaolin Wang , Sen Pei

Source localization aims to locate information diffusion sources only given the diffusion observation, which has attracted extensive attention in the past few years. Existing methods are mostly tailored for single networks and may not be…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-04-24 Chen Ling , Tanmoy Chowdhury , Jie Ji , Sirui Li , Andreas Züfle , Liang Zhao

In this paper we investigate a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model describing data dissemination in opportunistic networks with heterogeneous setting of transmission parameters. We obtained the estimation of the final…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2014-03-28 Vadim Alexeev , Liudmila Rozanova , Alexander Temerev

Respondent driven sampling (RDS) is a method often used to estimate population properties (e.g. sexual risk behavior) in hard-to-reach populations. It combines an effective modified snowball sampling methodology with an estimation procedure…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-08-19 Jens Malmros , Naoki Masuda , Tom Britton

Multidimensional continuous-time Markov jump processes $(Z(t))$ on $\mathbb{Z}^p$ form a usual set-up for modeling $SIR$-like epidemics. However, when facing incomplete epidemic data, inference based on $(Z(t))$ is not easy to be achieved.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-01-03 Romain Guy , Catherine Larédo , Elisabeta Vergu

Given the output of a data source taking values in a finite alphabet, we wish to detect change-points, that is times when the statistical properties of the source change. Motivated by ideas of match lengths in information theory, we…

We propose a new method to estimate a root-directed spanning tree from extreme data. A prominent example is a river network, to be discovered from extreme flow measured at a set of stations. Our new algorithm utilizes qualitative aspects of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-29 Ngoc Mai Tran , Johannes Buck , Claudia Klüppelberg

The support recovery problem consists of determining a sparse subset of a set of variables that is relevant in generating a set of observations, and arises in a diverse range of settings such as compressive sensing, and subset selection in…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-08-31 Jonathan Scarlett , Volkan Cevher

We study the problem of estimating the source of a network cascade. The cascade starts from a single vertex at time 0 and spreads over time, but only a noisy version of the propagation is observable. The goal is then to design a stopping…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-23 Anirudh Sridhar , H. Vincent Poor

The rapid spread of rumors on social media has posed significant challenges to maintaining public trust and information integrity. Since an information cascade process is essentially a propagation tree, recent rumor detection models…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-07-28 Wei Jiang , Tong Chen , Xinyi Gao , Wentao Zhang , Lizhen Cui , Hongzhi Yin

Dependency networks (Heckerman et al., 2000) provide a flexible framework for modeling complex systems with many variables by combining independently learned local conditional distributions through pseudo-Gibbs sampling. Despite their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-02 Kazuya Takabatake , Shotaro Akaho

Inferring the causal direction and causal effect between two discrete random variables X and Y from a finite sample is often a crucial problem and a challenging task. However, if we have access to observational and interventional data, it…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-16 Peter Gmeiner

In this paper, we develop a node-based approximate model for Markovian contagion dynamics on networks. We prove that our approximate model is exact for SIR (susceptible-infectious-recovered) and SEIR…

动力系统 · 数学 2021-08-17 Cameron L. Hall , Bram A. Siebert

Approximate inference via information projection has been recently introduced as a general-purpose approach for efficient probabilistic inference given sparse variables. This manuscript goes beyond classical sparsity by proposing efficient…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-07-13 Rajiv Khanna , Joydeep Ghosh , Russell Poldrack , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

Source enumeration, the task of estimating the number of sources from the signal received by the array of antennas, is a critical problem in array signal processing. Numerous methods have been proposed to estimate the number of sources…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-03 Gokularam Muthukrishnan , Siva Shanmugam , Sheetal Kalyani

A standard model for epidemics is the SIR model on a graph. We introduce a simple algorithm that uses the early infection times from a sample path of the SIR model to estimate the parameters this model, and we provide a performance…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2020-08-11 Charles Clum , Dustin G. Mixon

A large number of explicit estimators are proposed in this paper for loss rate estimation in a network of the tree topology. All of the estimators are proved to be unbiased and consistent instead of asymptotic unbiased as that obtained in…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-08-06 Weiping Zhu

We use the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model for disease spread over a network, and empirically study how well various centrality measures perform at identifying which nodes in a network will be the best spreaders of disease on 10…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2012-08-23 Brian Macdonald , Paulo Shakarian , Nicholas Howard , Geoffrey Moores
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