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We propose a numerical method to evaluate the performance of the emerging Generalized Shiryaev--Roberts (GSR) change-point detection procedure in a "minimax-ish" multi-cyclic setup where the procedure of choice is applied repetitively…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-12-19 Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Grigory Sokolov , Wenyu Du

We derive analytically an exact closed-form formula for the standard minimax Average Run Length (ARL) to false alarm delivered by the Generalized Shiryaev-Roberts (GSR) change-point detection procedure devised to detect a shift in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-23 Wenyu Du , Grigory Sokolov , Aleksey S. Polunchenko

The gist of the quickest change-point detection problem is to detect the presence of a change in the statistical behavior of a series of sequentially made observations, and do so in an optimal detection-speed-vs.-"false-positive"-risk…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-04-21 Wenyu Du , Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Grigory Sokolov

We consider the quickest change-point detection problem where the aim is to detect the onset of a pre-specified drift in "live"-monitored standard Brownian motion; the change-point is assumed unknown (nonrandom). The object of interest is…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-04-19 Aleksey S. Polunchenko

We consider the quickest change-point detection problem where the aim is to detect the onset of a pre-specified drift in "live"-monitored standard Brownian motion; the change-point is assumed unknown (nonrandom). The topic of interest is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-18 Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Grigory Sokolov

For the most popular sequential change detection rules such as CUSUM, EWMA, and the Shiryaev-Roberts test, we develop integral equations and a concise numerical method to compute a number of performance metrics, including average detection…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-09-15 George V. Moustakides , Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

We address the sequential change-point detection problem for the Gaussian model where baseline distribution is Gaussian with variance \sigma^2 and mean \mu such that \sigma^2=a\mu, where a>0 is a known constant; the change is in \mu from…

Quickest change point detection is concerned with the detection of statistical change(s) in sequences while minimizing the detection delay subject to false alarm constraints. In this paper, the problem of change point detection is studied…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-06-19 George Atia

Sequential change-point detection in non-Gaussian stochastic processes is challenging because the underlying densities are rarely known in real time. Classical parametric procedures such as CUSUM lose optimality under distributional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-28 Serhii Zabolotnii

We consider the problem of efficient on-line anomaly detection in computer network traffic. The problem is approached statistically, as that of sequential (quickest) changepoint detection. A multi-cyclic setting of quickest change detection…

应用统计 · 统计学 2013-07-23 Alexander G. Tartakovsky , Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Grigory Sokolov

We consider a sequential Bayesian changepoint detection problem for a general stochastic model, assuming that the observed data may be dependent and non-identically distributed and the prior distribution of the change point is arbitrary,…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-15 Alexander G. Tartakovsky

This paper investigates change point detection in state space models, in which the pre-change distribution $f^{\theta_0}$ is given, while the poster distribution $f^{\theta}$ after change is unknown. The problem is to raise an alarm as soon…

概率论 · 数学 2019-06-11 Cheng-Der Fuh

We consider the problem of efficient financial surveillance aimed at "on-the-go" detection of structural breaks (anomalies) in "live"-monitored financial time series. With the problem approached statistically, viz. as that of multi-cyclic…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-12-04 Andrey Pepelyshev , Aleksey S. Polunchenko

We consider the simple changepoint problem setting, where observations are independent, iid pre-change and iid post-change, with known pre- and post-change distributions. The Shiryaev-Roberts detection procedure is known to be…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-06-07 Moshe Pollak , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

A weighted Shiryaev-Roberts change detection procedure is shown to approximately minimize the expected delay to detection as well as higher moments of the detection delay among all change-point detection procedures with the given low…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-04 Serguei Pergamenchtchikov , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

In this paper, we study the quickest change detection with mismatched post-change models. A change point is the time instant at which the distribution of a random process changes. The objective of quickest change detection is to minimize…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-27 Jingxian Wu , Jing Yang

The paper addresses a sequential changepoint detection problem for a general stochastic model, assuming that the observed data may be non-i.i.d. (i.e., dependent and non-identically distributed) and the prior distribution of the change…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-25 Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Several variations of the Shiryaev-Roberts detection procedure in the context of the simple changepoint problem are considered: starting the procedure at $R_0=0$ (the original Shiryaev-Roberts procedure), at $R_0=r$ for fixed $r>0$, and at…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-17 Alexander G. Tartakovsky , Moshe Pollak , Aleksey S. Polunchenko

We consider the quickest change-point detection problem in pointwise and minimax settings for general dependent data models. Two new classes of sequential detection procedures associated with the maximal "local" probability of a false alarm…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-18 Serguei M. Pergamenchtchikov , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

We consider the problem of quickest change-point detection where the observations form a first-order autoregressive (AR) process driven by temporally independent standard Gaussian noise. Subject to possible change are both the drift of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-06-06 Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Vasanthan Raghavan
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