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Most cost-benefit analyses assume that the estimates of costs and benefits are more or less accurate and unbiased. But what if, in reality, estimates are highly inaccurate and biased? Then the assumption that cost-benefit analysis is a…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2021-12-07 Bent Flyvbjerg , Dirk W. Bester

In this paper, we focus on the different traffic flow models that exist in literature. Due to our frequently encountered confusion among traffic engineers and policy makers, this paper goes into more detail about transportation planning…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-09-29 Sven Maerivoet , Bart De Moor

Implementing large-scale information and communication technology (IT) projects carries large risks and easily might disrupt operations, waste taxpayers' money, and create negative publicity. Because of the high risks it is important that…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2013-06-04 Alexander Budzier , Bent Flyvbjerg

This report reviews the Edinburgh tram project's risk management. Projects frequently overrun their cost and timelines and fall short on intended benefits. Cost, schedule, and benefit risk of projects need to be carefully considered to…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2018-05-31 Bent Flyvbjerg , Alexander Budzier

This study aims to assist Company leaders and management team in providing more accurate time and cost estimations for future software projects. This paper focuses on analyzing the relationship between project complexity and cost and time…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2022-03-02 Mahta Taghi Zadeh , Rasha Kashef

This paper takes stock of megaproject management, an emerging and hugely costly field of study. First, it answers the question of how large megaprojects are by measuring them in the units mega, giga, and tera, concluding we are presently…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2014-09-02 Bent Flyvbjerg

This study introduces a novel framework to model cost overruns associated with four key stakeholders in nuclear power plant construction: equipment suppliers, construction subcontractors, the design and management team, and creditors. The…

Various hypotheses exist about the paths used for communication between the nodes of complex networks. Most studies simply suppose that communication goes via shortest paths, while others have more explicit assumptions about how routing…

Group counterfactual explanations find a set of counterfactual instances to explain a group of input instances contrastively. However, existing methods either (i) optimize counterfactuals only for a fixed group and do not generalize to new…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-29 Enrique Valero-Leal , Bernd Bischl , Pedro Larrañaga , Concha Bielza , Giuseppe Casalicchio

A series of recent works has shown that placing communication channels in a coherent superposition of alternative configurations can boost their ability to transmit information. Instances of this phenomenon are the advantages arising from…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-09-28 Hlér Kristjánsson , Giulio Chiribella , Sina Salek , Daniel Ebler , Matthew Wilson

A general framework is given to analyze the falsifiability of economic models based on a sample of their observable components. It is shown that, when the restrictions implied by the economic theory are insufficient to identify the unknown…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-02-25 Ivar Ekeland , Alfred Galichon , Marc Henry

We consider two variational models for transport networks, an urban planning and a branched transport model, in both of which there is a preference for networks that collect and transport lots of mass together rather than transporting all…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-11-16 Alessio Brancolini , Benedikt Wirth

Fare planning is one among several steps in public transport planning. Fares are relevant for the covering of costs of the public transport operator, but also affect the ridership and the passenger satisfaction. A fare structure is the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-02-13 Anita Schöbel , Reena Urban

Most cities in the US and in the world were organized around car traffic. In particular, large structures such as urban freeways or ring roads were built for reducing car traffic congestion. With the evolution of public transportation,…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2023-03-29 Erwan Taillanter , Marc Barthelemy

Hub Covering Problems arise in various practical domains, such as urban planning, cargo delivery systems, airline networks, telecommunication network design, and e-mobility. The task is to select a set of hubs that enable tours between…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2025-03-05 Niklas Jost

The transportation system is an interplay between infrastructure, vehicles, and policy. During the past century, the rapid expansion of the road network, blended with increasing vehicle production and mobility demands, has been stressing…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2022-09-23 Weizi Li

The theoretical landscape of transportation cost planning is shifting from deterministic linear models to dynamic, data-driven optimization. As supply chains face volatility, static 20th-century cost assumptions prove increasingly…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-12 Samuel Darwisman

Despite several scientific achievements in the last years, there are still a lot of IT projects that fail. Researchers found that one out of five IT-projects run out of time, budget or value. Major reasons for this failure are unexpected…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2013-01-24 Gilbert Fridgen , Julia Heidemann

The modeling of complex systems such as ecological or socio-economic systems can be very challenging. Although various modeling approaches exist, they are generally not compatible and mutually consistent, and empirical data often do not…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2010-07-19 Dirk Helbing

Energy infrastructure planning under uncertainty has become increasingly complex as electrification, interdependence between energy carriers, decarbonization, and extreme weather events reshape long-term investment decisions. This paper…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-04-14 Rahman Khorramfar , Aron Brenner , Lara Booth , Ana Rivera , Ruaridh Macdonald , Priya Donti , Saurabh Amin