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相关论文: Estimation in exponential families on permutations

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We study a general factor analysis framework where the $n$-by-$p$ data matrix is assumed to follow a general exponential family distribution entry-wise. While this model framework has been proposed before, we here further relax its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-02 Liang Wang , Luis Carvalho

It is well known that, under standard regularity conditions, the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) satisfies a central limit theorem and converges in distribution to a Gaussian random variable as the sample size grows. This paper…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2026-05-26 Leighton P. Barnes , Alex Dytso

Statistical inference may follow a frequentist approach or it may follow a Bayesian approach or it may use the minimum description length principle (MDL). Our goal is to identify situations in which these different approaches to statistical…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-05-08 Peter Harremoës

We study exponential families of distributions that are multivariate totally positive of order 2 (MTP2), show that these are convex exponential families, and derive conditions for existence of the MLE. Quadratic exponential familes of MTP2…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-15 Steffen Lauritzen , Caroline Uhler , Piotr Zwiernik

Here, in this paper it has been considered a sub family of exponential family. Maximum likelihood estimations (MLE) for the parameter of this family, probability density function, and cumulative density function based on a sample and based…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-09-26 Saman Hosseini , Parviz Nasiri , Dler Hussein Kadir , Sharad Damodar Gore

The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is pivotal in statistical inference, yet its application is often hindered by the absence of closed-form solutions for many models. This poses challenges in real-time computation scenarios,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-16 Pedro L. Ramos , Eduardo Ramos , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Francisco Louzada

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are very flexible for modeling network formation but pose difficult estimation challenges due to their intractable normalizing constant. Existing methods, such as MCMC-MLE, rely on sequential…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-02-05 Angelo Mele

The $p$-tensor Ising model is a one-parameter discrete exponential family for modeling dependent binary data, where the sufficient statistic is a multi-linear form of degree $p \geq 2$. This is a natural generalization of the matrix Ising…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-01 Somabha Mukherjee , Jaesung Son , Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya

Much of the theory of estimation for exponential family models, which include exponential-family random graph models (ERGMs) as a special case, is well-established and maximum likelihood estimates in particular enjoy many desirable…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-09-07 Christian S. Schmid , David R. Hunter

We study the properties of variational Bayes approximations for exponential family models with missing values. It is shown that the iterative algorithm for obtaining the variational Bayesian estimator converges locally to the true value…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-19 Bo Wang , D. Titterington

Let $X$ be lognormal$(\mu,\sigma^2)$ with density $f(x)$, let $\theta>0$ and define ${L}(\theta)=E e^{-\theta X}$. We study properties of the exponentially tilted density (Esscher transform) $f_\theta(x) =e^{-\theta x}f(x)/{L}(\theta)$, in…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-20 Soren Asmussen , Jens Ledet Jensen , Leonardo Rojas-Nandayapa

This paper studies the asymptotic distribution of descents $\des(w)$ in a permutation $w$, and its inverse, distributed according to the Mallows measure. The Mallows measure is a non-uniform probability measure on permutations introduced to…

概率论 · 数学 2022-05-31 Jimmy He

Understanding the metric structure of permutation families is fundamental to combinatorics and has applications in social choice theory, bioinformatics, and coding theory. We study permutation families defined by restriction…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2025-07-16 Danylo Tymoshenko , Leonhard Nagel

We consider permutations avoiding a pattern of length three under the family of Mallows distributions. In particular, for any pattern $\tau\in S_3-\{321\}$, we obtain rather precise results on the asymptotic probability as $n\to\infty$ that…

概率论 · 数学 2020-10-09 Ross G. Pinsky

The paper offers a novel unified approach to studying the accuracy of parameter estimation by the quasi likelihood method. Important features of the approach are: (1) The underlying model {is not assumed to be parametric}. (2) No conditions…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-03-11 V. Spokoiny

We propose a perturbative method to estimate the normalization constant in exponential random graph models as the weighting parameters approach infinity. As an application, we give evidence of discontinuity in natural parametrization along…

概率论 · 数学 2018-02-14 Rajinder Mavi , Mei Yin

We develop approximate estimation methods for exponential random graph models (ERGMs), whose likelihood is proportional to an intractable normalizing constant. The usual approach approximates this constant with Monte Carlo simulations,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-11 Angelo Mele , Lingjiong Zhu

This paper deals with a parametrized family of partially observed bivariate Markov chains. We establish that, under very mild assumptions, the limit of the normalized log-likelihood function is maximized when the parameters belong to the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-01 Randal Douc , Francois Roueff , Tepmony Sim

This work establishes regularity conditions for consistency and asymptotic normality of the multiple parameter maximum likelihood estimator(MLE) from censored data, where the censoring mechanism is in the form of $1$-bit measurements. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-11 Jaimin Shah , Martina Cardone , Cynthia Rush , Alex Dytso

Expectation maximization (EM) is the default algorithm for fitting probabilistic models with missing or latent variables, yet we lack a full understanding of its non-asymptotic convergence properties. Previous works show results along the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-01 Frederik Kunstner , Raunak Kumar , Mark Schmidt