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Time series forecasting is crucial in several sectors, such as meteorology, retail, healthcare, and finance. Accurately forecasting future trends and patterns is crucial for strategic planning and making well-informed decisions. In this…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-11-19 Nitin Sagar Boyeena , Begari Susheel Kumar

Forecasting can estimate the statement of events according to the historical data and it is considerably important in many disciplines. At present, time series models have been utilized to solve forecasting problems in various domains. In…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-03-10 S. Chen , X. Lan , Y. Hu , Q. Liu , Y. Deng

Accurately predicting stock repurchases is crucial for quantitative investment and risk management, yet traditional static models fail to capture the complex temporal dependencies of corporate financial conditions. This paper proposes a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2026-04-14 Xiang Ao , Jingxuan Zhang , Xinyu Zhao

An accurate forecast of electric demand is essential for the optimal design of a generation system. For district installations, the projected lifespan may extend one or two decades. The reliance on a single-year forecast, combined with a…

Time series analysis and forecasting of stock market prices has been a very active area of research over the last two decades. Availability of extremely fast and parallel architecture of computing and sophisticated algorithms has made it…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2021-10-12 Jaydip Sen , Tamal Datta Chaudhuri

Network data has emerged as an active research area in statistics. Much of the focus of ongoing research has been on static networks that represent a single snapshot or aggregated historical data unchanging over time. However, most networks…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-02-23 Lata Kodali , Srijan Sengupta , Leanna House , William H. Woodall

Diffusion of innovation can be interpreted as a social spreading phenomena governed by the impact of media and social interactions. Although these mechanisms have been identified by quantitative theories, their role and relative importance…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-10-24 Márton Karsai , Gerardo Iñiguez , Kimmo Kaski , János Kertész

The rapid proliferation of AI-generated content (AIGC) has reshaped the dynamics of digital marketing and online consumer behavior. However, predicting the diffusion trajectory and market impact of such content remains challenging due to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-11-14 Ziqing Yin , Xuanjing Chen , Xi Zhang

Research on performance, robustness, and evolution of the global Internet is fundamentally handicapped without accurate and thorough knowledge of the nature and structure of the contractual relationships between Autonomous Systems (ASs). In…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2008-04-16 Xenofontas Dimitropoulos , Dmitri Krioukov , Marina Fomenkov , Bradley Huffaker , Young Hyun , kc claffy , George Riley

This paper studies distributed adaptive estimation over sensor networks with partially unknown source dynamics. We present parallel continuous-time and discrete-time designs in which each node runs a local adaptive observer and exchanges…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-18 Moh Kamalul Wafi , Hamidreza Montazeri Hedesh , Milad Siami

Using a proper model to characterize a time series is crucial in making accurate predictions. In this work we use time-varying autoregressive process (TVAR) to describe non-stationary time series and model it as a mixture of multiple stable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-11-17 Jie Ding , Mohammad Noshad , Vahid Tarokh

Researchers have proposed a variety of Internet topology models. However almost all of them focus on generating one graph based on one single static source graph. On the other hand, Internet topology is evolving over time continuously with…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2008-12-31 Lian-dong Liu , Ke Xu

Performance and high availability have become increasingly important drivers, amongst other drivers, for user retention in the context of web services such as social networks, and web search. Exogenic and/or endogenic factors often give…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-04-26 Jordan Hochenbaum , Owen S. Vallis , Arun Kejariwal

Agentic artificial intelligence (AI) -- multi-agent systems that combine large language models with external tools and autonomous planning -- are rapidly transitioning from research laboratories into high-stakes domains. Our earlier "Basic"…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-09-16 Manish Shukla

This paper is concerned with the estimation of time-varying networks for high-dimensional nonstationary time series. Two types of dynamic behaviors are considered: structural breaks (i.e., abrupt change points) and smooth changes. To…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-19 Mengyu Xu , Xiaohui Chen , Wei Biao Wu

Demographic shifts, influenced by globalization, economic conditions, geopolitical events, and environmental factors, pose significant challenges for policymakers and researchers. Accurate demographic forecasting is essential for informed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-20 Aditya Akella , Jonathan Farah

The Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) targets to a coordinated traffic system by applying the advanced wireless communication technologies for road traffic scheduling. Towards an accurate road traffic control, the short-term traffic…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-01-10 Xun Zhou , Changle Li , Zhe Liu , Tom H. Luan , Zhifang Miao , Lina Zhu , Lei Xiong

In the context of capacity planning, forecasting the evolution of informatics servers usage enables companies to better manage their computational resources. We address this problem by collecting key indicator time series and propose to…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2018-11-07 Colin Leverger , Vincent Lemaire , Simon Malinowski , Thomas Guyet , Laurence Rozé

Although the Internet AS-level topology has been extensively studied over the past few years, little is known about the details of the AS taxonomy. An AS "node" can represent a wide variety of organizations, e.g., large ISP, or small…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Xenofontas Dimitropoulos , Dmitri Krioukov , George Riley , kc claffy

Time series forecasting and anomaly detection are common tasks for practitioners in industries such as retail, manufacturing, advertising and energy. Two unique challenges stand out: (1) efficiently and accurately forecasting time series or…