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This paper develops a methodology for approximating the posterior first two moments of the posterior distribution in Bayesian inference. Partially specified probability models, which are defined only by specifying means and variances, are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-01-27 K. Triantafyllopoulos , P. J. Harrison

Model averaging has gained significant attention in recent years due to its ability of fusing information from different models. The critical challenge in frequentist model averaging is the choice of weight vector. The bootstrap method,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-10 Minghui Song , Guohua Zou , Alan T. K. Wan

In this paper we provide a new criterion for the comparison of claims, when we have conditional claims arising in stop loss contracts or contracts with franchise deductible. These stochastic comparisons are made on the basis of the Tail…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-12 Félix Belzunce , Alba M. Franco-Pereira , Julio Mulero

This paper studies a fixed-design residual bootstrap method for the two-step estimator of Francq and Zako\"ian (2015) associated with the conditional Expected Shortfall. For a general class of volatility models the bootstrap is shown to be…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-11-29 Alexander Heinemann , Sean Telg

Suppose that $k$ series, all having the same autocorrelation function, are observed in parallel at $n$ points in time or space. From a single series of moderate length, the autocorrelation parameter $\beta$ can be estimated with limited…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-10-23 Peter McCullagh

We show bounds on tail probabilities for quadratic forms in sub-gaussian non-necessarily independent random variables. Our main tool will be estimates of the Luxemburg norms of such forms. This will allow us to formulate the above-mentioned…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-14 Krzysztof Zajkowski

This paper provides conditions under which subsampling and the bootstrap can be used to construct estimators of the quantiles of the distribution of a root that behave well uniformly over a large class of distributions $\mathbf{P}$. These…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-19 Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh

Fitting sparse models to high-dimensional time series is an important area of statistical inference. In this paper we consider sparse vector autoregressive models and develop appropriate bootstrap methods to infer properties of such…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-25 J. Krampe , J-P. Kreiss , E. Paparoditis

We consider the performance of the bootstrap in high-dimensions for the setting of linear regression, where $p<n$ but $p/n$ is not close to zero. We consider ordinary least-squares as well as robust regression methods and adopt a minimalist…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-03 Noureddine El Karoui , Elizabeth Purdom

A reasonable confidence interval should have a confidence coefficient no less than the given nominal level and a small expected length to reliably and accurately estimate the parameter of interest, and the bootstrap interval is considered…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-15 Weizhen Wang , Chongxiu Yu , Zhongzhan Zhang

A consistent goodness-of-fit test for distributional regression is introduced. The test statistic is based on a process that traces the difference between a nonparametric and a semi-parametric estimate of the marginal distribution function…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-10 Gitte Kremling , Gerhard Dikta

In this paper, we establish Berry-Esseen-type bounds for federated linear stochastic approximation (LSA). Our results provide the first federated Gaussian approximations for LSA that explicitly capture communication-computation trade-offs…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Ilya Levin , Maksim Shuklin , Eric Moulines , Paul Mangold , Sergey Samsonov

In recent years, bootstrap methods have drawn attention for their ability to approximate the laws of "max statistics" in high-dimensional problems. A leading example of such a statistic is the coordinate-wise maximum of a sample average of…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-07-23 Miles E. Lopes , Zhenhua Lin , Hans-Georg Mueller

Bootstrap is a widely used technique that allows estimating the properties of a given estimator, such as its bias and standard error. In this paper, we evaluate and compare five bootstrap-based methods for making confidence intervals: two…

In this paper, we consider the problem of constructing confidence interval for the correlation coefficient in a bivariate normal distribution. For this problem, we found fifteen approaches in literatures. Also, we have proposed a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-10-31 Mohammad Reza Kazemi , Ali Akbar Jafari

Statistical multispecies models of multiarea marine ecosystems use a variety of data sources to estimate parameters using composite or weighted likelihood functions with associated weighting issues and questions on how to obtain variance…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-02-16 Lorna Taylor , Verena M. Trenkel , Vojtech Kupca , Gunnar Stefansson

In this paper, we compare two numerical methods for approximating the probability that the sum of dependent regularly varying random variables exceeds a high threshold under Archimedean copula models. The first method is based on…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-08-31 Hélène Cossette , Etienne Marceau , Quang Huy Nguyen , Christian Robert

We study the use of Gaussian process emulators to approximate the parameter-to-observation map or the negative log-likelihood in Bayesian inverse problems. We prove error bounds on the Hellinger distance between the true posterior…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-10-01 Andrew M. Stuart , Aretha L. Teckentrup

This paper develops bootstrap methods for practical statistical inference in panel data quantile regression models with fixed effects. We consider random-weighted bootstrap resampling and formally establish its validity for asymptotic…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-11-08 Antonio F. Galvao , Thomas Parker , Zhijie Xiao

We revisit the replica method for analyzing inference and learning in parametric models, considering situations where the data-generating distribution is unknown or analytically intractable. Instead of assuming idealized distributions to…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2025-11-17 Takashi Takahashi