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We present several refinements on the fluctuations of sequences of random vectors (with values in the Euclidean space $\mathbb{R}^d$) which converge after normalization to a multidimensional Gaussian distribution. More precisely we refine…

概率论 · 数学 2022-03-04 Pierre-Loïc Méliot , Ashkan Nikeghbali

The wild bootstrap is the resampling method of choice in survival analytic applications. Theoretic justifications rely on the assumption of existing intensity functions which is equivalent to an exclusion of ties among the event times.…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-11 Dennis Dobler , Merle Munko

Bayesian posterior distributions arising in modern applications, including inverse problems in partial differential equation models in tomography and subsurface flow, are often computationally intractable due to the large computational cost…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-10 Tapio Helin , Andrew Stuart , Aretha Teckentrup , Konstantinos Zygalakis

To use control charts in practice, the in-control state usually has to be estimated. This estimation has a detrimental effect on the performance of control charts, which is often measured for example by the false alarm probability or the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-07-30 Axel Gandy , Jan Terje Kvaløy

We study the accuracy of a scaled Poisson approximation to the weighted sum of independent Poisson random variables, focusing on in particular the relative error of the tail distribution. A bound on the relative approximation error is…

概率论 · 数学 2024-03-18 Yue Tan , Yingdong Lu , Cathy Xia

The logistic regression analysis proposed by Schouten et al. (Stat Med. 1993;12:1733-1745) has been a standard method in current statistical analysis of case-cohort studies, and it enables effective estimation of risk ratio from selected…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-19 Hisashi Noma

We consider Gaussian and bootstrap approximations for the supremum of additive functionals of aperiodic Harris recurrent Markov chains. The supremum is taken over a function class that may depend on the sample size, which allows for…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-21 Kyuseong Choi , Gabriella Ciolek

Statistical inference for time series such as curve estimation for time-varying models or testing for existence of change-point have garnered significant attention. However, these works are generally restricted to the assumption of…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-08 Soham Bonnerjee , Sayar Karmakar , Wei Biao Wu

In order to test if an unknown matrix has a given rank (null hypothesis), we consider the family of statistics that are minimum squared distances between an estimator and the manifold of fixed-rank matrix. Under the null hypothesis, every…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-01-09 François Portier , Bernard Delyon

In this paper, we first use the distribution of the number of records to demonstrate that the right tail probabilities of counts of rare events are generally better approximated by the right tail probabilities of Poisson distribution than…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-09 Qingwei Liu , Aihua Xia

Focusing on a high dimensional linear model $y = X\beta + \epsilon$ with dependent, non-stationary, and heteroskedastic errors, this paper applies the debiased and threshold ridge regression method that gives a consistent estimator for…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-27 Yunyi Zhang , Dimitris N. Politis

An algorithm is described that enables efficient deterministic approximate computation of the bootstrap distribution for any linear bootstrap method $T_n^*$, alleviating the need for repeated resampling from observations (resp.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-10 Thomas Pitschel

The paper presents an efficient method for simulating the tails of a target variable Z=h(X) which depends on a set of basic variables X=(X_1, ..., X_n). To this aim, variables X_i, i=1, ..., n are sequentially simulated in such a manner…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-18 Enrique F. Castillo , Cristina Solares , Patricia Gomez

In certain applications involving the solution of a Bayesian inverse problem, it may not be possible or desirable to evaluate the full posterior, e.g. due to the high computational cost of doing so. This problem motivates the use of…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-27 Han Cheng Lie , T. J. Sullivan , Aretha Teckentrup

In this paper we revisit the weighted likelihood bootstrap, a method that generates samples from an approximate Bayesian posterior of a parametric model. We show that the same method can be derived, without approximation, under a Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-23 Simon Lyddon , Chris Holmes , Stephen Walker

We consider the problem of testing a null hypothesis defined by equality and inequality constraints on a statistical parameter. Testing such hypotheses can be challenging because the number of relevant constraints may be on the same order…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-19 Nils Sturma , Mathias Drton , Dennis Leung

Increasingly complex datasets pose a number of challenges for Bayesian inference. Conventional posterior sampling based on Markov chain Monte Carlo can be too computationally intensive, is serial in nature and mixes poorly between posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-08-27 Edwin Fong , Simon Lyddon , Chris Holmes

``Behind every limit theorem, there is an inequality'' said Kolmogorov. We say ``for every inequality, there is an approximate inequality under approximate regularity conditions.'' Suppose $X, X'$ are independent and identically distributed…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-17 Manit Paul , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

We propose a new measure related with tail dependence in terms of correlation: quantile correlation coefficient of random variables X, Y. The quantile correlation is defined by the geometric mean of two quantile regression slopes of X on Y…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-19 Ji-Eun Choi , Dong Wan Shin

We develop and implement a novel fast bootstrap for dependent data. Our scheme is based on the i.i.d. resampling of the smoothed moment indicators. We characterize the class of parametric and semi-parametric estimation problems for which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-19 Davide La Vecchia , Alban Moor , Olivier Scaillet