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We obtain the almost sure strong consistency and the Berry-Esseen type bound for the maximum likelihood estimator Ln of the ensemble L for determinantal point processes (DPPs), strengthening and completing previous work initiated in Brunel,…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-10 Yaozhong Hu , Haiyi Shi

Semiparametric discrete choice models are widely used in a variety of practical applications. While these models are point identified in the presence of continuous covariates, they can become partially identified when covariates are…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-05-29 Shakeeb Khan , Tatiana Komarova , Denis Nekipelov

We consider maximum likelihood estimation with data from a bivariate Gaussian process with a separable exponential covariance model under fixed domain asymptotic. We first characterize the equivalence of Gaussian measures under this model.…

We consider parametric Markov decision processes (pMDPs) that are augmented with unknown probability distributions over parameter values. The problem is to compute the probability to satisfy a temporal logic specification with any concrete…

计算机科学中的逻辑 · 计算机科学 2022-12-08 Thom Badings , Murat Cubuktepe , Nils Jansen , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Ufuk Topcu

We derive uniform convergence rates for the maximum likelihood estimator and minimax lower bounds for parameter estimation in two-component location-scale Gaussian mixture models with unequal variances. We assume the mixing proportions of…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-02 Tudor Manole , Nhat Ho

We consider the problem of estimating the unconditional distribution of a post-model-selection estimator. The notion of a post-model-selection estimator here refers to the combined procedure resulting from first selecting a model (e.g., by…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-11-08 Hannes Leeb , Benedikt M. Poetscher

We consider bilevel linear problems, where the right-hand side of the lower level problems is stochastic. The leader has to decide in a here-and-now fashion, while the follower has complete information. In this setting, the leader's outcome…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-07-11 Johanna Burtscheidt , Matthias Claus

The purpose of the article is twofold. Firstly, we review some recent results on the maximum likelihood estimation in the regression model of the form $X_t = \theta G(t) + B_t$, where $B$ is a Gaussian process, $G(t)$ is a known function,…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-27 Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Sergiy Shklyar

Empirical economists are often deterred from the application of fixed effects binary choice models mainly for two reasons: the incidental parameter problem and the computational challenge even in moderately large panels. Using the example…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-10-27 Daniel Czarnowske , Amrei Stammann

Predictions and forecasts of machine learning models should take the form of probability distributions, aiming to increase the quantity of information communicated to end users. Although applications of probabilistic prediction and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-03-19 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous

We consider selection of random predictors for high-dimensional regression problem with binary response for a general loss function. Important special case is when the binary model is semiparametric and the response function is misspecified…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-19 Mariusz Kubkowski , Jan Mielniczuk

Computer models, aiming at simulating a complex real system, are often calibrated in the light of data to improve performance. Standard calibration methods assume that the optimal values of calibration parameters are invariant to the model…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-01 Georgios Karagiannis , Bledar A. Konomi , Guang Lin

We consider an experiment with at least two stages or batches and $O(N)$ subjects per batch. First, we propose a semiparametric treatment effect estimator that efficiently pools information across the batches, and show it asymptotically…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-28 Harrison H. Li , Art B. Owen

We introduce a double/debiased machine learning estimator for the impulse response function in settings where a time series of interest is subjected to multiple discrete treatments, assigned over time, which can have a causal effect on…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-17 Daniele Ballinari , Alexander Wehrli

Positive and unlabelled learning is an important problem which arises naturally in many applications. The significant limitation of almost all existing methods lies in assuming that the propensity score function is constant (SCAR…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-01 Konrad Furmańczyk , Jan Mielniczuk , Wojciech Rejchel , Paweł Teisseyre

Iterative preference optimization has recently become one of the de-facto training paradigms for large language models (LLMs), but the performance is still underwhelming due to too much noisy preference data yielded in the loop. To combat…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-09-18 Jianing Wang , Yang Zhou , Xiaocheng Zhang , Mengjiao Bao , Peng Yan

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used as judges to replace costly human preference labels in pairwise evaluation. Despite their practicality, LLM judges remain prone to miscalibration and systematic biases. This paper proposes…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-02-20 Sher Badshah , Ali Emami , Hassan Sajjad

This paper considers the maximum likelihood estimation of panel data models with interactive effects. Motivated by applications in economics and other social sciences, a notable feature of the model is that the explanatory variables are…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-02-27 Jushan Bai , Kunpeng Li

We consider a risk-averse stochastic capacity planning problem under uncertain demand in each period. Using a scenario tree representation of the uncertainty, we formulate a multistage stochastic integer program to adjust the capacity…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-11-05 Xian Yu , Siqian Shen

Several problems in statistics involve the combination of high-variance unbiased estimators with low-variance estimators that are only unbiased under strong assumptions. A notable example is the estimation of causal effects while combining…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-25 Michael Oberst , Alexander D'Amour , Minmin Chen , Yuyan Wang , David Sontag , Steve Yadlowsky
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