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The sample mean is often used to aggregate different unbiased estimates of a parameter, producing a final estimate that is unbiased but possibly high-variance. This paper introduces the Bayesian median of means, an aggregation rule that…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-05 Paulo Orenstein

A frequent matter of debate in Bayesian inversion is the question, which of the two principle point-estimators, the maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) or the conditional mean (CM) estimate is to be preferred. As the MAP estimate corresponds to the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-18 Martin Burger , Felix Lucka

Compared to mean regression and quantile regression, the literature on modal regression is very sparse. A unifying framework for Bayesian modal regression is proposed, based on a family of unimodal distributions indexed by the mode, along…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-02 Qingyang Liu , Xianzheng Huang , Rai Bai

One of the tasks of the Bayesian inverse problem is to find a good estimate based on the posterior probability density. The most common point estimators are the conditional mean (CM) and maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimates, which…

数值分析 · 数学 2016-08-29 Martin Burger , Yiqiu Dong , Federica Sciacchitano

A demanding challenge in Bayesian inversion is to efficiently characterize the posterior distribution. This task is problematic especially in high-dimensional non-Gaussian problems, where the structure of the posterior can be very chaotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-04 Tapio Helin , Martin Burger

Current literature on posterior approximation for Bayesian inference offers many alternative methods. Does our chosen approximation scheme work well on the observed data? The best existing generic diagnostic tools treating this kind of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-06-22 Hanwen Xing , Geoff K. Nicholls , Jeong Eun Lee

The Bayesian formulation of inverse problems is attractive for three primary reasons: it provides a clear modelling framework; means for uncertainty quantification; and it allows for principled learning of hyperparameters. The posterior…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-05-14 Matthew M. Dunlop , Tapio Helin , Andrew M. Stuart

Computing the conditional mode of a distribution, better known as the $\mathit{maximum\ a\ posteriori}$ (MAP) assignment, is a fundamental task in probabilistic inference. However, MAP estimation is generally intractable, and remains hard…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-23 Matthew Shorvon , Frederik Mallmann-Trenn , David S. Watson

A Bayesian method of moments/instrumental variable (BMOM/IV) approach is developed and applied in the analysis of the important mean and multiple regression models. Given a single set of data, it is shown how to obtain posterior and…

bayes-an · 物理学 2008-02-03 Arnold Zellner

Bayesian optimisation is a popular approach for optimising expensive black-box functions. The next location to be evaluated is selected via maximising an acquisition function that balances exploitation and exploration. Gaussian processes,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-11 George De Ath , Jonathan E. Fieldsend , Richard M. Everson

We attempt image restoration in the framework of the Baysian inference. Recently, it has been shown that under a certain criterion the MAP (Maximum A Posterior) estimate, which corresponds to the minimization of energy, can be outperformed…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Hayaru Shouno , Koji Wada , Masato Okada

Standard regularized training procedures correspond to maximizing a posterior distribution over parameters, known as maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation. However, model parameters are of interest only insomuch as they combine with the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-28 Shikai Qiu , Tim G. J. Rudner , Sanyam Kapoor , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation, like all Bayesian methods, depends on prior assumptions. These assumptions are often chosen to promote specific features in the recovered estimate. The form of the chosen prior determines the shape of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-11-15 Zilai Si , Yucong Liu , Alexander Strang

We consider Empirical Bayes (EB) estimation in the normal means problem, when the standard deviations of the observations are not known precisely, but estimated with error -- which is almost always the case in practical applications. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-31 Mengyin Lu , Matthew Stephens

In indirect measurements, the measurand is determined by solving an inverse problem which requires a model of the measurement process. Such models are often approximations and introduce systematic errors leading to a bias of the posterior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-22 Maren Casfor , Philipp Trunschke , Sebastian Heidenreich , Nando Hegemann

Uncertainty quantification requires efficient summarization of high- or even infinite-dimensional (i.e., non-parametric) distributions based on, e.g., suitable point estimates (modes) for posterior distributions arising from model-specific…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-10 Christian Clason , Tapio Helin , Remo Kretschmann , Petteri Piiroinen

The frequentist method of simulated minimum distance (SMD) is widely used in economics to estimate complex models with an intractable likelihood. In other disciplines, a Bayesian approach known as Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-11-16 Jean-Jacques Forneron , Serena Ng

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a method for Bayesian inference when the likelihood is unavailable but simulating from the model is possible. However, many ABC algorithms require a large number of simulations, which can be costly.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-10-15 Marko Järvenpää , Michael U. Gutmann , Arijus Pleska , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

Maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) estimation is the main Bayesian estimation methodology in imaging sciences, where high dimensionality is often addressed by using Bayesian models that are log-concave and whose posterior mode can be computed…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-01-21 Marcelo Pereyra

In this paper, a method for recursively computing approximate modal paths is developed. A recursive formulation of the modal path can be obtained either by backward or forward dynamic programming. By combining both methods, a ``two-filter''…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-22 Filip Tronarp
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