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We develop a new framework of uncertainty variables to model uncertainty. An uncertainty variable is characterized by an uncertainty set, in which its realization is bound to lie, while the conditional uncertainty is characterized by a set…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-12-10 Rajat Talak , Sertac Karaman , Eytan Modiano

The study of the brain's representations of uncertainty is a central topic in neuroscience. Unlike most quantities of which the neural representation is studied, uncertainty is a property of an observer's beliefs about the world, which…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2023-10-12 Edgar Y Walker , Stephan Pohl , Rachel N Denison , David L Barack , Jennifer Lee , Ned Block , Wei Ji Ma , Florent Meyniel

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is an important component of molecular property prediction, particularly for drug discovery applications where model predictions direct experimental design and where unanticipated imprecision wastes valuable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-05-21 Lior Hirschfeld , Kyle Swanson , Kevin Yang , Regina Barzilay , Connor W. Coley

When implementing prediction models for high-stakes real-world applications such as medicine, finance, and autonomous systems, quantifying prediction uncertainty is critical for effective risk management. Traditional approaches to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-29 Junting Ren , Armin Schwartzman

An accurate characterization of pose uncertainty is essential for safe autonomous navigation. Early pose uncertainty characterization methods proposed by Smith, Self, and Cheeseman (SCC), used coordinate-based first-order methods to…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2019-06-20 Joshua G. Mangelson , Maani Ghaffari , Ram Vasudevan , Ryan M. Eustice

Cell polarity and movement are fundamental to many biological functions. Experimental and theoretically studies have indicated that interactions of certain proteins lead to the cell polarization which plays a key role in controlling the…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-08-12 Shuang Liu , Li-Tien Cheng , Bo Li

Much of uncertainty quantification to date has focused on determining the effect of variables modeled probabilistically, and with a known distribution, on some physical or engineering system. We develop methods to obtain information on the…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-03-19 Kamaljit Chowdhary , Paul Dupuis

Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential for the use of machine learning in physics, where scientific discoveries depend on validated probabilistic statements. We provide a structured overview of uncertainty quantification in ML for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Manuel Haußmann , Ramon Winterhalder , Maria Ubiali

Medical image segmentation is inherently uncertain. For a given image, there may be multiple plausible segmentation hypotheses, and physicians will often disagree on lesion and organ boundaries. To be suited to real-world application,…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-09-28 João Lourenço Silva , Arlindo L. Oliveira

A cell routinely responds to one of many competing environmental cues. A fundamental question is whether the cell follows the cue prioritized by its internal signaling network or the cue that carries the most external information. We…

生物物理 · 物理学 2025-06-26 Louis Gonzalez , Hogyeong Gwak , Bumsoo Han , Andrew Mugler

Surface reconstruction is a vital tool in a wide range of areas of medical image analysis and clinical research. Despite the fact that many methods have proposed solutions to the reconstruction problem, most, due to their deterministic…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2018-07-31 Katarína Tóthová , Sarah Parisot , Matthew C. H. Lee , Esther Puyol-Antón , Lisa M. Koch , Andrew P. King , Ender Konukoglu , Marc Pollefeys

Uncertainty estimation has been extensively studied in recent literature, which can usually be classified as aleatoric uncertainty and epistemic uncertainty. In current aleatoric uncertainty estimation frameworks, it is often neglected that…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-11-23 Jing Zhang , Yuchao Dai , Mehrtash Harandi , Yiran Zhong , Nick Barnes , Richard Hartley

Quantification of brain morphology has become an important cornerstone in understanding brain structure. Measures of cortical morphology such as thickness and surface area are frequently used to compare groups of subjects or characterise…

Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) techniques, such as SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), have become essential tools for interpreting complex ensemble tree-based models, especially in high-stakes domains such as healthcare…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2026-02-25 Akshat Dubey , Aleksandar Anžel , Bahar İlgen , Georges Hattab

The purpose of this paper is to study metrics suitable for assessing uncertainty of power spectra when these are based on finite second-order statistics. The family of power spectra which is consistent with a given range of values for the…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2015-03-20 Johan Karlsson , Tryphon T. Georgiou

Image segmentation enables to extract quantitative measures from scans that can serve as imaging biomarkers for diseases. However, segmentation quality can vary substantially across scans, and therefore yield unfaithful estimates in the…

图像与视频处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-11-03 J. Senapati , A. Guha Roy , S. Pölsterl , D. Gutmann , S. Gatidis , C. Schlett , A. Peters , F. Bamberg , C. Wachinger

Modelling uncertainty in Machine Learning models is essential for achieving safe and reliable predictions. Most research on uncertainty focuses on output uncertainty (predictions), but minimal attention is paid to uncertainty at inputs. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-28 Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Ivo Pascal de Jong , Marco Zullich

Developmental bias plays a major role in phenotypic evolution. Some researchers have argued that phenotypes, regulated by development, can only evolve along restricted trajectory under certain scenarios, such as the case for mammalian molar…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2023-11-15 Yue Zhang

Point-wise localization of individual fluorophores is a critical step in super-resolution microscopy and single particle tracking. Although the methods are limited by the accuracy in localizing individual flourophores, this point-wise…

生物物理 · 物理学 2017-05-08 Martin Lindén , Vladimir Ćurić , Elias Amselem , Johan Elf

Classical results due to Ingham and Paley-Wiener characterize the existence of nonzero functions supported on certain subsets of the real line in terms of the pointwise decay of the Fourier transforms. Viewing these results as uncertainty…

泛函分析 · 数学 2016-06-08 Mithun Bhowmik , Suparna Sen