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A crucial point in the debate on feasibility of earthquake prediction is the dependence of an earthquake magnitude from past seismicity. Indeed, whilst clustering in time and space is widely accepted, much more questionable is the existence…

地球物理 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Eugenio Lippiello , Lucilla de Arcangelis , Cataldo Godano

Earthquakes occur because of abrupt slips on faults due to accumulated stress in the Earth's crust. Because most of these faults and their mechanisms are not readily apparent, deterministic earthquake prediction is difficult. For effective…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-12-31 Yosihiko Ogata

Ruptures of the largest earthquakes can last between a few seconds and several minutes. An early assessment of the final earthquake size is essential for early warning systems. However, it is still unclear when in the rupture history this…

地球物理 · 物理学 2022-07-08 Jannes Münchmeyer , Ulf Leser , Frederik Tilmann

We investigate the sequence of great earthquakes over the past century. To examine whether the earthquake record includes temporal clustering, we identify aftershocks and remove those from the record. We focus on the recurrence time,…

地球物理 · 物理学 2013-07-22 E. Ben-Naim , E. G. Daub , P. A. Johnson

Scaling analysis reveals striking regularities in earthquake occurrence. The time between any one earthquake and that following it is random, but it is described by the same universal-probability distribution for any spatial region and…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Alvaro Corral

Spatiotemporal clustering of earthquake events is a generally-established fact, and is important for designing models and assessment techniques in seismicity. Here, we investigate how this behavior can manifest in the statistical…

地球物理 · 物理学 2013-07-08 Rene C. Batac , Holger Kantz

We review the present status of our research and understanding regarding the dynamics and the statistical properties of earthquakes, mainly from a statistical physical viewpoint. Emphasis is put both on the physics of friction and fracture,…

Earthquakes are rupture-like processes that propagate along tectonic faults and cause seismic waves. The propagation speed and final area of the rupture, which determine an earthquake's potential impact, are directly related to the nature…

Earthquake occurrence in nature is thought to result from correlated elastic stresses, leading to clustering in space and time. We show that occurrence of major earthquakes in California correlates with time intervals when fluctuations in…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-11 James R. Holliday , John B. Rundle , Donald L. Turcotte , William Klein , Kristy F. Tiampo

It is shown that earthquakes do not know how large they will become, at least from the information collected at seismic catalogs. In other words, the magnitude is independent on previous magnitudes as well as on the waiting time between…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Alvaro Corral

The concept of proper time, which is different from universal time, has been introduced into the physics of earthquakes. The global activity of strong earthquakes was chosen as the object of study. We consider the sequence of earthquakes as…

地球物理 · 物理学 2022-07-25 A. V. Guglielmi , O. D. Zotov

If we assume that earthquakes are chaotic, and influenced locally then chaos theory suggests that there should be a temporal association between earthquakes in a local region that should be revealed with statistical examination. To date no…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-02-14 Parsa Rastin , Michael LuValle

Spatiotemporal properties of seismicity are investigated for a worldwide (WW) catalog and for Southern California in the stationary case (SC), showing a nearly universal scaling behavior. Distributions of distances between consecutive…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Alvaro Corral

We study the statistics of the recurrence times between earthquakes above a certain magnitude M$ in California. We find that the distribution of the recurrence times strongly depends on the previous recurrence time $\tau_0$. As a…

地球物理 · 物理学 2009-11-10 V. Livina , S. Tuzov , S. Havlin , A. Bunde

We study statistical properties of the number of large earthquakes over the past century. We analyze the cumulative distribution of the number of earthquakes with magnitude larger than threshold M in time interval T, and quantify the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2012-03-30 Eric G. Daub , Eli Ben-Naim , Robert A. Guyer , Paul A. Johnson

The observation of foreshocks preceding large earthquakes and the suggestion that foreshocks have specific properties that may be used to distinguish them from other earthquakes have raised the hope that large earthquakes may be…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-06-26 Agnes Helmstetter , Didier Sornette

A conjecture on imminent earthquake prediction is presented. Drastic geological deformations of crustal rock strata taking place immediately (hours/days) before an earthquake may cause fast air or gas emission/absorption vertically in…

地球物理 · 物理学 2013-04-23 Xin Liu

Analysis of the observational data and possible origination scenarios of particle bursts allows us to conclude that the bursts can be explained by the electron acceleration in the thunderous atmosphere and by gigantic showers developed in…

高能物理 - 实验 · 物理学 2021-12-14 Ashot Chilingarian , Gagik Hovsepyan

Particles in structural glasses rattle around temporary equilibriumpositions, that seldom change through a process which is much faster than the relaxation time, known as particle jump. Since the relaxation of the system is due to the…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2015-11-03 Massimo Pica Ciamarra , Raffaele Pastore , Antonio Coniglio

Short and long range interactions between earthquakes are attracting increasing interest. Scale invariant properties of seismicity in time, space and energy argue for the presence of complex triggering mechanisms where, like a cascade…

地球物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Patrizia Tosi , Valerio De Rubeis , Vittorio Loreto , Luciano Pietronero
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