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When using Bayesian inference to support conservative software reliability assessments, it is useful to consider a collection of Bayesian inference problems, with the aim of determining the worst-case value (from this collection) for a…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-11-11 Kizito Salako , Rabiu Tsoho Muhammad

We construct a pathwise calculus for functionals of integer-valued measures and use it to derive an martingale representation formula with respect to a large class of integer-valued random measures. Using these results, we extend the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-28 Pierre M. Blacque-Florentin , Rama Cont

We do the error analysis in reliability measures due to the assumption of independence amongst the component lifetimes. In reliability theory, we come across different n-component structures like series, parallel, and k-out-of-n systems. A…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-11 Subarna Bhattacharjee , Aninda K. Nanda , Subhasree Patra

Research into human dynamical systems has long sought to identify robust signals for human behavior. We have discovered a series of social network-based indicators that are reliable predictors of team creativity and collaborative…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2014-07-03 Peter A. Gloor , Adam Almozlino , Orr Inbar , Wei Lo , Shannon Provost

This short paper describes a numerical method for optimising the conservative confidence bound on the reliability of a system based on tests of its individual components. This is an alternative to the algorithmic approaches identified in…

软件工程 · 计算机科学 2022-02-01 Peter Bishop , Andrey Povyakalo

It is becoming increasingly important to explain complex, black-box machine learning models. Although there is an expanding literature on this topic, Shapley values stand out as a sound method to explain predictions from any type of machine…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-03 Annabelle Redelmeier , Martin Jullum , Kjersti Aas

Reliability sensitivity analysis is concerned with measuring the influence of a system's uncertain input parameters on its probability of failure. Statistically dependent inputs present a challenge in both computing and interpreting these…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-06-21 Max Ehre , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

Design and operation of complex engineering systems rely on reliability optimization. Such optimization requires us to account for uncertainties expressed in terms of compli-cated, high-dimensional probability distributions, for which only…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-09-22 Ji-Eun Byun , Johannes O. Royset

In this work, we perform safety analysis of linear dynamical systems with uncertainties. Instead of computing a conservative overapproximation of the reachable set, our approach involves computing a statistical approximate reachable set. As…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-09-17 Bineet Ghosh , Parasara Sridhar Duggirala

Malliavin calculus is a powerful and general framework for the analysis of square-integrable random variables, but it often suffers from a lack of tractability and explicit representations. To address this limitation, we focus on a subclass…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-28 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Clément Rey , Dimitri Sotnikov

Systems with a first integral (i.e., constant of motion) or a Lyapunov function can be written as ``linear-gradient systems'' $\dot x= L(x)\nabla V(x)$ for an appropriate matrix function $L$, with a generalization to several integrals or…

数学物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Robert I McLachlan , GRW Quispel , Nicolas Robidoux

This article presents an identification methodology to capture general relationships, with application to piecewise nonlinear approximations of model predictive control for constrained (non)linear systems. The mathematical formulation…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-01-06 Van-Vuong Trinh , Mazen Alamir , Patrick Bonnay

We derive an It\^o-type formula for a measure-valued process that has a decomposition analogous to a classical semimartingale. The derivation begins with a time partitioning approach similar to the classical proof of It\^o's formula. To…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-25 Shang Li

The probabilistic symbol is the right-hand side derivative of the characteristic functions corresponding to the one-dimensional marginals of a stochastic process. This object, as long as the derivative exists, provides crucial information…

概率论 · 数学 2023-08-31 Sebastian Rickelhoff , Alexander Schnurr

In a coherent reliability system composed of multiple components configured according to a specific structure function, the distribution of system time to failure, or system lifetime, is often of primary interest. Accurate estimation of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-19 Beidi Qiang , Edsel Pena

In this work, we study the deep signature algorithms for path-dependent options. We extend the backward scheme in [Hur\'e-Pham-Warin. Mathematics of Computation 89, no. 324 (2020)] for state-dependent FBSDEs with reflections to…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-01-17 Erhan Bayraktar , Qi Feng , Zhaoyu Zhang

We consider the stability and the input-output analysis problems of a class of large-scale hybrid systems composed of continuous dynamics coupled with discrete dynamics defined over finite alphabets, e.g., deterministic finite state…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-03-05 Murat Cubuktepe , Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Ufuk Topcu , Brandon Hencey

Stochastic models are necessary for the realistic description of an increasing number of applications. The ability to identify influential parameters and variables is critical to a thorough analysis and understanding of the underlying…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-11-29 Joseph L. Hart , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre A. Gremaud

Models implicitly defined through a random simulator of a process have become widely used in scientific and industrial applications in recent years. However, simulation-based inference methods for such implicit models, like approximate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-17 Joonha Park

Simulation-based inference has been popular for amortized Bayesian computation. It is typical to have more than one posterior approximation, from different inference algorithms, different architectures, or simply the randomness of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-04 Yuling Yao , Bruno Régaldo-Saint Blancard , Justin Domke
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