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Leaving posterior sensitivity concerns aside, non-identifiability of the parameters does not raise a difficulty for Bayesian inference as far as the posterior is proper, but multi-modality or flat regions of the posterior induced by the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-22 Toru Kitagawa , Yizhou Kuang

Although animal locations gained via GPS, etc. are typically observed on a discrete time scale, movement models formulated in continuous time are preferable in order to avoid the struggles experienced in discrete time when faced with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-04-05 Alison Parton , Paul G. Blackwell , Anna Skarin

Bayesian inference methods are applied within a Bayesian hierarchical modelling framework to the problems of joint state and parameter estimation, and of state forecasting. We explore and demonstrate the ideas in the context of a simple…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-11-09 John Parslow , Noel Cressie , Edward P. Campbell , Emlyn Jones , Lawrence Murray

We propose a family of metrics to assess language generation derived from population estimation methods widely used in ecology. More specifically, we use mark-recapture and maximum-likelihood methods that have been applied over the past…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2020-10-12 Gonçalo Mordido , Christoph Meinel

Improved communication systems, shrinking battery sizes and the price drop of tracking devices have led to an increasing availability of trajectory tracking data. These data are often analyzed to understand animal behavior. In this work, we…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-09-12 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Clara Grazian , Sara Mancinelli , Enrico Bibbona

In an ecological context, panel data arise when time series measurements are made on a collection of ecological processes. Each process may correspond to a spatial location for field data, or to an experimental ecosystem in a designed…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-06-10 Bo Yang , Jesse Wheeler , Meghan A. Duffy , Aaron A. King , Edward L. Ionides

The analysis of longitudinal categorical data can be complex and unfeasible due to the number of parameters involved, characterised by overparameterisation leading to model non-convergence, in addition to problems related to sample size and…

Stochastic state-transition models of infectious disease transmission can be used to deduce relevant drivers of transmission when fitted to data using statistically principled methods. Fitting this individual-level data requires inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-12 James Neill , Lloyd A. C. Chapman , Chris Jewell

As a basic task of multi-camera surveillance system, person re-identification aims to re-identify a query pedestrian observed from non-overlapping multiple cameras or across different time with a single camera. Recently, deep learning-based…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2019-03-13 Di Wu , Kun Zhang , Fei Cheng , Yang Zhao , Qi Liu , Chang-An Yuan , De-Shuang Huang

We propose a new Bayesian tracking and parameter learning algorithm for non-linear non-Gaussian multiple target tracking (MTT) models. We design a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to sample from the posterior distribution of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-10-28 Lan Jiang , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Sinan Yıldırım

Increasingly complex applications involve large datasets in combination with non-linear and high dimensional mathematical models. In this context, statistical inference is a challenging issue that calls for pragmatic approaches that take…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-01-31 Andreas Raue , Clemens Kreutz , Fabian Joachim Theis , Jens Timmer

Multiple systems estimation strategies have recently been applied to quantify hard-to-reach populations, particularly when estimating the number of victims of human trafficking and modern slavery. In such contexts, it is not uncommon to see…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-03-06 Lax Chan , Bernard W. Silverman , Kyle Vincent

We propose a Bayesian inference approach for a class of latent Markov models. These models are widely used for the analysis of longitudinal categorical data, when the interest is in studying the evolution of an individual unobservable…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-01-05 Francesco Bartolucci , Silvia Pandolfi

For marine biologists, ascertaining the dependence structures between marine species and marine environments, such as sea surface temperature and ocean depth, is imperative for defining ecosystem functioning and providing insights into the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-23 Tomotaka Momozaki , Tomoyuki Nakagawa , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Hiroko Kato Solvang

Bayesian hierarchical modeling is a popular approach to capturing unobserved heterogeneity across individual units. However, standard estimation methods such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) can be impracticable for modeling outcomes from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-04 Michael Braun , Paul Damien

Camera traps enable the automatic collection of large quantities of image data. Ecologists use camera traps to monitor animal populations all over the world. In order to estimate the abundance of a species from camera trap data, ecologists…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-05-11 Sara Beery , Arushi Agarwal , Elijah Cole , Vighnesh Birodkar

Many research domains use data elicited from "citizen scientists" when a direct measure of a process is expensive or infeasible. However, participants may report incorrect estimates or classifications due to their lack of skill. We…

The problem of image-base person identification/recognition is to provide an identity to the image of an individual based on learned models that describe his/her appearance. Most traditional person identification systems rely on learning a…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2016-07-05 Abir Das , Rameswar Panda , Amit K. Roy-Chowdhury

We develop a scalable multi-step Monte Carlo algorithm for inference under a large class of nonparametric Bayesian models for clustering and classification. Each step is "embarrassingly parallel" and can be implemented using the same Markov…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-06-08 Yang Ni , Peter Müller , Maurice Diesendruck , Sinead Williamson , Yitan Zhu , Yuan Ji

Undirected graphical models are widely used in statistics, physics and machine vision. However Bayesian parameter estimation for undirected models is extremely challenging, since evaluation of the posterior typically involves the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-03-19 Richard G. Everitt