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The Machina thought experiments pose to major non-expected utility models challenges that are similar to those posed by the Ellsberg thought experiments to subjective expected utility theory (SEUT). We test human choices in the `Ellsberg…

经济学 · 定量金融 2018-08-09 Diederik Aerts , Suzette Geriente , Catarina Moreira , Sandro Sozzo

Expected utility theory (EUT) is widely used in economic theory. However, its subjective probability formulation, first elaborated by Savage, is linked to Ellsberg-like paradoxes and ambiguity aversion. This has led various scholars to work…

经济学 · 定量金融 2019-02-12 Diederik Aerts , Emmanuel Haven , Sandro Sozzo

Ambiguity and ambiguity aversion have been widely studied in decision theory and economics both at a theoretical and an experimental level. After Ellsberg's seminal studies challenging subjective expected utility theory (SEUT), several…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-03-20 Diederik Aerts , Sandro Sozzo

Empirical evidence has confirmed that quantum effects occur frequently also outside the microscopic domain, while quantum structures satisfactorily model various situations in several areas of science, including biological, cognitive and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-12-31 Diederik Aerts , Sandro Sozzo , Jocelyn Tapia

{\it Ellsberg thought experiments} and empirical confirmation of Ellsberg preferences pose serious challenges to {\it subjective expected utility theory} (SEUT). We have recently elaborated a quantum-theoretic framework for human decisions…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-02-20 Sandro Sozzo

The 'expected utility hypothesis' is one of the foundations of classical approaches to economics and decision theory and Savage's 'Sure-Thing Principle' is a fundamental element of it. It has been put forward that real-life situations…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-03-28 Diederik Aerts , Bart D'Hooghe , Sandro Sozzo

The 1961 Ellsberg paradox is typically seen as an empirical challenge to the subjective expected utility framework. Experiments based on Ellsberg's design have spawned a variety of new approaches, culminating in a new paradigm represented…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2023-01-10 Christoph Kuzmics , Brian W. Rogers , Xiannong Zhang

Despite the impressive success of quantum structures to model long-standing human judgement and decision puzzles, the {\it quantum cognition research programme} still faces challenges about its explanatory power. Indeed, quantum models…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2019-04-05 Sandro Sozzo

The 'expected utility hypothesis' and 'Savage's Sure-Thing Principle' are violated in real life decisions, as shown by the 'Allais' and 'Ellsberg paradoxes'. The popular explanation in terms of 'ambiguity aversion' is not completely…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-01-07 Diederik Aerts , Sandro Sozzo

The Allais and Ellsberg paradoxes show that the expected utility hypothesis and Savage's Sure-Thing Principle are violated in real life decisions. The popular explanation in terms of 'ambiguity aversion' is not completely accepted. On the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-01-08 Diederik Aerts , Sandro Sozzo

In this paper, we introduce a new model of selection behavior under risk that describes an essential cognitive process for comparing values of objects and making a selection decision. This model is constructed by the quantum-like approach…

经济学 · 定量金融 2018-07-18 Masanari Asano , Irina Basieva , Andrei Khrennikov , Masanori Ohya , Yoshiharu Tanaka

We provide here a general mathematical framework to model attitudes towards ambiguity which uses the formalism of quantum theory as a ``purely mathematical formalism, detached from any physical interpretation''. We show that the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-06-23 Sandro Sozzo

The applications of techniques from statistical (and classical) mechanics to model interesting problems in economics and finance has produced valuable results. The principal movement which has steered this research direction is known under…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2015-11-23 Emmanuel Haven , Sandro Sozzo

In this paper, we propose an interpretation of the Hilbert space method used in quantum theory in the context of decision making under uncertainty. For a clear comparison we will stay as close as possible to the framework of SEU suggested…

量子物理 · 物理学 2017-07-25 Juergen Eichberger , Hans Juergen Pirner

The mathematical model of orthodox quantum mechanics has been critically examined and some deficiencies have been summarized. The model based on the extended Hilbert space and free of these shortages has been proposed; parameters being…

量子物理 · 物理学 2016-08-16 Miloš V. Lokajíček

Quantum cognition in decision-making is a recent and rapidely growing field. In this paper we develop an expected utility theory in a context of non-classical (quantum) uncertainty. We replace the classical state space with a Hilbert space…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2017-08-29 Vladimir V. Danilov , Ariane Lambert-Mogiliansky , Vassily Vergopoulos

Expected Utility: Algebraic Expected Utility In this paper, we provide two axiomatizations of algebraic expected utility, which is a particular generalized expected utility, in a von Neumann-Morgenstern setting, i.e. uncertainty…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-02 Paul Weng

Motivated by several classic decision-theoretic paradoxes, and by analogies with the paradoxes which in physics motivated the development of quantum mechanics, we introduce a projective generalization of expected utility along the lines of…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-01-18 Pierfrancesco La Mura

The concept of uncertainty quanta for a general system is introduced and applied to some important problems in physics and mathematics. EPR paradox gives new clue to the further understanding of particle correlation which turns out to be…

量子物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Wang Zhen

There are reasons to believe that implications of a certain paradox introduced by Ginzburg and related problems have not been fully recognized. Pertinent issues remain open and unresolved. There are instances when the current widely used…

经典物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Jacob Neufeld
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