Dynamic consistency of expected utility under non-classical (quantum) uncertainty
Abstract
Quantum cognition in decision-making is a recent and rapidely growing field. In this paper we develop an expected utility theory in a context of non-classical (quantum) uncertainty. We replace the classical state space with a Hilbert space which allows introducing the concept of quantum lottery. Within that framework we formulate axioms on preferences over quantum lotteries to establish a representation theorem. We show that demanding the consistency of choice behavior conditional on new information is equivalent to the von Neuman-L\"uders postulate applied to beliefs. A dynamically consistent quantum-like agent may violate dynamic recursive consistency, however. This feature suggests interesting applications in behavioral economics as we illustrate in an example of persuasion.
Cite
@article{arxiv.1708.08244,
title = {Dynamic consistency of expected utility under non-classical (quantum) uncertainty},
author = {Vladimir V. Danilov and Ariane Lambert-Mogiliansky and Vassily Vergopoulos},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1708.08244},
year = {2017}
}
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