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Understanding causal mechanisms across different populations is essential for designing effective public health interventions. Recently, difference graphs have been introduced as a tool to visually represent causal variations between two…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-02-18 Charles K. Assaad

We investigate causal inference in the asymptotic regime as the number of variables approaches infinity using an information-theoretic framework. We define structural entropy of a causal model in terms of its description complexity measured…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-09-21 Sridhar Mahadevan

We analyze a neural system which mimics a sensorial cortex, with different input characteristics, in presence of transmission delays. We propose a new measure to characterize collective behavior, based on the nonlinear extension of the…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2015-06-25 Daniele Marinazzo , Mario Pellicoro , Sebastiano Stramaglia

Understanding climate change requires reasoning over complex causal networks. Yet, existing causal discovery datasets predominantly capture explicit, direct causal relations. We introduce ClimateCause, a manually expert-annotated dataset of…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2026-04-17 Liesbeth Allein , Nataly Pineda-Castañeda , Andrea Rocci , Marie-Francine Moens

Actual causation is concerned with the question "what caused what?" Consider a transition between two states within a system of interacting elements, such as an artificial neural network, or a biological brain circuit. Which combination of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2019-01-11 Larissa Albantakis , William Marshall , Erik Hoel , Giulio Tononi

Causal theory is now widely developed with many applications to medicine and public health. However within the discipline of reliability, although causation is a key concept in this field, there has been much less theoretical attention. In…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2020-02-17 Xuewen Yu , Jim Q. Smith , Linda Nichols

Dynamic structural causal models (SCMs) are a powerful framework for reasoning in dynamic systems about direct effects which measure how a change in one variable affects another variable while holding all other variables constant. The…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2024-02-16 Simon Ferreira , Charles K. Assaad

Qualitative causal relationships compactly express the direction, dependency, temporal constraints, and monotonicity constraints of discrete or continuous interactions in the world. In everyday or academic language, we may express…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-02-25 Scott Friedman , Ian Magnusson , Vasanth Sarathy , Sonja Schmer-Galunder

The occurrence of some extreme events (such as marine heatwaves or exceptional circulations) can cause other extreme events (such as heatwave, drought and flood). These concurrent extreme events have a great impact on environment and human…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-09-08 Siyang Yu , Yu Huang , Zuntao Fu

In this paper, we propose a new Granger causality measure which is robust against the confounding influence of latent common inputs. This measure is inspired by partial Granger causality in the literature, and its variant. Using numerical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-13 Takashi Arai

This paper introduces a novel concept of impulse response decomposition to disentangle the dynamic contributions of the mediator variables in the transmission of structural shocks. We justify our decomposition by drawing on causal mediation…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-08 Jean-Marie Dufour , Endong Wang

Real-world problems, for example in climate applications, often require causal reasoning on spatially gridded time series data or data with comparable structure. While the underlying system is often believed to behave similarly at different…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-16 Martin Rabel , Jakob Runge

From ancient philosophers to modern economists, biologists, and other researchers, there has been a continuous effort to unveil causal relations. The most formidable challenge lies in deducing the nature of the causal relationship: whether…

In applications, quantities of interest are often modelled in equilibrium or an equilibrium solution is sought. The presence of confounding makes causal inference in this setting challenging. We provide interpretable graphical models for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-27 Kai Z. Teh , Kayvan Sadeghi , Terry Soo

Causal inference is a critical task across fields such as healthcare, economics, and the social sciences. While recent advances in machine learning, especially those based on the deep-learning architectures, have shown potential in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-30 Manqing Liu , David R. Bellamy , Andrew L. Beam

Identifying ``true causality'' is a fundamental challenge in complex systems research. Widely adopted methods, like the Granger causality test, capture statistical dependencies between variables rather than genuine driver-response…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-05-05 Yingzhu Liu , Shengyuan Huang , Zhongkui Li , Xiaoguang Yang , Wenjun Mei

The notion of complex-valued information entropy measure is presented. It applies in particular to directed networks (digraphs). The corresponding statistical physics notions are outlined. The studied network, serving as a case study, in…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-01-16 Giulia Rotundo , Marcel Ausloos

Causal inference in brain networks has traditionally relied on regression-based models such as Granger causality, structural equation modeling, and dynamic causal modeling. While effective for identifying directed associations, these…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2026-04-01 Moo K. Chung , Luigi Maccotta , Aaron Struck

Granger causal inference is a contentious but widespread method used in fields ranging from economics to neuroscience. The original definition addresses the notion of causality in time series by establishing functional dependence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-19 Noah D. Gade , Jordan Rodu

Causality graphs are routinely estimated in social sciences, natural sciences, and engineering due to their capacity to efficiently represent the spatiotemporal structure of multivariate data sets in a format amenable for human…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-11-16 Bakht Zaman , Luis Miguel Lopez Ramos , Daniel Romero , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano