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相关论文: Aftershocks in Modern Perspectives: Complex Earthq…

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Aftershock sequences are of particular interest in seismic research since they may condition seismic activity in a given region over long time spans. While they are typically identified with periods of enhanced seismic activity after a…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-05-18 Tiago P. Peixoto , Katharina Doblhoff-Dier , Jörn Davidsen

A prominent feature of earthquakes is their empirical laws including memory (clustering) in time and space. Several earthquake forecasting models, like the EpidemicType Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model, were developed based on earthquake…

地球物理 · 物理学 2020-03-30 Yongwen Zhang , Dong Zhou , Jingfang Fan , Warner Marzocchi , Yosef Ashkenazy , Shlomo Havlin

I study a recently proposed statistical model of earthquake dynamics that incorporates aging as a fundamental ingredient. The model is known to generate earthquake sequences that quantitatively reproduce the spatial and temporal clustering…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-19 E. A. Jagla

We propose a simple theory for the ``universal'' scaling law previously reported for the distributions of waiting times between earthquakes. It is based on a largely used benchmark model of seismicity, which just assumes no difference in…

地球物理 · 物理学 2009-11-11 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

Extreme events such as earthquakes, floods, and power blackouts often display burst phenomena where multiple extreme events occur in quick succession or in bunches. This study examines bunching of extreme events on a complex network using a…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-09-24 Sarvesh K. Upadhyay , Vimal Kishore , Sanjay Kumar , R. E. Amritkar

The acoustic emission activity associated with recent rock fracture experiments under different conditions has indicated that some features of event-event triggering are independent of the details of the experiment and the materials used…

地球物理 · 物理学 2018-01-17 Jordi Baró , Jörn Davidsen

The decay pattern of aftershocks in the so-called 'coherent-noise' models [M. E. J. Newman and K. Sneppen, Phys. Rev. E54, 6226 (1996)] is studied in detail. Analytical and numerical results show that the probability to find a large event…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-10-30 C. Wilke , S. Altmeyer , T. Martinetz

We present theoretical arguments and simulation data indicating that the scaling of earthquake events in models of faults with long-range stress transfer is composed of at least three distinct regions. These regions correspond to three…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 M. Anghel , W. Klein , J. B. Rundle , J. S. S'a Martins

Earthquakes are a major threat to nations worldwide. Earthquake detection is an important scientific challenge, not only for its social impacts, but also since it reflects the actual degree of understanding of the physical processes…

地球物理 · 物理学 2023-05-05 Yosef Ashkenazy , Ittai Kurzon , Eitan Asher

Non-Markovian spontaneous recovery processes with a time delay (memory) are ubiquitous in the real world. How does the non-Markovian characteristic affect failure propagation in complex networks? We consider failures due to internal causes…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-05-22 Zhao-Hua Lin , Mi Feng , Ming Tang , Zonghua Liu , Chen Xu , Pak Ming Hui , Ying-Cheng Lai

Omori Law describes the evolution of the aftershocks of a strong earthquake. Established at the end of the century before last, it is characterized by the beauty of its form, quite definite clarity, as a result of which it still attracts…

地球物理 · 物理学 2022-01-14 A. V. Guglielmi , B. I. Klain , A. D. Zavyalov , O. D. Zotov

The presented paper is devoted to the search for mathematical basis for describing the aftershock evolution of strong earthquakes. We consider the experimental facts and heuristic arguments that allow to make a choice and to focus on the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2020-09-24 A. V. Guglielmi , B. I. Klain

Earthquakes are one of the most devastating natural disasters that plague society. A skilled, reliable earthquake forecasting remains the ultimate goal for seismologists. Using the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) and conditional…

A modified Carlson-Langer model for earthquakes is proposed, which includes nonlinear visco-elasticity. Several aftershocks are generated after the main shock owing to the damping of the additional visco-elastic force. Both the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2015-06-11 Hidetsugu Sakaguchi , Kazuki Okamura

Complex networks are ubiquitous: a cell, the human brain, a group of people and the Internet are all examples of interconnected many-body systems characterized by macroscopic properties that cannot be trivially deduced from those of their…

In an earthquake event, the combination of a strong mainshock and damaging aftershocks is often the cause of severe structural damages and/or high death tolls. The objective of this paper is to provide estimation for the probability of such…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-06-18 Juan-Juan Cai , Phyllis Wan , Gamze Ozel

Recent studies on the phenomenology of ageing in certain many-particle systems which are at a critical point of their non-equilibrium steady-states, are reviewed. Examples include the contact process, the parity-conserving…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Malte Henkel

Earthquakes occur because of abrupt slips on faults due to accumulated stress in the Earth's crust. Because most of these faults and their mechanisms are not readily apparent, deterministic earthquake prediction is difficult. For effective…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-12-31 Yosihiko Ogata

Hawkes process is one of the most commonly used models for investigating the self-exciting nature of earthquake occurrences. However, seismicity patterns have complicated characteristics due to heterogeneous geology and stresses, for which…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-02-15 Junhyeon Kwon , Yingcai Zheng , Mikyoung Jun

The Internet is a complex system, whose temporal behavior is highly nonstationary and exhibits sudden drastic changes regarded as main shocks or catastrophes. Here, analyzing a set of time series data of round-trip tim measured in echo…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki