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The renewable energies prediction and particularly global radiation forecasting is a challenge studied by a growing number of research teams. This paper proposes an original technique to model the insolation time series based on combining…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2012-11-13 Cyril Voyant , Marc Muselli , Christophe Paoli , Marie Laure Nivet

Numerical weather prediction (NWP) and machine learning (ML) methods are popular for solar forecasting. However, NWP models have multiple possible physical parameterizations, which requires site-specific NWP optimization. This is further…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-10 Nigel Yuan Yun Ng , Harish Gopalan , Venugopalan S. G. Raghavan , Chin Chun Ooi

It is essential to find solar predictive methods to massively insert renewable energies on the electrical distribution grid. The goal of this study is to find the best methodology allowing predicting with high accuracy the hourly global…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-09-20 Cyril Voyant , C. Darras , Marc Muselli , Christophe Paoli , Marie Laure Nivet , Philippe Poggi

Considering the grid manager's point of view, needs in terms of prediction of intermittent energy like the photovoltaic resource can be distinguished according to the considered horizon: following days (d+1, d+2 and d+3), next day by hourly…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2013-07-24 Cyril Voyant , Christophe Paoli , Marc Muselli , Marie Laure Nivet

In this paper, we present an application of neural networks in the renewable energy domain. We have developed a methodology for the daily prediction of global solar radiation on a horizontal surface. We use an ad-hoc time series…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2009-06-02 Christophe Paoli , Cyril Voyant , Marc Muselli , Marie-Laure Nivet

Most solar applications and systems can be reliably used to generate electricity and power in many homes and offices. Recently, there is an increase in many solar required systems that can be found not only in electricity generation but…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-04-07 Shahriar Rahman , Shazzadur Rahman , A K M Bahalul Haque

This study presents a hybrid neural network model for short-term (1-6 hours ahead) surface wind speed forecasting, combining Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) with observational data from ground weather stations. It relies on the MeteoNet…

Many applications in different domains produce large amount of time series data. Making accurate forecasting is critical for many decision makers. Various time series forecasting methods exist which use linear and nonlinear models…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-19 Ümit Çavuş Büyükşahin , Şeyda Ertekin

Numerous methods exist and were developed for global radiation forecasting. The two most popular types are the numerical weather predictions (NWP) and the predictions using stochastic approaches. We propose to compute a parameter noted…

Forecasting Heavy Precipitation Events (HPE) in the Mediterranean is crucial but challenging due to the complexity of the processes involved. In this context, Artificial Intelligence methods have recently proven to be competitive with…

This paper examines the application of adaptive mesh refinement (AMR) in the field of numerical weather prediction (NWP). We implement and assess two distinct AMR approaches and evaluate their performance through standard NWP benchmarks. In…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-04-26 Daniel S. Abdi , Ann Almgren , Francis X. Giraldo , Isidora Jankov

Accurate mechanisms for forecasting solar irradiance and insolation provide important information for the planning of renewable energy and agriculture projects as well as for environmental and socio-economical studies. This research…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-15 Laura S. Hoyos-Gómez , Jose F. Ruiz-Muñoz , Belizza J. Ruiz-Mendoza

The need to forecast solar irradiation at a specific location over short-time horizons has acquired immense importance. In this paper, we report on analyses results involving statistical and machine learning techniques to predict hourly…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-08-29 Alireza Inanlougani , T. Agami Reddy , Srinivas Katiamula

Accurate marine wind forecasts are essential for safe navigation, ship routing, and energy operations, yet they remain challenging because observations over the ocean are sparse, heterogeneous, and temporally variable. We reformulate wind…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-04 Matteo Peduto , Qidong Yang , Jonathan Giezendanner , Devis Tuia , Sherrie Wang

Accurate surface solar irradiance (SSI) forecasting is essential for optimizing renewable energy systems, particularly in the context of long-term energy planning on a global scale. This paper presents a pioneering approach to solar…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2024-11-14 Alberto Carpentieri , Jussi Leinonen , Jeff Adie , Boris Bonev , Doris Folini , Farah Hariri

Due to the unavailability of solar irradiance data for many potential sites of Nepal, the paper proposes predicting solar irradiance based on alternative meteorological parameters. The study focuses on five distinct regions in Nepal and…

Multi-model projections in climate studies are performed to quantify uncertainty and improve reliability in climate projections. The challenging issue is that there is no unique way to obtain performance metrics, nor is there any consensus…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2021-09-13 Ehsan Mosadegh , Iman Babaeian

Numerical weather prediction (NWP) has proven to be computationally challenging due to its inherent multiscale nature. Currently, the highest resolution NWP models use a horizontal resolution of about 10km. In order to increase the…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2016-09-09 Andreas Müller , Michal A. Kopera , Simone Marras , Lucas C. Wilcox , Tobin Isaac , Francis X. Giraldo

Due to insufficient local area information, numerical weather prediction (NWP) may yield biases for specific areas. Previous studies correct biases mainly by employing handcrafted features or applying data-driven methods intuitively,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-06-12 Binqing Wu , Weiqi Chen , Wengwei Wang , Bingqing Peng , Liang Sun , Ling Chen

Over the past few years, machine learning-based data-driven weather prediction has been transforming operational weather forecasting by providing more accurate forecasts while using a mere fraction of computing power compared to traditional…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2025-08-27 Zekun Ni , Jonathan Weyn , Hang Zhang , Yanfei Xiang , Jiang Bian , Weixin Jin , Kit Thambiratnam , Qi Zhang , Haiyu Dong , Hongyu Sun
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