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Gaussian processes (GPs) provide flexible distributions over functions, with inductive biases controlled by a kernel. However, in many applications Gaussian processes can struggle with even moderate input dimensionality. Learning a low…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-01-01 Ian A. Delbridge , David S. Bindel , Andrew Gordon Wilson

The observed sequence variation at a locus informs about the evolutionary history of the sample and past population size dynamics. The Kingman coalescent is used in a generative model of molecular sequence variation to infer evolutionary…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-06-22 Lorenzo Cappello , Amandine Veber , Julia A. Palacios

We develop a Bayesian approach to learning from sequential data by using Gaussian processes (GPs) with so-called signature kernels as covariance functions. This allows to make sequences of different length comparable and to rely on strong…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-07-07 Csaba Toth , Harald Oberhauser

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

Covariate measurement error in nonparametric regression is a common problem in nutritional epidemiology and geostatistics, and other fields. Over the last two decades, this problem has received substantial attention in the frequentist…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-27 Shuang Zhou , Debdeep Pati , Tianying Wang , Yun Yang , Raymond J. Carroll

The coalescent is a stochastic process representing ancestral lineages in a population undergoing neutral genetic drift. Originally defined for a well-mixed population, the coalescent has been adapted in various ways to accommodate spatial,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-07-02 Benjamin Allen , Alex McAvoy

Gaussian processes (GPs) are ubiquitous tools for modeling and predicting continuous processes in physical and engineering sciences. This is partly due to the fact that one may employ a Gaussian process as an interpolator while facilitating…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-16 D. Andrew Brown , Peter Kiessler , John Nicholson

Variational inference techniques based on inducing variables provide an elegant framework for scalable posterior estimation in Gaussian process (GP) models. Besides enabling scalability, one of their main advantages over sparse…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-24 Simone Rossi , Markus Heinonen , Edwin V. Bonilla , Zheyang Shen , Maurizio Filippone

Nonparametric regression for massive numbers of samples (n) and features (p) is an increasingly important problem. In big n settings, a common strategy is to partition the feature space, and then separately apply simple models to each…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-06-10 Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , David B. Dunson

We derive the asymptotic behaviour of the genealogy of a logistic branching process in the setting where the equilibrium population size is large. In three regimes on the tail of the offspring distribution we recover the Kingman,…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-11 Ruairi Garrett , Julio Ernesto Nava Trejo

An important task in the statistical analysis of inhomogeneous point processes is to investigate the influence of a set of covariates on the point-generating mechanism. In this article, we consider the nonparametric Bayesian approach to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano

We consider neutral evolution of a large population subject to changes in its population size. For a population with a time-variable carrying capacity we have computed the distributions of the total branch lengths of its sample genealogies.…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2012-06-13 A. Eriksson , B. Mehlig , M. Rafajlovic , S. Sagitov

Motivated by environmental policy questions, we address the challenges of estimation, change point detection, and uncertainty quantification of a causal exposure-response function (CERF). Under a potential outcome framework, the CERF…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-27 Boyu Ren , Xiao Wu , Danielle Braun , Natesh Pillai , Francesca Dominici

In multivariate statistics, the question of finding direct interactions can be formulated as a problem of network inference - or network reconstruction - for which the Gaussian graphical model (GGM) provides a canonical framework.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-06-11 Julien Chiquet , Mahendra Mariadassou , Stéphane Robin

Many imaging techniques for biological systems -- like fixation of cells coupled with fluorescence microscopy -- provide sharp spatial resolution in reporting locations of individuals at a single moment in time but also destroy the dynamics…

亚细胞过程 · 定量生物学 2024-05-15 Christopher E. Miles , Scott A. McKinley , Fangyuan Ding , Richard B. Lehoucq

We consider Bayesian inference problems with computationally intensive likelihood functions. We propose a Gaussian process (GP) based method to approximate the joint distribution of the unknown parameters and the data. In particular, we…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-03-15 Hongqiao Wang , Jinglai Li

1 Sharp prediction of extinction times is needed in biodiversity monitoring and conservation management. 2 The Galton-Watson process is a classical stochastic model for describing population dynamics. Its evolution is like the matrix…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-01-29 B Cloez , T Daufresne , M Kerioui , B Fontez

Bayesian field theory denotes a nonparametric Bayesian approach for learning functions from observational data. Based on the principles of Bayesian statistics, a particular Bayesian field theory is defined by combining two models: a…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 J. C. Lemm

Generative Bayesian Computation (GBC) methods are developed for Casual Inference. Generative methods are simulation-based methods that use a large training dataset to represent posterior distributions as a map (a.k.a. optimal transport) to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-25 Maria Nareklishvili , Nicholas Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Gaussian processes (GPs) have gained popularity as flexible machine learning models for regression and function approximation with an in-built method for uncertainty quantification. However, GPs suffer when the amount of training data is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-26 Jonas Latz , Aretha L. Teckentrup , Simon Urbainczyk