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相关论文: Estimating a Signal In the Presence of an Unknown …

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The problem of detecting new signals in the presence of an unknown background is ubiquitous in scientific discoveries and is especially prominent in the physical sciences. Most solutions proposed thus far to address the problem focus on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-21 Aritra Banerjee , Sara Algeri

We present a method for obtaining unbiased signal estimates in the presence of a significant unknown background, eliminating the need for a parametric model for the background itself. Our approach is based on a minimal set of conditions for…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2024-03-26 Johannes Diehl , Jakob Knollmüller , Oliver Schulz

Searches for new astrophysical phenomena often involve several sources of non-random uncertainties which can lead to highly misleading results. Among these, model-uncertainty arising from background mismodelling can dramatically compromise…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-01-15 Sara Algeri

The traditional kernel density estimator of an unknown density is by construction completely nonparametric, in the sense that it has no preferences and will work reasonably well for all shapes. The present paper develops a class of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-05 Nils Lid Hjort , Ingrid Kristine Glad

In this paper we propose a new method of joint nonparametric estimation of probability density and its support. As is well known, nonparametric kernel density estimator has "boundary bias problem" when the support of the population density…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-19 Taku Moriyama

We investigate the nonparametric estimation for regression in a fixed-design setting when the errors are given by a field of dependent random variables. Sufficient conditions for kernel estimators to converge uniformly are obtained. These…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Mohamed El Machkouri

Kernel Estimation provides an unbinned and non-parametric estimate of the probability density function from which a set of data is drawn. In the first section, after a brief discussion on parametric and non-parametric methods, the theory of…

高能物理 - 实验 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Kyle S. Cranmer

Kernel density estimation is a widely used nonparametric approach to estimate an unknown distribution. Recent work in Bayesian predictive inference has considered stochastic processes formed by specifying the predictive distribution for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-15 Torey Hilbert

A common problem in data analysis is that the functional form, as well as the parameter values, of the underlying model which should describe a dataset is not known a priori. In these cases some extra uncertainty must be assigned to the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-05-20 P. D. Dauncey , M. Kenzie , N. Wardle , G. J. Davies

Consider a Gaussian nonparametric regression problem having both an unknown mean function and unknown variance function. This article presents a class of difference-based kernel estimators for the variance function. Optimal convergence…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Lawrence D. Brown , M. Levine

Suppose that univariate data are drawn from a mixture of two distributions that are equal up to a shift parameter. Such a model is known to be nonidentifiable from a nonparametric viewpoint. However, if we assume that the unknown mixed…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-08-16 Laurent Bordes , Stéphane Mottelet , Pierre Vandekerkhove

In this article we study the problem of quantifying the uncertainty in an experiment with a technical system. We propose new density estimates which combine observed data of the technical system and simulated data from an (imperfect)…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-12-21 Sebastian Kersting , Michael Kohler

This paper investigates the estimation of radio channel parameters from receiver data, whereby the transmitter is fully unknown. We use a multipath model to describe the radio channel between transmitter and receiver. According to this…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-12-14 Stephan Häfner , Reiner Thomä

We investigate a data-driven approach to constructing uncertainty sets for robust optimization problems, where the uncertain problem parameters are modeled as random variables whose joint probability distribution is not known. Relying only…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-09-22 Polina Alexeenko , Eilyan Bitar

How might a smooth probability distribution be estimated, with accurately quantified uncertainty, from a limited amount of sampled data? Here we describe a field-theoretic approach that addresses this problem remarkably well in one…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-10-24 Wei-Chia Chen , Ammar Tareen , Justin B. Kinney

The incorporation of uncertainties to calculations of signal significance in planned experiments is an actual task. Several approaches to this problem are discussed. We present a procedure for taking into account the systematic uncertainty…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 S. I. Bityukov

This paper considers the problem of kernel regression and classification with possibly unobservable response variables in the data, where the mechanism that causes the absence of information is unknown and can depend on both predictors and…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-12-07 Majid Mojirsheibani , William Pouliot , Andre Shakhbandaryan

The kernel-based method has been successfully applied in linear system identification using stable kernel designs. From a Gaussian process perspective, it automatically provides probabilistic error bounds for the identified models from the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-20 Mingzhou Yin , Roy S. Smith

Estimations of physical parameters using data usually involve non-uniform experimental efficiencies. In this article, a method of maximum likelihood fit is introduced using the efficiency as a weight, while the probability distribution…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2023-08-31 Chenxu Yu , Yanxi Zhang

This paper is devoted to the estimation of the shift parameter in a semiparametric regression model when the distribution of the observation times is unknown. Hence, we propose to use a stochastic algorithm which takes into account the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-12-23 Philippe Fraysse
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