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In this paper we consider fully Bayesian inference in general state space models. Existing particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms use an augmented model that takes into account all the variable sampled in a sequential Monte…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-07-31 Christopher K. Carter , Eduardo F. Mendes , Robert Kohn

The edge partition model (EPM) is a generative model for extracting an overlapping community structure from static graph-structured data. In the EPM, the gamma process (GaP) prior is adopted to infer the appropriate number of latent…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-03-04 Sikun Yang , Heinz Koeppl

We present $\sim8-40\,\mu$m SOFIA-FORCAST images of seven regions of ``clustered" star formation as part of the SOFIA Massive (SOMA) Star Formation Survey. We identify a total of 34 protostar candidates and build their spectral energy…

The spectral energy distribution (SED) of a galaxy contains information on the galaxy's physical properties, and multi-wavelength observations are needed in order to measure these properties via SED fitting. In planning these surveys,…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-03 Viviana Acquaviva , Eric Gawiser , Steven J. Bickerton , Norman A. Grogin , Yicheng Guo , Seong-Kook Lee

We develop a novel advanced Particle Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm that is capable of sampling from the posterior distribution of non-linear state space models for both the unobserved latent states and the unknown model parameters. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-17 Gareth W. Peters , Geoff R. Hosack , Keith R. Hayes

This study introduces a computationally efficient algorithm, delayed acceptance Markov chain Monte Carlo (DA-MCMC), designed to improve posterior simulation in quasi-Bayesian inference. Quasi-Bayesian methods, which do not require fully…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-02-16 Masahiro Tanaka

An efficient, joint transmission delay and channel parameter estimation algorithm is proposed for uplink asynchronous direct-sequence code-division multiple access (DS-CDMA) systems based on the space-alternating generalized expectation…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-11-17 E. Panayirci , A. Kocian , H. V. Poor , M. Ruggieri

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms were originally designed for estimating intractable conditional expectations within state-space models, but are now routinely used to generate approximate samples in the context of general-purpose…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-11 Jonathan H. Huggins , Daniel M. Roy

A generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator is unreliable for a large number of moment conditions, that is, it is comparable, or larger than the sample size. While classical GMM literature proposes several provisions to this problem,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-03-11 Masahiro Tanaka

Standard MCMC methods can scale poorly to big data settings due to the need to evaluate the likelihood at each iteration. There have been a number of approximate MCMC algorithms that use sub-sampling ideas to reduce this computational…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Joris Bierkens , Paul Fearnhead , Gareth Roberts

Field-level inference has emerged as a promising framework to fully harness the cosmological information encoded in next-generation galaxy surveys. It involves performing Bayesian inference to jointly estimate the cosmological parameters…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2025-12-19 Hugo Simon , François Lanusse , Arnaud de Mattia

Bayesian inference using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) on large datasets has developed rapidly in recent years. However, the underlying methods are generally limited to relatively simple settings where the data have specific forms of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-18 Robert Salomone , Matias Quiroz , Robert Kohn , Mattias Villani , Minh-Ngoc Tran

We introduce a gradient-based learning method to automatically adapt Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) proposal distributions to intractable targets. We define a maximum entropy regularised objective function, referred to as generalised speed…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-01-07 Michalis K. Titsias , Petros Dellaportas

In this article we consider Bayesian estimation of static parameters for a class of partially observed McKean-Vlasov diffusion processes with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. This problem features several obstacles to…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-04-23 Ajay Jasra , Amin Wu

We present a novel method for reducing the computational complexity of rigorously estimating the partition functions (normalizing constants) of Gibbs (Boltzmann) distributions, which arise ubiquitously in probabilistic graphical models. A…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-16 Shahrzad Haddadan , Yue Zhuang , Cyrus Cousins , Eli Upfal

The Self-Learning Monte Carlo (SLMC) method is a Monte Carlo approach that has emerged in recent years by integrating concepts from machine learning with conventional Monte Carlo techniques. Designed to accelerate the numerical study of…

强关联电子 · 物理学 2025-07-18 Gaopei Pan , Chuang Chen , Zi Yang Meng

Extragalactic surveys provide significant statistical data for the study of crucial galaxy parameters used to constrain galaxy evolution, e.g. stellar mass (M$_*$) and star formation rate (SFR), under different environmental conditions.…

星系天体物理 · 物理学 2024-06-12 Paula Calderón-Castillo , Neil M. Nagar , Sukyoung Yi , Yu-Yen Chang , Roger Leiton , Thomas M. Hughes

We present an axisymmetric, equilibrium model for late-type galaxies which consists of an exponential disk, a Sersic bulge, and a cuspy dark halo. The model is specified by a phase space distribution function which, in turn, depends on the…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2010-04-21 Lawrence M. Widrow , Brent Pym , John Dubinski

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide a promising framework for modeling predictive uncertainty and enhancing out-of-distribution robustness (OOD) by estimating the posterior distribution of network parameters. Stochastic Gradient Markov…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-03-04 Hyunsu Kim , Giung Nam , Chulhee Yun , Hongseok Yang , Juho Lee

We present a new galaxy survey simulation package, which combines the power of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling with a robust and adaptable model of galaxy evolution. The aim of this code is to aid in the characterization and study…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2016-11-25 Noah Kurinsky , Anna Sajina