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We analyze the notion that physical theories are quantitative and testable by observations in experiments. This leads us to propose a new, Bayesian, interpretation of probabilities in physics that unifies their current use in classical…

量子物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Francis G. Perey

It is argued that string theory may pose new conceptual issues for the history and philosophy of science.

物理学史与哲学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Howard J. Schnitzer

We comment on the relation between string theory and empirical science, grounding our discussion in cosmology, a subject with increasingly precise data in which this connection operates at several levels. It is important to take into…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2017-06-12 Eva Silverstein

A general theory of innovation and progress in human society is outlined, based on the combat between two opposite forces (conservatism/inertia and speculative herding "bubble" behavior). We contend that human affairs are characterized by…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Didier Sornette

Currently, the value of a new physical theory is determined by whether it has been published in a prestigious journal. Yet, to publish an article in a prestigious journal, one must undergo a rigorous process of independent subjective peer…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2025-09-23 Yefim Bakman

Establishing unambiguously the existence of speculative bubbles is an on-going controversy complicated by the need of defining a model of fundamental prices. Here, we present a novel empirical method which bypasses all the difficulties of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-24 B. M. Roehner , D. Sornette

Measurements play a crucial role in doing physics: Their results provide the basis on which we adopt or reject physical theories. In this note, we examine the effect of subjecting measurements themselves to our experience. We require that…

量子物理 · 物理学 2020-01-28 Arne Hansen , Stefan Wolf

String theory has been the dominating research field in theoretical physics during the last decades. Despite the considerable time elapse, no new testable predictions have been derived by string theorists and it is understandable that…

物理学史与哲学 · 物理学 2011-10-12 Lars-Göran Johansson , Keizo Matsubara

Results of measurements give legitimacy to a physical theory. What if acquiring these results in the first place necessitates what the same theory considers to be an interaction? In this note, we assume that theories account for…

量子物理 · 物理学 2019-05-01 Arne Hansen , Stefan Wolf

Because there are similarities between the evaluation of alternative stories in criminal trials and the evaluation of scientific theories, scholars have looked to literature in epistemology and the philosophy of science for insights on the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-01-22 Julia Mortera , William C. Thompson

Just like everything in the nature, scientific topics flourish and perish. While existing literature well captures article's life-cycle via citation patterns, little is known about how scientific popularity and impact evolves for a specific…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2021-06-09 Luoyi Fu , Dongrui Lu , Qi Li , Xinbing Wang , Chenghu Zhou

We explore a paradox of collective action and certainty in science wherein the more scientists research together, the less that work contributes to the value of their collective certainty. When scientists address similar problems and share…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2024-06-11 Eamon Duede , James Evans

At the present time, string theory (and its generalizations) remain relatively abstruse subjects to the particle phenomenologist and experimentalist. Yet, striking developments of the last two years offer hope that a fundamental…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Sunil Mukhi

Empirical science needs to be based on facts and claims that can be reproduced. This calls for replicating the studies that proclaim the claims, but practice in most fields still fails to implement this idea. When such studies emerged in…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2025-08-27 Werner A. Stahel

The status of string theory is reviewed, and major recent developments - especially those in going beyond perturbation theory in the string theory and quantum field theory frameworks - are discussed. This analysis helps better understand…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2010-12-17 A. Marshakov

There are many ways we can not know. Even in systems that we created ourselves, as, for example, systems in mathematical logic, Go\"edel and Tarski's theorems impose limits on what we can know. As we try to speak of the real world, things…

物理学史与哲学 · 物理学 2020-06-04 André C. R. Martins

Statistical physics has proven to be a very fruitful framework to describe phenomena outside the realm of traditional physics. The last years have witnessed the attempt by physicists to study collective phenomena emerging from the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-05-11 Claudio Castellano , Santo Fortunato , Vittorio Loreto

In response to growing concern about the reliability and reproducibility of published science, researchers have proposed adopting measures of greater statistical stringency, including suggestions to require larger sample sizes and to lower…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-09 Harlan Campbell , Paul Gustafson

It is widely believed that theory is useful in physics because it describes simple systems and that strictly empirical phenomenological approaches are necessary for complex biological and social systems. Here we prove based upon an analysis…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-08-15 Yaneer Bar-Yam

Recent decades have seen a rise in the use of physics methods to study different societal phenomena. This development has been due to physicists venturing outside of their traditional domains of interest, but also due to scientists from…

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