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We consider the testing and estimation of change-points -- locations where the distribution abruptly changes -- in a data sequence. A new approach, based on scan statistics utilizing graphs representing the similarity between observations,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-02-18 Hao Chen , Nancy Zhang

Change point analysis has applications in a wide variety of fields. The general problem concerns the inference of a change in distribution for a set of time-ordered observations. Sequential detection is an online version in which new data…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-16 David S. Matteson , Nicholas A. James

We study the problem of offline changepoint localization in a distribution-free setting. One observes a vector of data with a single changepoint, assuming that the data before and after the changepoint are iid (or more generally…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Rohan Hore , Aaditya Ramdas

We propose an algorithm for nonparametric online change point detection based on sequential score function estimation and the tracking the best expert approach. The core of the procedure is a version of the fixed share forecaster tailored…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-18 Anna Markovich , Nikita Puchkin

Let $(X_i)_{i=1,...,n}$ be a possibly nonstationary sequence such that $\mathscr{L}(X_i)=P_n$ if $i\leq n\theta$ and $\mathscr{L}(X_i)=Q_n$ if $i>n\theta$, where $0<\theta <1$ is the location of the change-point to be estimated. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Samir Ben Hariz , Jonathan J. Wylie , Qiang Zhang

Motivated by an example from remote sensing of gas emission sources, we derive two novel change point procedures for multivariate time series where, in contrast to classical change point literature, the changes are not required to be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-07 Idris Eckley , Claudia Kirch , Silke Weber

We investigate sequential change point estimation and detection in univariate nonparametric settings, where a stream of independent observations from sub-Gaussian distributions with a common variance factor and piecewise-constant but…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-16 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

Change-points in time series data are usually defined as the time instants at which changes in their properties occur. Detecting change-points is critical in a number of applications as diverse as detecting credit card and insurance frauds,…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-09-10 André Ferrari , Cédric Richard , Anthony Bourrier , Ikram Bouchikhi

We consider the detection and localization of change points in the distribution of an offline sequence of observations. Based on a nonparametric framework that uses a similarity graph among observations, we propose new test statistics when…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-05 Lizhen Nie , Dan L. Nicolae

The objective of change-point detection is to discover abrupt property changes lying behind time-series data. In this paper, we present a novel statistical change-point detection algorithm based on non-parametric divergence estimation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-03-20 Song Liu , Makoto Yamada , Nigel Collier , Masashi Sugiyama

We propose a method to infer the presence and location of change-points in the distribution of a sequence of independent data taking values in a general metric space, where change-points are viewed as locations at which the distribution of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-15 Paromita Dubey , Hans-Georg Müller

In multiple change-point problems, different data segments often follow different distributions, for which the changes may occur in the mean, scale or the entire distribution from one segment to another. Without the need to know the number…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-05-29 Changliang Zou , Guosheng Yin , Long Feng , Zhaojun Wang

Detecting the emergence of an abrupt change-point is a classic problem in statistics and machine learning. Kernel-based nonparametric statistics have been used for this task which enjoy fewer assumptions on the distributions than the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-14 Shuang Li , Yao Xie , Hanjun Dai , Le Song

We introduce a new nonparametric density estimator inspired by Markov Chains, and generalizing the well-known Kernel Density Estimator (KDE). Our estimator presents several benefits with respect to the usual ones and can be used…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-09-15 Andrea De Simone , Alessandro Morandini

We suggest a novel procedure for online change point detection. Our approach expands an idea of maximizing a discrepancy measure between points from pre-change and post-change distributions. This leads to flexible algorithms suitable for…

Change-point detection studies the problem of detecting the changes in the underlying distribution of the data stream as soon as possible after the change happens. Modern large-scale, high-dimensional, and complex streaming data call for…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-05 Haoyun Wang , Yao Xie

Consider a heterogeneous data stream being generated by the nodes of a graph. The data stream is in essence composed by multiple streams, possibly of different nature that depends on each node. At a given moment $\tau$, a change-point…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-22 Alejandro de la Concha , Argyris Kalogeratos , Nicolas Vayatis

We introduce a powerful scan statistic and the corresponding test for detecting the presence and pinpointing the location of a change point within the distribution of a data sequence with the data elements residing in a separable metric…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-27 Paromita Dubey , Minxing Zheng

Sequential change detection is a classical problem with a variety of applications. However, the majority of prior work has been parametric, for example, focusing on exponential families. We develop a fundamentally new and general framework…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-31 Jaehyeok Shin , Aaditya Ramdas , Alessandro Rinaldo

Many statistical models are given in the form of non-normalized densities with an intractable normalization constant. Since maximum likelihood estimation is computationally intensive for these models, several estimation methods have been…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-09-01 Takeru Matsuda , Masatoshi Uehara , Aapo Hyvarinen
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