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A maximum entropy-based framework is presented for the synthesis of projections from multiple Earth climate models. This identifies the most representative (most probable) model from a set of climate models -- as defined by specified…

地球物理 · 物理学 2017-08-23 Robert K. Niven

Ecosystems enjoy increasing attention due to their flexibility and innovative power. It is well known, however, that this type of network-based economic governance structures occupies a potentially unstable position between the two stable…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-30 Christoph F. Strnadl

The adoption of agroecological practices will be crucial to address the challenges of climate change and biodiversity loss. Such practices favor the cultivation of plants in complex mixtures with layouts differing from the monoculture…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-09-26 Julian Talbot , Pascal Viot , David Colliaux

A new model ecosystem consisting of many interacting species is introduced. The species are connected through a random matrix with a given connectivity. It is shown that the system is organized close to a boundary of marginal stability in…

adap-org · 物理学 2007-05-23 Ricard V. Sole , David Alonso , Alan McKane

Growing anthropogenic pressures have increased the need for robust predictive models. Meeting this demand requires approaches that can handle bigger data to yield forecasts that capture the variability and underlying uncertainty of…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2024-08-06 EM Wolkovich , T Jonathan Davies , William D Pearse , Michael Betancourt

A practical problem-solving framework is proposed for multi-stakeholder initiative (MSI) problem-solving processes involving socio-ecological systems (SES), so-called wicked problems, based on insights borrowed from a model of the…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2019-12-02 Kevin Kells

In extreme values theory, for a sufficiently large block size, the maxima distribution is approximated by the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. The GEV distribution is a family of continuous probability distributions, which has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-28 Cira E. G. Otiniano , Bianca Sousa , Roberto Vila , Marcelo Bourguignon

Economic complexity has been linked to sustainability outcomes, such as income inequality and greenhouse gas emissions. Yet, it is unclear whether the pursuit of complex and/or related activities naturally aligns with these outcomes, or…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-09-24 Quinten De Wettinck , Karolien De Bruyne , Wouter Bam , César A. Hidalgo

Ecological forecasts are model-based statements about currently unknown ecosystem states in time or space. For a model forecast to be useful to inform decision makers, model validation and verification determine adequateness. The measure of…

Expected Shortfall (ES) is the average return on a risky asset conditional on the return being below some quantile of its distribution, namely its Value-at-Risk (VaR). The Basel III Accord, which will be implemented in the years leading up…

经济学 · 定量金融 2017-07-18 Andrew J. Patton , Johanna F. Ziegel , Rui Chen

Using the formalism of Lyapunov potential function it is shown that the stability principles for biomass in the ecosystem and for employment in economics are mathematically similar. The ecosystem is found to have a stable and an unstable…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2010-11-30 Victor G. Gorshkov , Anastassia M. Makarieva , Bai-Lian Li

Local coexistence of species in large ecosystems is traditionally explained within the broad framework of niche theory. However, its rationale hardly justifies rich biodiversity observed in nearly homogeneous environments. Here we consider…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2021-11-17 Deepak Gupta , Stefano Garlaschi , Samir Suweis , Sandro Azaele , Amos Maritan

In the companion paper of this set (Capitan and Cuesta, 2010) we have developed a full analytical treatment of the model of species assembly introduced in Capitan et al. (2009). This model is based on the construction of an assembly graph…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-02-18 Jose A. Capitan , Jose A. Cuesta , Jordi Bascompte

We introduce a new interacting particle system intended to model an example of ecological succession involving two species: the bracken and the european beech. The objective is to exhibit phase transitions by proving that there exist three…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Nicolas Lanchier

Ecosystems are governed by dynamic processes such as competition for resources, reproduction and dispersal. These shape their biodiversity and how the system responds to change. Current approaches to modelling ecosystems, especially plants,…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2023-03-15 Claire L. Harris , Neil Brummitt , Christina A. Cobbold , Richard Reeve

The goal of this study is to propose a new concept, Sustainable Economic Value, to define it logically, and to build a simplified model for its evaluation.

综合经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-14 Camelia Oprean-Stan

We perform a full similarity analysis of an idealized ecosystem using Buckingham's $\Pi$ theorem to obtain dimensionless similarity parameters given that some (non- unique) method exists that can differentiate different functional groups of…

生物物理 · 物理学 2013-05-10 S. C. Chapman , N. W. Watkins , G. Rowlands , A. Clarke , E. J. Murphy

The foundational concepts behind the persistence of ecological communities have been based on two ecological properties: dynamical stability and feasibility. The former is typically regarded as the capacity of a community to return to an…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2016-01-21 Serguei Saavedra , Rudolf P. Rohr , Jens M. Olesen , Jordi Bascompte

We are living in an uncertain and dynamically changing world, where optimal decision-making under uncertainty is directly linked to the survival of species. However, evolutionary selection pressures that shape value-based decision-making…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-04-04 Erdem Pulcu

A sequence of random variables is exchangeable if its joint distribution is invariant under variable permutations. We introduce exchangeable variable models (EVMs) as a novel class of probabilistic models whose basic building blocks are…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-05-06 Mathias Niepert , Pedro Domingos