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We consider problems in model selection caused by the geometry of models close to their points of intersection. In some cases---including common classes of causal or graphical models, as well as time series models---distinct models may…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-12-20 Robin J. Evans

Power and sample size analysis comprises a critical component of clinical trial study design. There is an extensive collection of methods addressing this problem from diverse perspectives. The Bayesian paradigm, in particular, has attracted…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-12-08 Jane Pan , Sudipto Banerjee

Huelsenbeck and Rannala (2004, Systematic Biology 53, 904-913) presented a series of simulations in order to assess the extent to which the bayesian posterior probabilities associated with phylogenetic trees represent the standard…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2010-01-21 David A. Morrison

Heckman selection model is the most popular econometric model in analysis of data with sample selection. However, selection models with Normal errors cannot accommodate heavy tails in the error distribution. Recently, Marchenko and Genton…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-01-08 Peng Ding

We perform a Bayesian analysis on abundance data for ten species of North American duck, using the results to investigate the evidence in favour of biologically motivated hypotheses about the causes and mechanisms of density dependence in…

The "large p, small n" paradigm arises in microarray studies, where expression levels of thousands of genes are monitored for a small number of subjects. There has been an increasing demand for study of asymptotics for the various…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Michael R. Kosorok , Shuangge Ma

Penalized regression models are popularly used in high-dimensional data analysis to conduct variable selection and model fitting simultaneously. Whereas success has been widely reported in literature, their performances largely depend on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-12-16 Wei Sun , Junhui Wang , Yixin Fang

Despite their importance in supporting experimental conclusions, standard statistical tests are often inadequate for research areas, like the life sciences, where the typical sample size is small and the test assumptions difficult to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-04-15 Pietro Berkes , Jozsef Fiser

In objective Bayesian model selection, no single criterion has emerged as dominant in defining objective prior distributions. Indeed, many criteria have been separately proposed and utilized to propose differing prior choices. We first…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-09-25 M. J. Bayarri , J. O. Berger , A. Forte , G. García-Donato

A multiplier bootstrap procedure for construction of likelihood-based confidence sets is considered for finite samples and a possible model misspecification. Theoretical results justify the bootstrap validity for a small or moderate sample…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-11-18 Vladimir Spokoiny , Mayya Zhilova

Identifying small subsets of features that are relevant for prediction and/or classification tasks is a central problem in machine learning and statistics. The feature selection task is especially important, and computationally difficult,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-11-04 Charles K. Fisher , Pankaj Mehta

The problem of joint estimation of multiple graphical models from high dimensional data has been studied in the statistics and machine learning literature, due to its importance in diverse fields including molecular biology, neuroscience…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-04 Peyman Jalali , Kshitij Khare , George Michailidis

Bayesian variable selection often assumes normality, but the effects of model misspecification are not sufficiently understood. There are sound reasons behind this assumption, particularly for large $p$: ease of interpretation, analytical…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-07 David Rossell , Francisco J. Rubio

We analyze general two-species stochastic models, of the kind generally used for the study of population dynamics. We show that the conditions for the stochastic (microscopic) model to display approximate sustained oscillatory behavior are…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2016-08-14 Sebastián Risau-Gusman , Guillermo Abramson

We extend the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC), an asymptotic approximation for the marginal likelihood, to Bayesian networks with hidden variables. This approximation can be used to select models given large samples of data. The…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-05-19 Dan Geiger , David Heckerman , Christopher Meek

Explosive growth in data and availability of cheap computing resources have sparked increasing interest in Big learning, an emerging subfield that studies scalable machine learning algorithms, systems, and applications with Big Data.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-03-02 Jun Zhu , Jianfei Chen , Wenbo Hu , Bo Zhang

We consider the least-square linear regression problem with regularization by the l1-norm, a problem usually referred to as the Lasso. In this paper, we present a detailed asymptotic analysis of model consistency of the Lasso. For various…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2008-12-18 Francis Bach

When performing regression or classification, we are interested in the conditional probability distribution for an outcome or class variable Y given a set of explanatoryor input variables X. We consider Bayesian models for this task. In…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-02-08 David Heckerman , Christopher Meek

Bayesian model selection provides a powerful framework for objectively comparing models directly from observed data, without reference to ground truth data. However, Bayesian model selection requires the computation of the marginal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-17 Xiaohao Cai , Jason D. McEwen , Marcelo Pereyra

We propose a new approach to Bayesian prediction that caters for models with a large number of parameters and is robust to model misspecification. Given a class of high-dimensional (but parametric) predictive models, this new approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-05-13 David T. Frazier , Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Gael M. Martin , Bonsoo Koo