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This paper offers a qualitative insight into the convergence of Bayesian parameter inference in a setup which mimics the modeling of the spread of a disease with associated disease measurements. Specifically, we are interested in the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-12-08 Samuel Bronstein , Stefan Engblom , Robin Marin

A general Bayesian framework for model selection on random network models regarding their features is considered. The goal is to develop a principle Bayesian model selection approach to compare different fittable, not necessarily nested,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-30 Papamichalis Marios

In high-dimensional Bayesian statistics, various methods have been developed, including prior distributions that induce parameter sparsity to handle many parameters. Yet, these approaches often overlook the rich spectral structure of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-06 Tomoya Wakayama , Masaaki Imaizumi

Bayesian methods - either based on Bayes Factors or BIC - are now widely used for model selection. One property that might reasonably be demanded of any model selection method is that if a model ${M}_{1}$ is preferred to a model ${M}_{0}$,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-08-20 Piotr Zwiernik , Jim Q. Smith

Bayesian synthetic likelihood is a widely used approach for conducting Bayesian analysis in complex models where evaluation of the likelihood is infeasible but simulation from the assumed model is tractable. We analyze the behaviour of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-17 David T. Frazier , Christopher Drovandi , David J. Nott

Model selection and order selection problems frequently arise in statistical practice. A popular approach to addressing these problems in the frequentist setting involves information criteria based on penalised maxima of log-likelihoods for…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-29 Hien Duy Nguyen , Mayetri Gupta , Jacob Westerhout , TrungTin Nguyen

We have developed a frequentist approach for model selection which determines the consistency between any cosmological model and the data using the distribution of likelihoods from the iterative smoothing method. Using this approach, we…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2022-03-30 Hanwool Koo , Ryan E. Keeley , Arman Shafieloo , Benjamin L'Huillier

Replication studies are essential for assessing the credibility of claims from original studies. A critical aspect of designing replication studies is determining their sample size; a too small sample size may lead to inconclusive studies…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-08-14 Samuel Pawel , Guido Consonni , Leonhard Held

Motivated by examples from genetic association studies, this paper considers the model selection problem in a general complex linear model system and in a Bayesian framework. We discuss formulating model selection problems and incorporating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-03-14 Xiaoquan Wen

We present a growing dimension asymptotic formalism. The perspective in this paper is classification theory and we show that it can accommodate probabilistic networks classifiers, including naive Bayes model and its augmented version. When…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-07 Tatjana Pavlenko , Dietrich von Rosen

This paper develops Bayesian sample size formulae for experiments comparing two groups. We assume the experimental data will be analysed in the Bayesian framework, where pre-experimental information from multiple sources can be represented…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-09 Haiyan Zheng , Thomas Jaki , James M. S. Wason

For many nonlinear Bayesian state estimation problems, the posterior recursion is not analytically tractable, leading to algorithms that are influenced by numerical approximation errors. These algorithms depend on parameters that affect the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-14 Ondrej Straka , Felipe Giraldo-Grueso , Renato Zanetti

Big Data often presents as massive non-probability samples. Not only is the selection mechanism often unknown, but larger data volume amplifies the relative contribution of selection bias to total error. Existing bias adjustment approaches…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Carol A. C. Flannagan , Brady T. West , Michael R. Elliott

Bayesian networks are now being used in enormous fields, for example, diagnosis of a system, data mining, clustering and so on. In spite of their wide range of applications, the statistical properties have not yet been clarified, because…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-12-12 Keisuke Yamazaki , Sumio Watanbe

We propose a cautious Bayesian variable selection routine by investigating the sensitivity of a hierarchical model, where the regression coefficients are specified by spike and slab priors. We exploit the use of latent variables to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-20 Tathagata Basu , Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Jochen Einbeck

We develop a Bayesian framework for variable selection in linear regression with autocorrelated errors, accommodating lagged covariates and autoregressive structures. This setting occurs in time series applications where responses depend on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-18 Alokesh Manna , Sujit K. Ghosh

We consider the use of Bayesian information criteria for selection of the graph underlying an Ising model. In an Ising model, the full conditional distributions of each variable form logistic regression models, and variable selection…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-09 Rina Foygel Barber , Mathias Drton

We study the properties of variational Bayes approximations for exponential family models with missing values. It is shown that the iterative algorithm for obtaining the variational Bayesian estimator converges locally to the true value…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-07-19 Bo Wang , D. Titterington

We study the identifiability of parameters and falsifiability of predictions under the process of model expansion in a Bayesian setting. Identifiability is represented by the closeness of the posterior to the prior distribution and…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-15 Collin Cademartori

Challenging research in various fields has driven a wide range of methodological advances in variable selection for regression models with high-dimensional predictors. In comparison, selection of nonlinear functions in models with additive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-03-05 Fabian Scheipl , Thomas Kneib , Ludwig Fahrmeir