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The n-point statistics of singularity strength variables for multiplicative branching processes is calculated from an analytic expression of the corresponding multivariate generating function. The key ingredient is a branching generating…

This paper discusses a special class of nonlinear Hawkes processes, where the rate function is the exponential function. We call these processes loglinear Hawkes processes. In the main theorem, we give sufficient conditions for explosion…

Predicting discrete events in time and space has many scientific applications, such as predicting hazardous earthquakes and outbreaks of infectious diseases. History-dependent spatio-temporal Hawkes processes are often used to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-01-31 Negar Erfanian , Santiago Segarra , Maarten de Hoop

We study how idiosyncratic firm-level shocks generate aggregate volatility and tail risk when they propagate through a production network under overlapping adjustment: new productivity draws arrive before the economy reaches the static…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2026-03-06 Antoine Mandel , Vipin P. Veetil

We study diffusion-driven pattern-formation in networks of networks, a class of multilayer systems, where different layers have the same topology, but different internal dynamics. Agents are assumed to disperse within a layer by undergoing…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-03-28 Andreas Brechtel , Philipp Gramlich , Daniel Ritterskamp , Barbara Drossel , Thilo Gross

We introduce and analyze several variants of a system of differential equations which model the dynamics of social outbursts, such as riots. The systems involve the coupling of an explicit variable representing the intensity of rioting…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2015-07-08 Henri Berestycki , Jean-Pierre Nadal , Nancy Rodriguez

Multistability, the coexistence of multiple attractors in a dynamical system, is explored in bursting nerve cells. A modeling study is performed to show that a large class of bursting systems, as defined by a shared topology when…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2010-06-29 J. P. Newman , R. J. Butera

Evolutionary game theory has been successfully used to investigate the dynamics of systems, in which many entities have competitive interactions. From a physics point of view, it is interesting to study conditions under which a coordination…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-05-14 Dirk Helbing , Anders Johansson

Hawkes processes are point process models that have been used to capture self-excitatory behavior in social interactions, neural activity, earthquakes and viral epidemics. They can model the occurrence of the times and locations of events.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-10-24 Xenia Miscouridou , Samir Bhatt , George Mohler , Seth Flaxman , Swapnil Mishra

A naive model of many networked logistic maps with an excitation type coupling [Neural Networks, vol. 20, 102--108 (2007)], which is an extension of other low dimensional models, has been recently proposed to mimic the waking-sleeping…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2009-06-13 Ricardo Lopez-Ruiz , Daniele Fournier-Prunaret

Self-exciting Hawkes processes are used to model events which cluster in time and space, and have been widely studied in seismology under the name of the Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model. In the ETAS framework, the occurrence…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-02-06 Aleksandar A. Kolev , Gordon J. Ross

The spontaneous generation of electrical activity underpins a number of essential physiological processes, and is observed even in tissues where specialized pacemaker cells have not been identified. The emergence of periodic oscillations in…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2022-02-01 Ria Ghosh , Shakti N. Menon

We continue the work of a series of previous studies of a mathematical model that describes the mean-field limit behavior of a homogeneous network of excitatory point spiking neurons. Contrary to other models, here noise is intrinsic to the…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2017-07-20 Guillem Via

This work focuses on a self-exciting point process defined by a Hawkes-like intensity and a switching mechanism based on a hidden Markov chain. Previous works in such a setting assume constant intensities between consecutive events. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-07 Timothée Fabre , Ioane Muni Toke

Crowdfunding is a powerful tool for individuals or organizations seeking financial support from a vast audience. Despite widespread adoption, managers often lack information about dynamics of their platforms. Hawkes processes have been used…

应用统计 · 统计学 2024-02-26 Alexandra Djorno , Forrest W. Crawford

There is a commonality among contagious diseases, tweets, urban crimes, nuclear reactions, and neuronal firings that past events facilitate the future occurrence of events. The spread of events has been extensively studied such that the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2016-09-16 Tomokatsu Onaga , Shigeru Shinomoto

We present consensus analysis of systems with single integrator dynamics interacting via time-varying graphs under the event-triggered control paradigm. Event-triggered control sparsifies the control applied, thus reducing the control…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2017-05-03 S. Arun Kumar , N. R. Chowdhury , S. Srikant , J. Raisch

Hawkes process is a class of simple point processes with self-exciting and clustering properties. Hawkes process has been widely applied in finance, neuroscience, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. In this…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-05 Fuqing Gao , Lingjiong Zhu

Hypergraphs naturally represent higher-order interactions, which persistently appear from social interactions to neural networks and other natural systems. Although their importance is well recognized, a theoretical framework to describe…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-05-25 Guilherme Ferraz de Arruda , Michele Tizzani , Yamir Moreno

The Hawkes process is a versatile stochastic model for point patterns that exhibit self-excitation, that is, the property that an event occurrence increases the rate of occurrence for some period of time in the future. We present a Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Hyotae Kim , Athanasios Kottas