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In this paper we propose a general framework for the uncertainty quantification of quantities of interest for high-contrast single-phase flow problems. It is based on the generalized multiscale finite element method (GMsFEM) and multilevel…

数值分析 · 数学 2015-06-18 Yalchin Efendiev , Bangti Jin , Michael Presho , Xiaosi Tan

State-space models are commonly used to describe different forms of ecological data. We consider the case of count data with observation errors. For such data the system process is typically multi-dimensional consisting of coupled Markov…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-15 Axel Finke , Ruth King , Alexandros Beskos , Petros Dellaportas

We present a general framework for accelerating a large class of widely used Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. Our approach exploits fast, iterative approximations to the target density to speculatively evaluate many potential…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-03-31 Elaine Angelino , Eddie Kohler , Amos Waterland , Margo Seltzer , Ryan P. Adams

We study time-changed Markov processes to speed up the convergence of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. The time-changed process is defined by adjusting the speed of time of a base process via a user-chosen, state-dependent…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-04-08 Andrea Bertazzi , Giorgos Vasdekis

In this paper, we consider the Markov-Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach for random sampling of combinatorial objects. The running time of such an algorithm depends on the total mixing time of the underlying Markov chain and is unknown in…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2016-09-15 Steffen Rechner , Annabell Berger

It is widely known that the performance of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) can degrade quickly when targeting computationally expensive posterior distributions, such as when the sample size is large. This has motivated the search for MCMC…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-12-02 James E. Johndrow , Natesh S. Pillai , Aaron Smith

Sequential Monte Carlo methods are a powerful framework for approximating the posterior distribution of a state variable in a sequential manner. They provide an attractive way of analyzing dynamic systems in real-time, taking into account…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-08-29 Dhorasso Temfack , Jason Wyse

Gaussian graphical models are useful tools for conditional independence structure inference of multivariate random variables. Unfortunately, Bayesian inference of latent graph structures is challenging due to exponential growth of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-06 Abhinav Natarajan , Willem van den Boom , Kristoforus Bryant Odang , Maria De Iorio

We demonstrate the use of a variational method to determine a quantitative lower bound on the rate of convergence of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms as a function of the target density and proposal density. The bound relies on…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2013-05-29 Fergal P. Casey , Joshua J. Waterfall , Ryan N. Gutenkunst , Christopher R. Myers , James P. Sethna

Traditional Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods suffer from low acceptance rate, slow mixing and low efficiency in high dimensions. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo resolves this issue by avoiding the random walk. Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2008-11-26 Amir Hajian

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is an invaluable means of inference with complicated models, and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, in particular Riemannian Manifold Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (RMHMC), has demonstrated impressive success in many…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-02 M. J. Betancourt

This paper considers a new approach to using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) in contexts where one may adopt multilevel (ML) Monte Carlo. The underlying problem is to approximate expectations w.r.t. an underlying probability measure that is…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-06-27 Ajay Jasra , Kody Law , Yaxian Xu

We introduce a visual analysis method for multiple causal graphs with different outcome variables, namely, multi-outcome causal graphs. Multi-outcome causal graphs are important in healthcare for understanding multimorbidity and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-01 Mengjie Fan , Jinlu Yu , Daniel Weiskopf , Nan Cao , Huai-Yu Wang , Liang Zhou

The graphical representation of the correlation matrix by means of different multivariate statistical methods is reviewed, a comparison of the different procedures is presented with the use of an example data set, and an improved…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-01-24 Jan Graffelman , Jan de Leeuw

We introduce a powerful and flexible MCMC algorithm for stochastic simulation. The method builds on a pseudo-marginal method originally introduced in [Genetics 164 (2003) 1139--1160], showing how algorithms which are approximations to an…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-04-01 Christophe Andrieu , Gareth O. Roberts

Graphical perception studies typically measure visualization encoding effectiveness using the error of an "average observer", leading to canonical rankings of encodings for numerical attributes: e.g., position > area > angle > volume. Yet…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2022-12-22 Russell Davis , Xiaoying Pu , Yiren Ding , Brian D. Hall , Karen Bonilla , Mi Feng , Matthew Kay , Lane Harrison

This paper proposes a family of weighted batch means variance estimators, which are computationally efficient and can be conveniently applied in practice. The focus is on Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations and estimation of the asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-05-23 Ying Liu , James M. Flegal

We investigate the complexity of covariance matrix estimation for Gibbs distributions based on dependent samples from a Markov chain. We show that when $\pi$ satisfies a Poincar\'e inequality and the chain possesses a spectral gap, we can…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-10-23 Yunbum Kook , Matthew S. Zhang

The emerging concept of SoC-AMS leads to research new top-down methodologies to aid systems designers in sizing analog and mixed devices. This work applies this idea to the high-level optimization of pipeline ADC. Considering a given…

硬件体系结构 · 计算机科学 2011-11-09 L. Barrandon , S. Crand , D. Houzet

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a well-established family of algorithms primarily used in Bayesian statistics to sample from a target distribution when direct sampling is challenging. Existing work on Bayesian decision trees uses MCMC.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-01-24 Efthyvoulos Drousiotis , Paul G. Spirakis , Simon Maskell