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Ordinal variables, such as on the Likert scale, are common in applied research. Yet, existing methods for causal inference tend to target nominal or continuous data. When applied to ordinal data, this fails to account for the inherent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-26 Martina Scauda , Jack Kuipers , Giusi Moffa

Complex stochastic models represented by directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) are increasingly employed to synthesise multiple, imperfect and disparate sources of evidence, to estimate quantities that are difficult to measure directly. The…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-03 Anne M. Presanis , David Ohlssen , David J. Spiegelhalter , Daniela De Angelis

DAG models are statistical models satisfying a collection of conditional independence relations encoded by the nonedges of a directed acyclic graph (DAG) $\mathcal{G}$. Such models are used to model complex cause-effect systems across a…

组合数学 · 数学 2017-06-21 Adityanarayanan Radhakrishnan , Liam Solus , Caroline Uhler

Linear non-Gaussian causal models postulate that each random variable is a linear function of parent variables and non-Gaussian exogenous error terms. We study identification of the linear coefficients when such models contain latent…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Daniele Tramontano , Mathias Drton , Jalal Etesami

In the context of inferring a Bayesian network structure (directed acyclic graph, DAG for short), we devise a non-reversible continuous time Markov chain, the ``Causal Zig-Zag sampler'', that targets a probability distribution over classes…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-09-12 Moritz Schauer , Marcel Wienöbst

Directed acyclic graphical models, or DAG models, are widely used to represent complex causal systems. Since the basic task of learning such a model from data is NP-hard, a standard approach is greedy search over the space of directed…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-09 Liam Solus , Yuhao Wang , Caroline Uhler

We introduce priors and algorithms to perform Bayesian inference in Gaussian models defined by acyclic directed mixed graphs. Such a class of graphs, composed of directed and bi-directed edges, is a representation of conditional…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-07-02 Ricardo Silva , Zoubin Ghahramani

Faithfulness is the foundation of probability distribution and graph in causal discovery and causal inference. In this paper, several unfaithful probability distribution examples are constructed in three--vertices binary causality directed…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-31 Jingwei Liu

An important task in data analysis is the discovery of causal relationships between observed variables. For continuous-valued data, linear acyclic causal models are commonly used to model the data-generating process, and the inference of…

Causal discovery from i.i.d. observational data is known to be generally ill-posed. We demonstrate that if we have access to the distribution {induced} by a structural causal model, and additional data from (in the best case) \textit{only…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-15 Francesco Montagna

In this paper, we introduce a novel class of graphical models for representing time lag specific causal relationships and independencies of multivariate time series with unobserved confounders. We completely characterize these graphs and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-06 Andreas Gerhardus

Predicting the effect of unseen interventions is a fundamental research question across the data sciences. It is well established that in general such questions cannot be answered definitively from observational data. This realization has…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-27 Alexis Bellot

Directed acyclic graph (DAG) has been widely employed to represent directional relationships among a set of collected nodes. Yet, the available data in one single study is often limited for accurate DAG reconstruction, whereas heterogeneous…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-17 Mingyang Ren , Xin He , Junhui Wang

Recent work on causal abstraction, in particular graphical approaches focusing on causal structure between clusters of variables, aims to summarize a high-dimensional causal structure in terms of a low-dimensional one. Existing methods for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-12 Francisco Madaleno , Francisco C Pereira , Alex Markham

Causal relationships among variables are commonly represented via directed acyclic graphs. There are many methods in the literature to quantify the strength of arrows in a causal acyclic graph. These methods, however, have undesirable…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-08 Yue Wang , Linbo Wang

Causal discovery from observational data is a challenging task that can only be solved up to a set of equivalent solutions, called an equivalence class. Such classes, which are often large in size, encode uncertainties about the orientation…

Maximal ancestral graphs (MAGs) have many desirable properties; in particular they can fully describe conditional independences from directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) in the presence of latent and selection variables. However, different MAGs…

组合数学 · 数学 2020-07-07 Zhongyi Hu , Robin Evans

This paper considers the problem of defining distributions over graphical structures. We propose an extension of the hyper Markov properties of Dawid and Lauritzen [Ann. Statist. 21 (1993) 1272-1317], which we term structural Markov…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-28 Simon Byrne , A. Philip Dawid

The fundamental concepts underlying in Markov networks are the conditional independence and the set of rules called Markov properties that translates conditional independence constraints into graphs. In this article we introduce the concept…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-03-14 Niharika Gauraha

We consider identifying a conditional causal effect when a graph is known up to a maximally oriented partially directed acyclic graph (MPDAG). An MPDAG represents an equivalence class of graphs that is restricted by background knowledge and…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2025-07-22 Sara LaPlante , Emilija Perković