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Uncertainty visualizations often emphasize point estimates to support magnitude estimates or decisions through visual comparison. However, when design choices emphasize means, users may overlook uncertainty information and misinterpret…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2020-09-15 Alex Kale , Matthew Kay , Jessica Hullman

Sensory systems use limited resources to mediate the perception of a great variety of objects and events. Here a normative framework is presented for exploring how the problem of efficient allocation of resources can be solved in visual…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2014-05-06 Sergei Gepshtein , Ivan Tyukin

The situation assessment problem is considered, in terms of object, condition, activity, and plan recognition, based on data coming from the real-word {em via} various sensors. It is shown that uncertainty issues are linked both to the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-01 Charles Castel , Corine Cossart , Catherine Tessier

We can overcome uncertainty with uncertainty. Using randomness in our choices and in what we control, and hence in the decision making process, could potentially offset the uncertainty inherent in the environment and yield better outcomes.…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2017-10-06 Ravi Kashyap

The ranking and selection problem is a popular framework in the simulation literature for studying optimal information collection. We study a version of this problem in which the simulation output for each design is normally distributed…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-09-03 Jianzhong Du , Ilya O. Ryzhov , Siyang Gao

We address the problem of uncertainty quantification and propose measures of total, aleatoric, and epistemic uncertainty based on a known decomposition of (strictly) proper scoring rules, a specific type of loss function, into a divergence…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-29 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

Proper quantification of predictive uncertainty is essential for the use of machine learning in safety-critical applications. Various uncertainty measures have been proposed for this purpose, typically claiming superiority over other…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

In real-world scenarios, typical visual recognition systems could fail under two major causes, i.e., the misclassification between known classes and the excusable misbehavior on unknown-class images. To tackle these deficiencies, flexible…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-09-15 Lei Fan , Bo Liu , Haoxiang Li , Ying Wu , Gang Hua

A method is discussed that allows combining sets of differential or inclusive measurements. It is assumed that at least one measurement was obtained with simultaneously fitting a set of nuisance parameters, representing sources of…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-01-09 Jan Kieseler

Interpreting uncertain data can be difficult, particularly if the data presentation is complex. We investigate the efficacy of different modalities for representing data and how to combine the strengths of each modality to facilitate the…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2024-04-15 Chase Stokes , Chelsea Sanker , Bridget Cogley , Vidya Setlur

In many areas of engineering and sciences, decision rules and control strategies are usually designed based on nominal values of relevant system parameters. To ensure that a control strategy or decision rule will work properly when the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-06-16 Xinjia Chen

We propose a new approach for solving a class of discrete decision making problems under uncertainty with positive cost. This issue concerns multiple and diverse fields such as engineering, economics, artificial intelligence, cognitive…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-01-03 Steve N'Guyen , Clément Moulin-Frier , Jacques Droulez

In natural perception, different items (objects) in a scene are rarely equally relevant to the observer. The brain improves performance by directing attention to the most relevant items, for example the ones most likely to be probed. For a…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2018-02-20 Nuwan de Silva , Wei Ji Ma

Understanding uncertainty plays a critical role in achieving common ground (Clark et al.,1983). This is especially important for multimodal AI systems that collaborate with users to solve a problem or guide the user through a challenging…

计算与语言 · 计算机科学 2024-10-21 Qi Cheng , Mert İnan , Rahma Mbarki , Grace Grmek , Theresa Choi , Yiming Sun , Kimele Persaud , Jenny Wang , Malihe Alikhani

We consider the problem of deciding on sampling strategy, in particular sampling design. We propose a risk measure, whose minimizing value guides the choice. The method makes use of a superpopulation model and takes into account uncertainty…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-06 Edgar Bueno , Dan Hedlin

This work contributes to a compositional theory of "co-design" that allows to optimally design a robotic platform. In this framework, the user describes each subsystem as a monotone relation between "functionality" provided and "resources"…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2017-02-27 Andrea Censi

A significant problem in designing mobile robot control systems involves coping with the uncertainty that arises in moving about in an unknown or partially unknown environment and relying on noisy or ambiguous sensor data to acquire…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-04-05 K. Bayse , M. Lejter , Keiji Kanazawa

Starting from considerations about meaning and subsequent use of asymmetric uncertainty intervals of experimental results, we review the issue of uncertainty propagation. We show that, using a probabilistic approach (the so-called Bayesian…

高能物理 - 实验 · 物理学 2007-05-23 G. D'Agostini , M. Raso

Various strategies for active learning have been proposed in the machine learning literature. In uncertainty sampling, which is among the most popular approaches, the active learner sequentially queries the label of those instances for…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-04 Vu-Linh Nguyen , Sébastien Destercke , Eyke Hüllermeier

Feature attribution is widely used in interpretable machine learning to explain how influential each measured input feature value is for an output inference. However, measurements can be uncertain, and it is unclear how the awareness of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-26 Danding Wang , Wencan Zhang , Brian Y. Lim
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