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Improving Importance Sampling estimators for rare event probabilities requires sharp approximations of conditional densities. This is achieved for events E_{n}:=(f(X_{1})+...+f(X_{n}))\inA_{n} where the summands are i.i.d. and E_{n} is a…

概率论 · 数学 2012-02-08 Michel Broniatowski , Virgile Caron

Density level sets can be estimated using plug-in methods, excess mass algorithms or a hybrid of the two previous methodologies. The plug-in algorithms are based on replacing the unknown density by some nonparametric estimator, usually the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-11-26 A. Rodríguez-Casal , P. Saavedra-Nieves

Motivated by the orthogonal series density estimation in $L^2([0,1],\mu)$, in this project we consider a new class of functions that we call the approximate sparsity class. This new class is characterized by the rate of decay of the…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-14 Lucas Z. Zhang

The k-monotone classes of densities defined on (0, \infty) have been known in the mathematical literature but were for the first time considered from a statistical point of view by Balabdaoui and Wellner (2007, 2010). In these works, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-01-16 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Simon Foucart , Jon A. Wellner

We propose a consistent estimator of sharp bounds on the variance of the difference-in-means estimator in completely randomized experiments. Generalizing Robins [Stat. Med. 7 (1988) 773-785], our results resolve a well-known identification…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-05-27 Peter M. Aronow , Donald P. Green , Donald K. K. Lee

We propose a scalable divergence estimation method based on hashing. Consider two continuous random variables $X$ and $Y$ whose densities have bounded support. We consider a particular locality sensitive random hashing, and consider the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-01-03 Morteza Noshad , Alfred O. Hero

In the density estimation model, the question of adaptive inference using P\'olya tree-type prior distributions is considered. A class of prior densities having a tree structure, called spike-and-slab P\'olya trees, is introduced. For this…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-18 Ismaël Castillo , Romain Mismer

We consider uniform moment convergence of lag-window spectral density estimates for univariate and multivariate stationary processes. Optimal rates of convergence are obtained under mild and easily verifiable conditions. Our theory…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-05-15 Wei Biao Wu , Paolo Zaffaroni

Given a set of points $P\subset \mathbb{R}^{d}$ and a kernel $k$, the Kernel Density Estimate at a point $x\in\mathbb{R}^{d}$ is defined as $\mathrm{KDE}_{P}(x)=\frac{1}{|P|}\sum_{y\in P} k(x,y)$. We study the problem of designing a data…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2018-09-03 Moses Charikar , Paris Siminelakis

The aim of this paper is to present a new estimation procedure that can be applied in many statistical frameworks including density and regression and which leads to both robust and optimal (or nearly optimal) estimators. In density…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-23 Yannick Baraud , Lucien Birgé , Mathieu Sart

We compute the spectral density for ensembles of of sparse symmetric random matrices using replica, managing to circumvent difficulties that have been encountered in earlier approaches along the lines first suggested in a seminal paper by…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Reimer Kuehn

The effect of uncertainties and noise on a quantity of interest (model output) is often better described by its probability density function (PDF) than by its moments. Although density estimation is a common task, the adequacy of…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-06-21 Adi Ditkowski , Gadi Fibich , Amir Sagiv

Recent work suggests that some auto-encoder variants do a good job of capturing the local manifold structure of the unknown data generating density. This paper contributes to the mathematical understanding of this phenomenon and helps…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-07-03 Yoshua Bengio , Guillaume Alain , Salah Rifai

This paper investigates the size performance of Wald tests for CAViaR models (Engle and Manganelli, 2004). We find that the usual estimation strategy on test statistics yields inaccuracies. Indeed, we show that existing density estimation…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-02-03 Alain Hecq , Li Sun

We show that the cumulative distribution function corresponding to a kernel density estimator with optimal bandwidth lies outside any confidence interval, around the empirical distribution function, with probability tending to 1 as the…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-17 Nils Lid Hjort , Stephen G. Walker

We propose a copula density estimator that can include information on bivariate marginals when the information is available. We use B-splines for copula density approximation and include information on bivariate marginals via a penalty…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-02-02 Yu-Hsiang Cheng , Tzee-Ming Huang

Density estimation is a crucial component of many machine learning methods, and manifold learning in particular, where geometry is to be constructed from data alone. A significant practical limitation of the current density estimation…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2016-01-06 Tyrus Berry , Timothy Sauer

Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers produce dependent streams of variates drawn from the limiting distribution of the Markov chain. With this as motivation, we introduce novel univariate kernel density estimators which are appropriate for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-29 Hang J. Kim , Steven N. MacEachern , Yoonsuh Jung

We consider nonparametric maximum-likelihood estimation of a log-concave density in case of interval-censored, right-censored and binned data. We allow for the possibility of a subprobability density with an additional mass at $+\infty$,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-15 Lutz Duembgen , Kaspar Rufibach , Dominic Schuhmacher

We describe a method to computationally estimate the probability density function of a univariate random variable by applying the maximum entropy principle with some local conditions given by Gaussian functions. The estimation errors and…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-06-21 Mihail-Ioan Pop