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A mixture of shifted asymmetric Laplace distributions is introduced and used for clustering and classification. A variant of the EM algorithm is developed for parameter estimation by exploiting the relationship with the general inverse…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-09 Brian C. Franczak , Ryan P. Browne , Paul D. McNicholas

Earthquake nowcasting has been proposed as a means of tracking the change in large earthquake potential in a seismically active area. The method was developed using observable seismic data, in which probabilities of future large earthquakes…

地球物理 · 物理学 2023-10-24 Ian Baughman , John B Rundle , Tianjin Zhang

We develop an efficient numerical scheme to solve accurately the set of nonlinear integral equations derived previously in (Saichev and Sornette, 2007), which describes the distribution of inter-event times in the framework of a general…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-13 D. Sornette , S. Utkin , A. Saichev

The research focuses on seismic events that occurred in Azerbaijan and adjacent territories, regions known for strong seismic activity. We analyze a catalog of recorded earthquakes between 2010 and 2023, extracting the locations of the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-10-20 Sergii Skurativskyi , Sergiy Mykulyak , Yuliya Semenova , Kateryna Skurativska

In this paper, we consider the task of clustering a set of individual time series while modeling each cluster, that is, model-based time series clustering. The task requires a parametric model with sufficient flexibility to describe the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-23 Ryohei Umatani , Takashi Imai , Kaoru Kawamoto , Shutaro Kunimasa

Numerical models are starting to be used for determining the future behaviour of seismic faults and fault networks. Their final goal would be to forecast future large earthquakes. In order to use them for this task, it is necessary to…

地球物理 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Alvaro Gonzalez , Miguel Vazquez-Prada , Javier B. Gomez , Amalio F. Pacheco

The driving concept behind one of the most successful statistical forecasting models, the ETAS model, has been that the seismicity is driven by spontaneously occurring background earthquakes that cascade into multitudes of triggered…

地球物理 · 物理学 2019-05-22 Shyam Nandan , Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette

The network approach plays a distinguished role in contemporary science of complex systems/phenomena. Such an approach has been introduced into seismology in a recent work [S. Abe and N. Suzuki, Europhys. Lett. 65, 581 (2004)]. Here, we…

地球物理 · 物理学 2009-11-13 Sumiyoshi Abe , Norikazu Suzuki

In this work, we introduce a new methodology to construct a network of epicenters that avoids problems found in well-established methodologies when they are applied to global catalogs of earthquakes located in shallow zones. The new…

地球物理 · 物理学 2020-04-14 Douglas S. R. Ferreira , Jennifer Ribeiro , Andrés R. R. Papa , Ronaldo Menezes

Clustering analysis of sequence data continues to address many applications in engineering design, aided with the rapid growth of machine learning in applied science. This paper presents an unsupervised machine learning algorithm to extract…

地球物理 · 物理学 2024-02-15 R. Bailey Bond , Pu Ren , Jerome F. Hajjar , Hao Sun

Earthquakes can be detected by matching spatial patterns or phase properties from 1-D seismic waves. Current earthquake detection methods, such as waveform correlation and template matching, have difficulty detecting anomalous earthquakes…

地球物理 · 物理学 2019-01-30 Zheng Zhou , Youzuo Lin , Zhongping Zhang , Yue Wu , Paul Johnson

Cloud Computing is an emerging area. The main aim of the initial search-and-rescue period after strong earthquakes is to reduce the whole number of mortalities. One main trouble rising in this period is to and the greatest assignment of…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2014-01-28 Sukhpal Singh , Rishideep Singh

Communication networks are vulnerable to natural disasters, such as earthquakes or floods, as well as to physical attacks, such as an Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) attack. Such real-world events happen at specific geographical locations and…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2013-12-25 Omer Gold , Reuven Cohen

SUMMARY Geophysical imaging using the inversion procedure is a powerful tool for the exploration of the Earth's subsurface. However, the interpretation of inverted images can sometimes be difficult, due to the inherent limitations of…

Although many successful ensemble clustering approaches have been developed in recent years, there are still two limitations to most of the existing approaches. First, they mostly overlook the issue of uncertain links, which may mislead the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-06-06 Dong Huang , Jian-Huang Lai , Chang-Dong Wang

Earthquake aftershock identification is closely related to the question "Are aftershocks different from the rest of earthquakes?" We give a positive answer to this question and introduce a general statistical procedure for clustering…

地球物理 · 物理学 2010-03-01 Ilya Zaliapin , Andrei Gabrielov , Vladimir Keilis-Borok , Henry Wong

The Epidemic Type Aftershock Sequence (ETAS) model is one of the most widely-used approaches to seismic forecasting. However most studies of ETAS use point estimates for the model parameters, which ignores the inherent uncertainty that…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-09-14 Gordon J Ross

When a dynamic earthquake rupture propagates on a fault in the Earth's crust, the medium around the fault is dynamically damaged due to stress concentrations around the rupture tip. Recent field observations, laboratory experiments and…

地球物理 · 物理学 2019-11-12 Kurama Okubo , Esteban Rougier , Zhou Lei , Harsha S. Bhat

We propose a Bayesian approach for model-based clustering of multivariate categorical data where variables are allowed to be associated within clusters and the number of clusters is unknown. The approach uses a two-layer mixture of finite…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-07-09 Gertraud Malsiner-Walli , Bettina Grün , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter

Scientists mapped the seismic time series into networks by considering the geographical location of events as nodes and establishing links between the nodes with different rules. Applying the successive defined laws to construct the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2023-07-26 Nastaran Lotfi