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In modern computer experiment applications, one often encounters the situation where various models of a physical system are considered, each implemented as a simulator on a computer. An important question in such a setting is determining…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-08 John C. Yannotty , Thomas J. Santner , Richard J. Furnstahl , Matthew T. Pratola

We demonstrate that Bayesian machine learning can be used to treat the vast amount of experimental fission data which are noisy, incomplete, discrepant, and correlated. As an example, the two-dimensional cumulative fission yields (CFY) of…

核理论 · 物理学 2022-09-14 Z. A. Wang , J. C. Pei , Y. J. Chen , C. Y. Qiao , F. R. Xu , Z. G. Ge , N. C. Shu

Probabilistic inversion methods based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation are well suited to quantify parameter and model uncertainty of nonlinear inverse problems. Yet, application of such methods to CPU-intensive forward models…

地球物理 · 物理学 2017-01-11 M. Rosas-Carbajal , N. Linde , T. Kalscheuer , J. A. Vrugt

We present an efficient approach to quantify the uncertainties associated with the numerical simulations of the laser-based powder bed fusion of metals processes. Our study focuses on a thermomechanical model of an Inconel 625 cantilever…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-03-21 Mihaela Chiappetta , Chiara Piazzola , Lorenzo Tamellini , Alessandro Reali , Ferdinando Auricchio , Massimo Carraturo

Predictions for physical systems often rely upon knowledge acquired from ensembles of entities, e.g., ensembles of cells in biological sciences. For qualitative and quantitative analysis, these ensembles are simulated with parametric…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-09-28 Timothy Rumbell , Jaimit Parikh , James Kozloski , Viatcheslav Gurev

Machine learning (ML) models utilizing structure-based features provide an efficient means for accurate property predictions across diverse chemical spaces. However, obtaining equilibrium crystal structures typically requires expensive…

材料科学 · 物理学 2021-04-22 Yunxing Zuo , Mingde Qin , Chi Chen , Weike Ye , Xiangguo Li , Jian Luo , Shyue Ping Ong

The integration of semantic information in a map allows robots to understand better their environment and make high-level decisions. In the last few years, neural networks have shown enormous progress in their perception capabilities.…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-09-20 David Morilla-Cabello , Lorenzo Mur-Labadia , Ruben Martinez-Cantin , Eduardo Montijano

Bayesian causal inference offers a principled approach to policy evaluation of proposed interventions on mediators or time-varying exposures. We outline a general approach to the estimation of causal quantities for settings with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-28 Leah Comment , Brent A. Coull , Corwin Zigler , Linda Valeri

Accurate quantification of intracellular metabolic fluxes is central to systems biology and biotechnology. Flux estimation relies on biochemical network models, with $^{13}$C metabolic flux analysis (MFA) being the state-of-the-art…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2026-05-26 Johann F. Jadebeck , Anton Stratmann , Martin Beyß , Katharina Nöh

In this paper, we present a Bayesian view on model-based reinforcement learning. We use expert knowledge to impose structure on the transition model and present an efficient learning scheme based on variational inference. This scheme is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-07-12 Markus Kaiser , Clemens Otte , Thomas Runkler , Carl Henrik Ek

We present a machine learning-based framework for blending data-driven turbulent closures in the Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) equations, aimed at improving their generalizability across diverse flow regimes. Specialized models…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2025-03-05 Mourad Oulghelou , Soufiane Cherroud , Xavier Merle , Paola Cinnella

In this work, we propose a novel framework for density forecast combination by constructing time-varying weights based on time series features, which is called Feature-based Bayesian Forecasting Model Averaging (FEBAMA). Our framework…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2022-06-15 Li Li , Yanfei Kang , Feng Li

Use of generative models and deep learning for physics-based systems is currently dominated by the task of emulation. However, the remarkable flexibility offered by data-driven architectures would suggest to extend this representation to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-09-12 Guoxiang Grayson Tong , Carlos A. Sing Long , Daniele E. Schiavazzi

Accurate and efficient plasma models are essential to understand and control experimental devices. Existing magnetohydrodynamic or kinetic models are nonlinear, computationally intensive, and can be difficult to interpret, while often only…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2020-03-04 Alan A. Kaptanoglu , Kyle D. Morgan , Chris J. Hansen , Steven L. Brunton

Reliably predicting nuclear properties across the entire chart of isotopes is important for applications ranging from nuclear astrophysics to superheavy science to nuclear technology. To this day, however, all the theoretical models that…

核理论 · 物理学 2025-10-29 Aman Sharma , Nicolas Schunck , Kyle Wendt

This paper presents a hierarchical Bayesian modeling framework for the uncertainty quantification in modal identification of linear dynamical systems using multiple vibration data sets. This novel framework integrates the state-of-the-art…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-05-19 Omid Sedehi , Lambros S. Katafygiotis , Costas Papadimitriou

Plasma-terminating disruptions in future fusion reactors may result in conversion of the initial current to a relativistic runaway electron beam. Validated predictive tools are required to optimize the scenarios and mitigation actuators to…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2022-08-04 Aaro Järvinen , Tünde Fülöp , Eero Hirvijoki , Mathias Hoppe , Adam Kit , Jan Åström

We describe the Bayesian Analysis of Nuclear Dynamics (BAND) framework, a cyberinfrastructure that we are developing which will unify the treatment of nuclear models, experimental data, and associated uncertainties. We overview the…

Metabolic flux balance analyses are a standard tool in analysing metabolic reaction rates compatible with measurements, steady-state and the metabolic reaction network stoichiometry. Flux analysis methods commonly place unrealistic…

Mixture of factor analyzer (MFA) model is an efficient model for the analysis of high dimensional data through which the factor-analyzer technique based on the covariance matrices reducing the number of free parameters. The model also…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-05 Hamid Reza Safaeyan , Karim Zare , Mohamad R. Mahmoudi , Amir Mosavi