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Spatially misaligned data can be fused by using a Bayesian melding model that assumes that underlying all observations there is a spatially continuous Gaussian random field process. This model can be used, for example, to predict air…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-06 Ruiman Zhong , André Victor Ribeiro Amaral , Paula Moraga

Meta-learning, decision fusion, hybrid models, and representation learning are topics of investigation with significant traction in time-series forecasting research. Of these two specific areas have shown state-of-the-art results in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-21 Terence L. van Zyl

We present recent results and technical breakthroughs for the Bayesian inference of tokamak equilibria using force-balance as a prior constraint. Issues surrounding model parameter representation and posterior analysis are discussed and…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2015-06-19 G. T. von Nessi , M. J. Hole

Bayesian calibration is widely used for inverse analysis and uncertainty analysis for complex systems in the presence of both computer models and observation data. In the present work, we focus on large-scale fluid-structure interaction…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-01-03 Shunxiang Cao , Daniel Zhengyu Huang

We present a Bayesian data fusion method to approximate a posterior distribution from an ensemble of particle estimates that only have access to subsets of the data. Our approach relies on approximate probabilistic inference of model…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-10-28 Caleb Miller , Michael D. Schneider , Jem N. Corcoran , Jason Bernstein

While machine learning is rapidly being developed and deployed in health settings such as influenza prediction, there are critical challenges in using data from one environment in another due to variability in features; even within disease…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-03-10 Vishwali Mhasawade , Nabeel Abdur Rehman , Rumi Chunara

We propose a new reduced fluid model for the study of the drift wave -- zonal flow dynamics in magnetically confined plasmas. Our model can be viewed as an extension of the classic Hasegawa-Wakatani (HW) model, and is based on an improved…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2018-11-14 Andrew J. Majda , Di Qi , Antoine J. Cerfon

Probabilistic regression techniques in control and robotics applications have to fulfill different criteria of data-driven adaptability, computational efficiency, scalability to high dimensions, and the capacity to deal with different…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-31 Hany Abdulsamad , Peter Nickl , Pascal Klink , Jan Peters

This paper presents a method for Bayesian multi-robot peer-to-peer data fusion where any pair of autonomous robots hold non-identical, but overlapping parts of a global joint probability distribution, representing real world inference tasks…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2023-03-07 Ofer Dagan , Nisar R. Ahmed

Fusion-graded plasmas are one of the physically complex systems, resulting in continuous establishment of plasma theories for unclarified physical phenomena in order to thoroughly control nuclear fusion reactors. Deep learning has drawn…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2023-01-30 Semin Joung

Inverse problems are the task of calibrating models to match data. They play a pivotal role in diverse engineering applications by allowing practitioners to align models with reality. In many applications, engineers and scientists do not…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Pengyu Zhang , Arnaud Vadeboncoeur , Alex Glyn-Davies , Mark Girolami

AI models have demonstrated strong predictive capabilities for various tokamak instabilities--including tearing modes (TM), ELMs, and disruptive event--but their opaque nature raises concerns about safety and trustworthiness when applied to…

We present a probabilistic multiphysics inversion based on Bayesian inference with trans-dimensional models. We jointly consider magnetotelluric, receiver function, and Rayleigh-wave dispersion data to infer one-dimensional lithospheric…

地球物理 · 物理学 2025-10-20 P. Shahsavari , J. Dettmer , M. J. Unsworth , A. Schaeffer

Phase diagrams serve as a highly informative tool for materials design, encapsulating information about the phases that a material can manifest under specific conditions. In this work, we develop a method in which Bayesian inference is…

材料科学 · 物理学 2023-09-06 Timofei Miryashkin , Olga Klimanova , Vladimir Ladygin , Alexander Shapeev

The increasing complexity of the power grid, due to higher penetration of distributed resources and the growing availability of interconnected, distributed metering devices re- quires novel tools for providing a unified and consistent view…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-05-25 Francesco Fusco , Seshu Tirupathi , Robert Gormally

A key uncertainty in the design and development of magnetic confinement fusion energy reactors is predicting edge plasma turbulence. An essential step in overcoming this uncertainty is the validation in accuracy of reduced turbulent…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2022-05-20 Abhilash Mathews , Noah Mandell , Manaure Francisquez , Jerry Hughes , Ammar Hakim

In linear regression models, fusion of coefficients is used to identify predictors having similar relationships with a response. This is called variable fusion. This paper presents a novel variable fusion method in terms of Bayesian linear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-22 Shengyi Wu , Kaito Shimamura , Kohei Yoshikawa , Kazuaki Murayama , Shuichi Kawano

The unprecedented amount of data generated from experiments, field observations, and large-scale numerical simulations at a wide range of spatio-temporal scales have enabled the rapid advancement of data-driven and especially deep learning…

计算物理 · 物理学 2024-06-19 Suraj Pawar , Omer San , Aditya Nair , Adil Rasheed , Trond Kvamsdal

A Bayesian multivariate model with a structured covariance matrix for multi-way nested data is proposed. This flexible modeling framework allows for positive and for negative associations among clustered observations, and generalizes the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-27 Stef Baas , Richard J. Boucherie , Jean-Paul Fox

Disruption in tokamak plasmas, stemming from various instabilities, poses a critical challenge, resulting in detrimental effects on the associated devices. Consequently, the proactive prediction of disruptions to maintain stability emerges…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2023-12-21 Jinsu Kim , Jeongwon Lee , Jaemin Seo , Young-Chul Ghim , Yeongsun Lee , Yong-Su Na