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We study a stochastic model for the diffusion of competing opinions in a population composed of three types of agents: trend-followers, opposers, and indifferent individuals. The decision dynamics are driven by reinforcement mechanisms,…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-24 Manuel González-Navarrete

The success of a security attack crucially depends on time: the more time available to the attacker, the higher the probability of a successful attack. Formalisms such as Reliability block diagrams, Reliability graphs and Attack…

密码学与安全 · 计算机科学 2015-10-02 Rajesh Kumar , Dennis Guck , Marielle Stoelinga

This paper introduces a novel methodology that utilizes latency to unveil time-series dependence patterns. A customized statistical test detects memory dependence in event sequences by analyzing their inter-event time distributions.…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-09-22 Fabio Vanni , David Lambert

A statistical model for describing the scaling of the distribution of inter-event times is described. By considering the diverse region seismicity (natural and induced) at different scale levels the self-similarity of the distribution has…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-11-11 V. German

To this day, terrorism persists as a worldwide threat, as exemplified by the ongoing lethal attacks perpetrated by ISIS in Iraq, Syria, Al Qaeda in Yemen, and Boko Haram in Nigeria. In response, states deploy various counterterrorism…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-10-12 André Python , Janine Illian , Charlotte Jones-Todd , Marta Blangiardo

We study damage spreading among the opinions of a system of agents, subjected to the dynamics of the Krause-Hegselmann consensus model. The damage consists in a sharp change of the opinion of one or more agents in the initial random opinion…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Santo Fortunato

Online communications, and in particular social media, are a key component of how society interacts with and promotes content online. Collective attention on such content can vary wildly. The majority of breaking topics quickly fade into…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2024-11-19 Tristan J. B. Cann , Iain S. Weaver , Hywel T. P. Williams

We study finite-size effects on the convergence time in a continuous-opinion dynamics model. In the model, each individual's opinion is represented by a real number on a finite interval, e.g., $[0,1]$, and a uniformly randomly chosen…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-07-28 Hang-Hyun Jo , Naoki Masuda

Dynamic network data have become ubiquitous in social network analysis, with new information becoming available that captures when friendships form, when corporate transactions happen and when countries interact with each other. Flexible…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-05-16 Yunran Chen , Alexander Volfovsky

The influence model is a discrete-time stochastic model that succinctly captures the interactions of a network of Markov chains. The model produces a reduced-order representation of the stochastic network, and can be used to describe and…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2018-11-07 Chenyuan He , Yan Wan , Frank L. Lewis

Opinion Dynamics is an interdisciplinary area of research. Psychology and Sociology have proposed models of how individuals form opinions and how social interactions influence this process. Socio-Physicists have interpreted patterns in…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2024-07-03 Sudhakar Krisharao , Shaja Arul Selvamani

Crime has both varying patterns in space, related to features of the environment, economy, and policing, and patterns in time arising from criminal behavior, such as retaliation. Serious crimes may also be presaged by minor crimes of…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-04-09 Alex Reinhart , Joel Greenhouse

The dynamics of opinion formation in large groups of people is a complex non-linear phenomenon whose investigation is just at the beginning. Both collective behaviour and personal view play an important role in this mechanism. In the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2010-02-17 M. Bartolozzi , B. Leinweber , A. W. Thomas

In some social networks, the opinion forming is based on its own and neighbors' (initial) opinions, whereas the evolution of the individual opinions is also influenced by the individual's past opinions in the real world. Unlike existing…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-08-10 Qingsong Liu , Li Chai

We study opinion dynamics on networks with a nontrivial community structure, assuming individuals can update their binary opinion as the result of the interactions with an external influence with strength $h\in [0,1]$ and with other…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-14 Simone Baldassarri , Anna Gallo , Vanessa Jacquier , Alessandro Zocca

This paper investigates a model of opinion formation on an adaptive social network, consisting of a system of coupled ordinary differential equations for individuals' opinions and corresponding network edge weights. A key driver of the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-02-04 Andrew Nugent , Carmen Calatayud Fernandez , Susana N. Gomes

Motivated by applications in cyber security, we develop a simple game model for describing how a learning agent's private information influences an observing agent's inference process. The model describes a situation in which one of the…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2019-09-16 Erik Miehling , Roy Dong , Cédric Langbort , Tamer Başar

When opinion spread is studied, peer pressure is often modeled by interactions of more than two individuals (higher-order interactions). In our work, we introduce a two-layer random hypergraph model, in which hyperedges represent households…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2025-12-30 Ágnes Backhausz , Villő Csiszár , Balázs Csegő Kolok , Damján Tárkányi , András Zempléni

For the study of information propagation, one fundamental problem is uncovering universal laws governing the dynamics of information propagation. This problem, from the microscopic perspective, is formulated as estimating the propagation…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2014-06-19 Junming Huang , Chao Li , Wen-Qiang Wang , Hua-Wei Shen , Guojie Li , Xue-Qi Cheng

Opinion dynamics of random-walking agents on finite two-dimensional lattices is studied. In the model, the opinion is continuous, and both the lattice and the opinion can be either periodic or non-periodic. At each time step, all agents…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-04-27 Suhan Ree