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We propose a novel reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulated annealing algorithm to optimize radial basis function (RBF) networks. This algorithm enables us to maximize the joint posterior distribution of the network…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-18 Christophe Andrieu , Nando de Freitas , Arnaud Doucet

Many machine learning applications require operating on a spatially distributed dataset. Despite technological advances, privacy considerations and communication constraints may prevent gathering the entire dataset in a central unit. In…

In this paper, we study sampling from a posterior derived from a neural network. We propose a new probabilistic model consisting of adding noise at every pre- and post-activation in the network, arguing that the resulting posterior can be…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-22 Giovanni Piccioli , Emanuele Troiani , Lenka Zdeborová

In Smyl et al. [Local and global trend Bayesian exponential smoothing models. International Journal of Forecasting, 2024.], a generalised exponential smoothing model was proposed that is able to capture strong trends and volatility in time…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-02 Xueying Long , Daniel F. Schmidt , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

The Gibbs sampler of Park and Casella is one of the most popular MCMC methods for sampling from the posterior density of the Bayesian Lasso regression. As with many Markov chain samplers, their Gibbs sampler lacks a theoretically sound…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-06-07 Y. -L. Chen , Z. I. Botev

Deterministic dynamics is an essential part of many MCMC algorithms, e.g. Hybrid Monte Carlo or samplers utilizing normalizing flows. This paper presents a general construction of deterministic measure-preserving dynamics using autonomous…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-06-21 Kirill Neklyudov , Roberto Bondesan , Max Welling

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods asymptotically sample from complex probability distributions. The pseudo-marginal MCMC framework only requires an unbiased estimator of the unnormalized probability distribution function to construct…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-05-25 Iain Murray , Matthew M. Graham

GNM: The MCMC Jagger. A rocking awesome sampler. This python package is an affine invariant Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampler based on the dynamic Gauss-Newton-Metropolis (GNM) algorithm. The GNM algorithm is specialized in sampling…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-01-13 Mehmet Ugurbil

Bayesian inference of Gibbs random fields (GRFs) is often referred to as a doubly intractable problem, since the likelihood function is intractable. The exploration of the posterior distribution of such models is typically carried out with…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-10-16 Aidan Boland , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

We introduce a new Markov-Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach designed for efficient sampling of highly correlated and multimodal posteriors. Parallel tempering, though effective, is a costly technique for sampling such posteriors. Our…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2014-10-01 Benjamin Farr , Vicky Kalogera , Erik Luijten

Dirichlet Process Mixture Models (DPMMs) are widely used to address clustering problems. Their main advantage lies in their ability to automatically estimate the number of clusters during the inference process through the Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-12-19 Reda Khoufache , Mustapha Lebbah , Hanene Azzag , Etienne Goffinet , Djamel Bouchaffra

Bayesian variable selection is a powerful tool for data analysis, as it offers a principled method for variable selection that accounts for prior information and uncertainty. However, wider adoption of Bayesian variable selection has been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-13 Martin Jankowiak

Variational inference is a powerful paradigm for approximate Bayesian inference with a number of appealing properties, including support for model learning and data subsampling. By contrast MCMC methods like Hamiltonian Monte Carlo do not…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-07-14 Martin Jankowiak , Du Phan

The theory of two projections is utilized to study two-component Gibbs samplers. Through this theory, previously intractable problems regarding the asymptotic variances of two-component Gibbs samplers are reduced to elementary matrix…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-11 Qian Qin

We propose a very fast approximate Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling framework that is applicable to a large class of sparse Bayesian inference problems, where the computational cost per iteration in several models is of order…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-08-17 Yves Atchadé , Liwei Wang

Selecting between competing statistical models is a challenging problem especially when the competing models are non-nested. In this paper we offer a simple solution by devising an algorithm which combines MCMC and importance sampling to…

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are a powerful but computationally expensive way of performing non-parametric Bayesian inference. MCMC proposals which utilise gradients, such as Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC), can better explore the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-30 Andrew Millard , Joshua Murphy , Daniel Frisch , Simon Maskell

Gibbs sampling repeatedly samples from the conditional distribution of one variable, x_i, given other variables, either choosing i randomly, or updating sequentially using some systematic or random order. When x_i is discrete, a Gibbs…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-03-28 Radford M. Neal

Bayesian mixture models are widely applied for unsupervised learning and exploratory data analysis. Markov chain Monte Carlo based on Gibbs sampling and split-merge moves are widely used for inference in these models. However, both methods…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-06-03 Tue Herlau , Morten Mørup , Yee Whye Teh , Mikkel N. Schmidt

A central task in many applications is reasoning about processes that change over continuous time. Continuous-Time Bayesian Networks is a general compact representation language for multi-component continuous-time processes. However, exact…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-06-18 Tal El-Hay , Nir Friedman , Raz Kupferman