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In the field of structural reliability, the Monte-Carlo estimator is considered as the reference probability estimator. However, it is still untractable for real engineering cases since it requires a high number of runs of the model. In…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-03-19 V. Dubourg , F. Deheeger , B. Sudret

Finite mixture models are frequently used to uncover latent structures in high-dimensional datasets (e.g.\ identifying clusters of patients in electronic health records). The inference of such structures can be performed in a Bayesian…

Multicanonical MCMC (Multicanonical Markov Chain Monte Carlo; Multicanonical Monte Carlo) is discussed as a method of rare event sampling. Starting from a review of the generic framework of importance sampling, multicanonical MCMC is…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-10-20 Yukito Iba , Nen Saito , Akimasa Kitajima

In the context of nonparametric Bayesian estimation a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is devised and implemented to sample from the posterior distribution of the drift function of a continuously or discretely observed one-dimensional…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-06-08 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Harry van Zanten

The Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm is often lauded for its ability to effectively sample from high-dimensional distributions. In this paper we challenge the presumed domination of HMC for the Bayesian analysis of GLMs. By utilizing…

We develop a new Gibbs sampler for a linear mixed model with a Dirichlet process random effect term, which is easily extended to a generalized linear mixed model with a probit link function. Our Gibbs sampler exploits the properties of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-02-26 Minjung Kyung , Jeff Gill , George Casella

We propose new Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms to sample probability distributions on submanifolds, which generalize previous methods by allowing the use of set-valued maps in the proposal step of the MCMC algorithms. The motivation for…

数值分析 · 数学 2021-10-07 Tony Lelièvre , Gabriel Stoltz , Wei Zhang

Bayesian inference is useful to obtain a predictive distribution with a small generalization error. However, since posterior distributions are rarely evaluated analytically, we employ the variational Bayesian inference or sampling method to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-09-03 Yohei Saito , Shun Kimura , Koujin Takeda

We introduce a new class of sequential Monte Carlo methods which reformulates the essence of the nested sampling method of Skilling (2006) in terms of sequential Monte Carlo techniques. Two new algorithms are proposed, nested sampling via…

We introduce a new version of particle filter in which the number of "children" of a particle at a given time has a Poisson distribution. As a result, the number of particles is random and varies with time. An advantage of this scheme is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-08-05 Tomasz Cąkała , Błażej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro

We introduce a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method that is designed to sample from target distributions with irregular geometry using an adaptive scheme. In cases where targets exhibit non-Gaussian behaviour, we propose that adaption…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-10-06 Ameer Dharamshi , Vivian Ngo , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

A fundamental task in machine learning and related fields is to perform inference on Bayesian networks. Since exact inference takes exponential time in general, a variety of approximate methods are used. Gibbs sampling is one of the most…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-11-23 Daniel Seita , Haoyu Chen , John Canny

We review criteria for comparing the efficiency of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods with respect to the asymptotic variance of estimates of expectations of functions of state, and show how such criteria can justify ways of combining…

概率论 · 数学 2025-02-19 Radford M. Neal , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

Monte Carlo methods -- such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) samplers -- provide asymptotically exact estimators of expectations under a target distribution. There is growing interest in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-09-09 Adrien Corenflos , Matthew Sutton , Nicolas Chopin

Sampling from a lattice Gaussian distribution is emerging as an important problem in various areas such as coding and cryptography. The default sampling algorithm --- Klein's algorithm yields a distribution close to the lattice Gaussian…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-11-18 Zheng Wang , Cong Ling , Guillaume Hanrot

We consider the task of MCMC sampling from a distribution defined on a discrete space. Building on recent insights provided in [Zan19], we devise a class of efficient continuous-time, non-reversible algorithms which make active use of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-12-19 Samuel Power , Jacob Vorstrup Goldman

While MCMC methods have become a main work-horse for Bayesian inference, scaling them to large distributed datasets is still a challenge. Embarrassingly parallel MCMC strategies take a divide-and-conquer stance to achieve this by writing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-16 Diego Mesquita , Paul Blomstedt , Samuel Kaski

The rapid development of computing power and efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation algorithms have revolutionized Bayesian statistics, making it a highly practical inference method in applied work. However, MCMC algorithms…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-21 Matias Quiroz , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Khue-Dung Dang

Adaptive importance sampling is a class of techniques for finding good proposal distributions for importance sampling. Often the proposal distributions are standard probability distributions whose parameters are adapted based on the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-03-10 Topi Paananen , Juho Piironen , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Aki Vehtari

We revisit the Pseudo-Bayesian approach to the problem of estimating density matrix in quantum state tomography in this paper. Pseudo-Bayesian inference has been shown to offer a powerful paradign for quantum tomography with attractive…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-09-15 The Tien Mai