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This article introduces a non-parametric information-theoretic approach to inference about the tail of a continuous or a discrete distribution. Leveraging a new concept named tail profile -- a set of information-theoretic quantities…

应用统计 · 统计学 2025-03-19 Jialin Zhang , Zhiyi Zhang

The problem of estimating a linear functional based on observational data is canonical in both the causal inference and bandit literatures. We analyze a broad class of two-stage procedures that first estimate the treatment effect function,…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-28 Wenlong Mou , Martin J. Wainwright , Peter L. Bartlett

We establish a uniform-in-scaling error estimate for the asymptotic preserving scheme proposed in \cite{XW21} for the L\'evy-Fokker-Planck (LFP) equation. The main difficulties stem from not only the interplay between the scaling and…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-01-23 Weiran Sun , Li Wang

Projective measurements of a single two-level quantum mechanical system (a qubit) evolving under a time-independent Hamiltonian produce a probability distribution that is periodic in the evolution time. The period of this distribution is an…

量子物理 · 物理学 2012-06-05 Christopher Ferrie , Christopher E. Granade , D. G. Cory

It is well known that if the power spectral density of a continuous time stationary stochastic process does not have a compact support, data sampled from that process at any uniform sampling rate leads to biased and inconsistent spectrum…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-06-09 Radhendushka Srivastava , Debasis Sengupta

Fourier transform has become a basic tool for analyzing biological signals 1,2,3. Mostly a fast Fourier transform is computed for a finite sequence of data sample 4. This is the standard way apparatuses and modern computerized technology…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2008-04-01 Silvia Solis Ortiz , Rafael G. Campos , Julian Felix , Octavio Obregon

This paper investigates pooling strategies for tail index and extreme quantile estimation from heavy-tailed data. To fully exploit the information contained in several samples, we present general weighted pooled Hill estimators of the tail…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-11-08 Abdelaati Daouia , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

We provide optimal lower bounds for two well-known parameter estimation (also known as statistical estimation) tasks in high dimensions with approximate differential privacy. First, we prove that for any $\alpha \le O(1)$, estimating the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-01-05 Shyam Narayanan

In a number of applications, particularly in financial and actuarial mathematics, it is of interest to characterize the tail distribution of a random variable $V$ satisfying the distributional equation $V\stackrel{\mathcal{D}}{=}f(V)$,…

概率论 · 数学 2014-07-04 Jeffrey F. Collamore , Guoqing Diao , Anand N. Vidyashankar

We present an algorithm for the forward propagation of intervals through the discrete Fourier transform. The algorithm yields best-possible bounds when computing the amplitude of the Fourier transform for real and complex valued sequences.…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-06-01 Marco De Angelis , Marco Behrendt , Liam Comerford , Yuanjin Zhang , Michael Beer

Expectile bears some interesting properties in comparison to the industry wide expected shortfall in terms of assessment of tail risk. We study the relationship between expectile and expected shortfall using duality results and the link to…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-06-04 Samuel Drapeau , Mekonnen Tadese

We describe an efficient implementation of Bayesian quantum phase estimation in the presence of noise and multiple eigenstates. The main contribution of this work is the dynamic switching between different representations of the phase…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-06-09 Ewout van den Berg

We present a novel and easy-to-use method for calibrating error-rate based confidence intervals to evidence-based support intervals. Support intervals are obtained from inverting Bayes factors based on a parameter estimate and its standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-28 Samuel Pawel , Alexander Ly , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

We study the parameter estimation method for linear regression models with possibly skewed stable distributed errors. Our estimation procedure consists of two stages: first, for the regression coefficients, the Cauchy quasi-maximum…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-25 Eitaro Kawamo , Hiroki Masuda

The proposed approach extends the confidence posterior distribution to the semi-parametric empirical Bayes setting. Whereas the Bayesian posterior is defined in terms of a prior distribution conditional on the observed data, the confidence…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-05-02 David R. Bickel

We address estimation of one-parameter qubit gates in the presence of phase diffusion. We evaluate the ultimate quantum limits to precision, seek for optimal probes and measurements, and demonstrate an optimal estimation scheme for…

量子物理 · 物理学 2013-01-16 D. Brivio , S. Cialdi , S. Vezzoli , B. Teklu , M. G. Genoni , S. Olivares , M. G. A. Paris

Stable distributions provide a flexible framework for modeling heavy-tailed and skewed data, with the stability index $\alpha$ quantifying tail heaviness. We propose a new semiparametric estimator for $\alpha$ that leverages the two-sum…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-19 Cornelis J. Potgieter , Jacques van Appel , Sudharshan Samaratunga

In this paper, we obtain optimal uniform lower tail estimates for the probability distribution of the properly scaled length of the longest up/right path of the last passage site percolation model considered by Johansson in [12]. The…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Jinho Baik , Percy Deift , Ken McLaughlin , Peter Miller , Xin Zhou

In risk management, tail risks are of crucial importance. The assessment of risks should be carried out in accordance with the regulatory authority's requirement at high quantiles. In general, the underlying distribution function is…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-07-15 Ingo Hoffmann , Christoph J. Börner

We study split-conformal prediction for regression when the reported prediction set must be a single interval, at target marginal coverage $1-\alpha$, where $\alpha$ is the nominal miscoverage level. Under this reporting constraint, the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-29 Tianying Wang