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In a Bayesian context, prior specification for inference on monotone densities is conceptually straightforward, but proving posterior convergence theorems is complicated by the fact that desirable prior concentration properties often are…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-07-28 Ryan Martin

The classic frequentist theory of hypothesis testing developed by Neyman, Pearson and Fisher has a claim to being the twentieth century's most influential piece of applied mathematics. Something new is happening in the twenty-first century:…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2008-08-06 Bradley Efron

Preferential sampling is a common feature in geostatistics and occurs when the locations to be sampled are chosen based on information about the phenomena under study. In this case, point pattern models are commonly used as the probability…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-27 Douglas Mateus da Silva , Dani Gamerman

Poisson log-linear models are ubiquitous in many applications, and one of the most popular approaches for parametric count regression. In the Bayesian context, however, there are no sufficient specific computational tools for efficient…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-09-02 Laura D'Angelo , Antonio Canale

Suppose that we wish to estimate a vector $\mathbf{x}$ from a set of binary paired comparisons of the form "$\mathbf{x}$ is closer to $\mathbf{p}$ than to $\mathbf{q}$" for various choices of vectors $\mathbf{p}$ and $\mathbf{q}$. The…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-08-31 Andrew K. Massimino , Mark A. Davenport

Posterior computation for high-dimensional data with many parameters can be challenging. This article focuses on a new method for approximating posterior distributions of a low- to moderate-dimensional parameter in the presence of a…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-04-08 Willem van den Boom , Galen Reeves , David B. Dunson

Analogues of the frequentist chi-square and F tests are proposed for testing goodness-of-fit and consistency for Bayesian models. Simple examples exhibit these tests' detection of inconsistency between consecutive experiments with identical…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2016-03-16 L. B. Lucy

When using complex Bayesian models to combine information, the checking for consistency of the information being combined is good statistical practice. Here a new method is developed for detecting prior-data conflicts in Bayesian models…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-29 David J. Nott , Xueou Wang , Michael Evans , Berthold-Georg Englert

A staple of Bayesian model comparison and hypothesis testing, Bayes factors are often used to quantify the relative predictive performance of two rival hypotheses. The computation of Bayes factors can be challenging, however, and this has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-19 František Bartoš , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

A Bayesian inference method for problems with small samples and sparse data is presented in this paper. A general type of prior ($\propto 1/\sigma^{q}$) is proposed to formulate the Bayesian posterior for inference problems under small…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-10-14 Jingjing He , Xuefei Guan

As the frontiers of applied statistics progress through increasingly complex experiments we must exploit increasingly sophisticated inferential models to analyze the observations we make. In order to avoid misleading or outright erroneous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-23 Michael Betancourt

We consider situations in Bayesian analysis where we have a family of priors $\nu_h$ on the parameter $\theta$, where $h$ varies continuously over a space $\mathcal{H}$, and we deal with two related problems. The first involves sensitivity…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-02-24 Eugenia Buta , Hani Doss

Nearest neighbor (NN) matching as a tool to align data sampled from different groups is both conceptually natural and practically well-used. In a landmark paper, Abadie and Imbens (2006) provided the first large-sample analysis of NN…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-28 Zhexiao Lin , Peng Ding , Fang Han

Variational inference is a general framework to obtain approximations to the posterior distribution in a Bayesian context. In essence, variational inference entails an optimization over a given family of probability distributions to choose…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-24 Janis Keck

We examine necessary and sufficient conditions for posterior consistency under $g$-priors, including extensions to hierarchical and empirical Bayesian models. The key features of this article are that we allow the number of regressors to…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-09-04 Douglas K. Sparks , Kshitij Khare , Malay Ghosh

We develop a new method for frequentist multiple testing with Bayesian prior information. Our procedure finds a new set of optimal p-value weights called the Bayes weights. Prior information is relevant to many multiple testing problems.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-03 Edgar Dobriban , Kristen Fortney , Stuart K. Kim , Art B. Owen

Many penalized maximum likelihood estimators correspond to posterior mode estimators under specific prior distributions. Appropriateness of a particular class of penalty functions can therefore be interpreted as the appropriateness of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-11 Maryclare Griffin , Peter D. Hoff

Prior information often takes the form of parameter constraints. Bayesian methods include such information through prior distributions having constrained support. By using posterior sampling algorithms, one can quantify uncertainty without…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-25 Leo L Duan , Alexander L Young , Akihiko Nishimura , David B Dunson

The paper proposes a linesearch for a primal-dual method. Each iteration of the linesearch requires to update only the dual (or primal) variable. For many problems, in particular for regularized least squares, the linesearch does not…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2018-03-26 Yura Malitsky , Thomas Pock

When combining apparently inconsistent experimental results, one often implements errors on errors. The Particle Data Group's phenomenological prescription offers a practical solution but lacks a firm theoretical foundation. To address…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2025-08-22 Satoshi Mishima , Kin-ya Oda