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By leveraging experience from previous tasks, meta-learning algorithms can achieve effective fast adaptation ability when encountering new tasks. However it is unclear how the generalization property applies to new tasks. Probably…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-09 Tianyu Liu , Jie Lu , Zheng Yan , Guangquan Zhang

We consider using an ensemble of binary classifiers for transductive prediction, when unlabeled test data are known in advance. We derive minimax optimal rules for confidence-rated prediction in this setting. By using PAC-Bayes analysis on…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-01-19 Akshay Balsubramani , Yoav Freund

Considering a probability distribution over parameters is known as an efficient strategy to learn a neural network with non-differentiable activation functions. We study the expectation of a probabilistic neural network as a predictor by…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-04-17 Louis Fortier-Dubois , Gaël Letarte , Benjamin Leblanc , François Laviolette , Pascal Germain

Constructing confidence intervals that are simultaneously valid across a class of estimates is central to tasks such as multiple mean estimation, generalization guarantees, and adaptive experimental design. We frame this as an ``error…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-05 Sanath Kumar Krishnamurthy , Anna Lyubarskaja , Emma Brunskill , Susan Athey

Recent advances in the binary classification setting by Hanneke [2016b] and Larsen [2023] have resulted in optimal PAC learners. These learners leverage, respectively, a clever deterministic subsampling scheme and the classic heuristic of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-10 Mikael Møller Høgsgaard

We present new PAC-Bayesian generalisation bounds for learning problems with unbounded loss functions. This extends the relevance and applicability of the PAC-Bayes learning framework, where most of the existing literature focuses on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-12-16 Maxime Haddouche , Benjamin Guedj , Omar Rivasplata , John Shawe-Taylor

In this article, we consider computing expectations w.r.t. probability measures which are subject to discretization error. Examples include partially observed diffusion processes or inverse problems, where one may have to discretize time…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-02-25 Jeremy Heng , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Alexander Tarakanov

Prediction sets provide a means of quantifying the uncertainty in predictive tasks. Using held out calibration data, conformal prediction and risk control can produce prediction sets that exhibit statistically valid error control in a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-05 Bror Hultberg , Dave Zachariah , Antônio H. Ribeiro

This paper is concerned with Bayesian inferential methods for data from controlled branching processes that account for model robustness through the use of disparities. Under regularity conditions, we establish that estimators built on…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-02-19 M. González , C. Minuesa , I. del Puerto , A. N. Vidyashankar

In this paper, we give sufficient conditions to establish central limit theorems for boundary estimates of Poisson point processes. The considered estimates are obtained by smoothing some bias corrected extreme values of the point process.…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-03-31 Stéphane Girard , Ludovic Menneteau

We prove semi-empirical concentration inequalities for random variables which are given as possibly nonlinear functions of independent random variables. These inequalities describe concentration of random variable in terms of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-04 Ilja Kuzborskij , Csaba Szepesvári

We introduce a very general method for high-dimensional classification, based on careful combination of the results of applying an arbitrary base classifier to random projections of the feature vectors into a lower-dimensional space. In one…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-06-06 Timothy I. Cannings , Richard J. Samworth

This paper investigates robust versions of the general empirical risk minimization algorithm, one of the core techniques underlying modern statistical methods. Success of the empirical risk minimization is based on the fact that for a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-17 Stanislav Minsker , Timothée Mathieu

We establish some limit theorems for quasi-arithmetic means of random variables. This class of means contains the arithmetic, geometric and harmonic means. Our feature is that the generators of quasi-arithmetic means are allowed to be…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-05-09 Yuichi Akaoka , Kazuki Okamura , Yoshiki Otobe

We present a new framework for deriving bounds on the generalization bound of statistical learning algorithms from the perspective of online learning. Specifically, we construct an online learning game called the "generalization game",…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-10-18 Gábor Lugosi , Gergely Neu

We study the inference problem in the group testing to identify defective items from the perspective of the decision theory. We introduce Bayesian inference and consider the Bayesian optimal setting in which the true generative process of…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-10-22 Ayaka Sakata , Yoshiyuki Kabashima

Multiclass neural networks are a common tool in modern unsupervised domain adaptation, yet an appropriate theoretical description for their non-uniform sample complexity is lacking in the adaptation literature. To fill this gap, we propose…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-13 Anthony Sicilia , Katherine Atwell , Malihe Alikhani , Seong Jae Hwang

We present here a PAC-Bayesian point of view on adaptive supervised classification. Using convex analysis, we show how to get local measures of the complexity of the classification model involving the relative entropy of posterior…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Olivier Catoni

Understanding how different classes are distributed in an unlabeled data set is an important challenge for the calibration of probabilistic classifiers and uncertainty quantification. Approaches like adjusted classify and count, black-box…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-19 Albert Ziegler , Paweł Czyż

We present a unified framework for deriving PAC-Bayesian generalization bounds. Unlike most previous literature on this topic, our bounds are anytime-valid (i.e., time-uniform), meaning that they hold at all stopping times, not only for a…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-01-04 Ben Chugg , Hongjian Wang , Aaditya Ramdas